Thread by @justadandak

1/7 My thoughts on what could happen within a decade after #Brexit with the formation of the #UnitedCelticNation as a new country:

2/7 After the #Brexit transition period ends on 31 Dec 2020, the Scottish Parliament will announce a new independent referendum (under a Section 30 order which the PM has to agree to - he won't - they will change their laws to enable them not to need his approval).

3/7 This new Scottish independent referendum will happen within the first 6/9 months of 2021 and result in the decision to leave the UK.

4/7 An application to rejoin the EU will happen immediately after the Scottish referendum result and within months the EU will accept Scotland back in (justified as 'the will of the people' plus how recent their exit was).

5/7 Within 3-5 years of #Brexit, Wales will also hold its own referendum on independence (fuelled by the decline in economy plus the example set by Scotland) and will also be successful. EU membership will also be sought and gained with an accelerated timescale within a year.

6/7 Within 5-7 years of #Brexit, Ireland will unite as a one nation through its own referendum after the devastating impact of the hard border (again, illustrated by the positive impact of Scotland and Wales leaving the UK and rejoining the EU).

7/7 Within a decade an formal alliance and new country will be established - a joining of the historic celtic tribes of the UK into one #UnitedCelticNation.

Thanks for coming to my TED talk.