ISCAP-ADF carried out a prison break operation at Kangbayi Central Prison on the outskirts of Beni city, freeing ~1300 detainees; Islamic State media outlets quickly claimed the operation radiookapi.net/2020/10/20/act…
It's notable that a sizable military base is directly across the road - which the IS claim also said was attacked - and judging by the number of buildings, likely had ~100 soldiers; operation was well-planned, and says much about the FARDC's inability to prevent major incursions
Topographical perspective: ISCAP-ADF fighters reportedly engaged in an hour long gunbattle with FARDC troops at bases both on top of Lao hill and at the foot of the hill before breaking the doors of the prison; comes two days after IS urged prison breaks
Critically important, since some have attempted to argue that the ADF is not actually part of Islamic State: ADF calling themselves "Central Africa Province" and referencing IS spokesman Abu Hamza al-Qurayshi's October 18th speech in their internal media longwarjournal.org/archives/2020/…
"Perhaps demonstrating ADF’s provision of accurate reporting from the ground to IS’s media apparatus, the [new] statement correctly notes that the group targeted two military bases near the prison, not just one base as widely reported in the media." longwarjournal.org/archives/2020/…
^ Pretty critical point here: most reporting, by both local outlets and international outlets, cited statements by Beni's mayor that ADF fighters attacked "a military camp"; IS's propaganda statements - first issued only five hours after the attack - mentioned two "barracks".
Commanders of 3rd company of 3rd battalion of 22nd Brigade of Rapid Reaction Units - in charge of 35 soldiers and nine police officers guarding the prison - arrested for their failure to prevent the escape of 236 ISCAP-ADF fighters and 200 Mai Mai fighters radiookapi.net/2020/10/21/act…
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So in light of "Al-Shabaab's" (ISCAP-Mozambique) attack on Kitaya - just across the the Rovuma river in southern Tanzania - here's a quick thread on jihadist militancy in Tanzania, its ties to the Islamic State, and its role in Mozambique's growing insurgency
Salafism has had a longstanding presence in Tanzania, really gaining prominence in the 1980s as students returned from studying in Saudi Arabia and elsewhere on scholarships from BAKWATA, the government-affiliated Muslim council.
Rejecting BAKWATA's corruption and perceived ineffectiveness - or simply not getting the jobs they expected - many turned to Ansar al-Sunnah, a loosely inter-connected network of private charities and pressure groups that sought to "purify" Tanzanian Islam
Rapid collapse of rebel lines from Qalaat al-Madiq to Kafr Naboudah is pretty surprising, as is silence from Turkey, whose troops have been directly attacked by regime forces on multiple occasions. Regime forces are within 1.5km of the Turkish observation point on Jabal Shashabo.
Area was primarily held by Ahrar al-Sham and small FSA groups, but HTS defeated them in January and imposed a supervisory role for itself. HTS appears to now simply be abandoning it, with those other "green" rebels in tow.
Turkey's investment into Idlib's power grid might be an indication of which areas they aim to hold: @casgec of HTS's Salvation Government received a $1mil contract in February to repair Idlib's grid and connect it to Turkey; map shows which lines have been repaired since then.