Democrats currently have a single issue offered to them on a silver platter, against which Republicans are defenseless, one that would catalyze majority buy-in on the need to expand not just SCOTUS but other federal courts, and one that is clearly most pressing: Voting. 1/
Nothing is going to happen without voting modernization and liberalization. No climate policy, no health care, no gun control. Everything is downstream of voting. And it's obvious the @GOP has already made voting their own number one issue: that is, voting suppression. 2/
Perhaps there isn't clarity on how obvious this is, how voting should be the Democratic party's spearhead, because leadership is endlessly lost in the "complexity" of all the things voters and the party cares about. Look at the time wasted already on court expansion... 3/
Notice how the question of expanding SCOTUS or lower courts is already bogged down in fear of voter reaction, agitation of the GOP, and myriad other unnamed uncertainties which reliably prevent the Democratic party from taking action--or better, from waging confident war. 4/
Democratic Party Habitually Unable to Choose an Issue Which it's Willing to Die For ----> meet Voting Rights and Voting Modernization. You can run your sword through the @GOP on this one. At best, 20% of the country is willing declare openly its against democracy. /5
The proposition is ridiculously simple: The Democratic Party is going to war to modernize voting, and expand voting rights, and any court that gets in its way will be subject to expansion, from SCOTUS on down. Many things are hard. This isn't. 6/

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Gregor Macdonald

Gregor Macdonald Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @GregorMacdonald

13 Sep
Chatter suddenly rising of inflation risk maps almost perfectly to this same juncture during the great recession. After the Fed showed it could put a floor under asset prices, the trumpets sounded. But, it didn't happen then, and isn't going to happen this time either. $SPY $TLT
The apex of inflation chatter will likely hit next year, when Green New Deal policies edge closer to reality. But it will just be Lucy and the Football all over again, because $GND (at least in energy-infrastructure terms) is ultimately deflationary, wringing out costs, waste.
Imagine looking back on us from the year 2120, and realizing "those people" seriously believed that investing in cheaper, faster, better, lower-cost infrastructure was both a bad investment, and...wait for it...inflationary. Can't make it up.
Read 8 tweets
1 Jan
Over the holidays I rode around Portland on a borrowed e-bike while writing up this story for the Atlantic's @RouteFifty. One conclusion: the impact on the short-trip end of the transport spectrum could, in these early days, be comparable to EV.…
2/ If you've not yet ridden an e-bike the effects are simple enough to describe: imagine a quiet motor kicking in every time your cadence slows. You are still very much riding a bike, still pedaling. Over at @iamspecialized they say "it's you, only faster" and that sums it up.
3/Sales of e-bikes, by one estimate are on pace to rise 50% in the US this year, coming from a low base. In Europe, however, there is a more startling metric: 2018 e-bike sales were 10X EV sales. I mean, that is a full-on viking raid into the short-trips typically taken by cars.
Read 10 tweets
10 Dec 19
1/Recent lows in oil and gas equities have predictably triggered the usual flurry of articles about value or mean-reverting investors sniffing around for bargains. But I see no reason to conclude Oil & Gas is anything other now than a long-term value trap.
2/ Other than the usual price oscillations I'm not sure what Oil and Gas investors are looking for now. Another oil cycle? It's obvious the last oil cycle is well behind us now. The leading edge proxy, $OIH, never sustainably recovered after the last big oil decline. Dead sector.
3/ As 2019 comes to a close, once again we see the main forecasting agencies like EIA and IEA having spent much of the year downward revising their demand forecasts. That's getting old, frankly. IEA's STEO today also revised down 2017 + 2018 demand levels--not hugely. But, still.
Read 13 tweets
30 Jun 19
1/ China is on pace to sell 4 million fewer ICE cars this year, as a cyclical auto sector slowdown merges into real problems w/ China's economy. A thread of fresh data on oil, transport, renewables, as a mid-year update to my Oil Fall series.
2/ Hesitate to use the crash word but China's auto market is on pace to fall by 12-13% this year. 3.5 million fewer cars in total, but 4 million fewer ICE, as EV set to reach 1.8 million new sales. This is both a cause, and concurrent to broader macro impacts on road fuel demand.
3/ The aggressive policy attack on ICE, and the surge of EV sales, are creating a perfect storm for road fuel demand as China's economy is near contraction. EV now set to even more quickly gain share in part because total car market is falling so hard.
Read 25 tweets
11 Mar 19
15 US states are now producing wind+solar at, or above, 10% of electricity sales. This week's letter also cites work from @ramez @MLiebreich @ChrisGoodall2 and @AtifRMian, plus a final wrap on 2018 California EV sales.…
2/ Great example of how the theory of "value deflation" (there will be too much variable energy and it will wreck power supply economics) ignored how market arbitrage emerges: you actually want wind+solar to be cheap to drive investment.… via @russellgold
3/ Developing an overly complicated theory about how wind and solar introducing cheap energy into powergrids would create an unsolvable problem would be like calling cheap oil in the 1930's a catastrophe. This is how adoption works.
Read 8 tweets
3 Feb 19
Any New Green Deal we propose now will release massive economic savings over time. Appreciate the Op-Ed invite from @Buzzfeed to explain how rapid cost declines for wind, solar, and EV mean a green way forward is now a bargain. Let's do it.…
2/ My advice to new green-dealers: don't come bearing scary high price tags. Lead, instead, with the savings. 65% of the energy the US consumes is wasted, lost to the atmosphere. That lost energy forms your budget to drive efficiency gains through the economy.
3/ Combined wind+solar is growing fast in the US, from 2.3% of our electricity generation to nearly 9% now. The biggest power plant in the country, Palo Verde nuclear, put out a monster 32.3 TWh in 2017. But in that same year, the US created 49.7 TWh from new wind and solar.
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!