The GOP's electoral college advantage (gap between national polling averge & the tipping-point-state average) is ~ 4%:
On @FiveThirtyEight, national avg is Biden +10.3%
PA, the tipping-point-270 state is +6.4%
That means Dems need to win by at least 4% to squeak past 270.
On @FiveThirtyEight, national avg is Biden +10.3%
PA, the tipping-point-270 state is +6.4%
That means Dems need to win by at least 4% to squeak past 270.
We won't know final gap for a while, but this is a bigger gap than 2016, when Clinton won nationally 2.1%, but lost tipping-point states by > 1%.
One way to fix this gap by Congressional majority vote (and referenda):
Statehood for DC, Puerto Rico & North/South California
2/
One way to fix this gap by Congressional majority vote (and referenda):
Statehood for DC, Puerto Rico & North/South California
2/
3/ I meant " < 1%"
Anyway, keep a Federal District w/ 3 electors for the popular vote winner. (h/t @imillhiser)
That's 11 more electors.
The winner needs a majority of the new 549 = 275 (odd numbers are good)...
Anyway, keep a Federal District w/ 3 electors for the popular vote winner. (h/t @imillhiser)
That's 11 more electors.
The winner needs a majority of the new 549 = 275 (odd numbers are good)...
4/ The new tipping point = Wisconsin, currently +7% Biden. The new gap = 3%.
Bottom line:
One of many reasons to add states is to make the Electoral College less undemocratic.
Of all the ways to fix the Electoral College, this is one Congress can do by majority vote.
Bottom line:
One of many reasons to add states is to make the Electoral College less undemocratic.
Of all the ways to fix the Electoral College, this is one Congress can do by majority vote.
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