John Hayward Profile picture
22 Oct, 14 tweets, 3 min read
If Trump wins despite oceans of polls giving Biden big leads, Big Tech putting every thumb it has on the scales for Biden, and legacy media smothering stories that hurt Biden like WW2 soldiers throwing themselves on hand grenades, it will shake the pillars of punditry Heaven.
Of course, Trump's 2016 event was a "black swan" event as far as pundits were concerned - a black swan the size of Mothra descending upon Washington D.C. Remember how they promised they'd get in touch with voters, learn from their mistakes, become bubbled and blinkered?
Yeah, none of that happened. DNC Media doubled down on its political biases, made its bubble thicker, made its blinkers bigger, and effectively took over the Biden 2020 campaign while their candidate hides in the basement. Fake news stories became their hottest product.
DNC Media doubled and re-doubled efforts to impose THEIR vision on US for four years, instead of learning how we see the world and trying to understand how they got 2016 so wrong. In a few weeks, they'll either see their strategy validated or suffer the worst psychic shock ever.
Can they do the same thing if Trump wins again? The easy answer is yes - they'll never learn or change. As a 90% Democrat profession, the media views ordinary Americans with contempt and assumes we're always wrong. Losing means they just have work harder at "fixing" us.
But if Trump wins after all THIS? After the entire media gave everything it had for Biden, literally BECAME the Biden 2020 campaign, and gorged on dozens of polls that said Trump has better odds of winning the lottery than winning re-election? Could that finally crack the bubble?
You would think, at a bare minimum, that Trump's re-election would do a lot of damage to the political polling industry. Oh, sure, the media doesn't mind inaccurate polls that help it shape public opinion, but that usefulness will evaporate if the public sees polls as a joke.
We'd get the usual scramble to save face: the polls shifted right before the election, the last round of polling was only off by X%, in retrospect Biden was always a terrible candidate, Trump won by using dirty tricks, etc. Just like 2016.
But at some level, two Black Swan elections in a row would be a profound blow to political prognostication. Cages would be rattled. The survival of political media would depend on regaining SOME credibility, at least pretending to make SOME changes.
And somewhere in that corrupt nexus between Big Media and the Democrat Party, the shot-callers would be forced to admit they can no longer influence the public as much as they used to. In fact, they can no longer accurately MEASURE their influence on the public mind.
If Trump wins, DNC Media will be like drug dealers who realize they've blown their whole operation by overindulging in their own products. They got high on their own cooked polls and propaganda. They influenced THEMSELVES more than they influenced voters.
The key to running an effective propaganda operation is that the purveyors KNOW they're pushing propaganda. They can't afford to believe it themselves. They need to be the only people in society with accurate information, so they can plan their strategy.
That's why political campaigns have secret internal polls that can look very different from the stuff pushed on the public by DNC Media. There has always been an implicit understanding that public polling is not accurate enough. Good pushers don't get wasted on their own dope.
If Trump wins after all this - after the pandemic, after media declaring all-out war on him - it might cause real introspection in some quarters of the media that they no longer understand the electorate well enough to manipulate it. /end

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More from @Doc_0

23 Oct
DNC Media frames the Hunter Biden stuff as if Joe just helped his poor kid get a job at Wal-Mart so he could put food on the table between stints in rehab.

Hunter had a THRIVING influence peddling business that raked in millions, year after year. His customers seem satisfied.
In fact, has anyone yet come up with evidence that any of the shady foreign operators and agents of hostile powers that stuffed money into Hunter's pockets were dissatisfied with his services? Nobody seems to regret paying him off. No one acts like they wasted money on him.
The bombshell emails uncovered in the Forbidden Story of Doom, and other evidence discovered since then, make it crystal clear that all of those dodgy business partners and enemy agents knew EXACTLY what they were buying from Hunter: influence and access. No pretense otherwise.
Read 7 tweets
23 Oct
Joe Biden exemplifies the kind of witless globalist foreign policy that allowed fascist China to become a hegemonic world power. They think every problem is "solved" by holding meetings and issuing press releases.
It's an extension of the left-wing dogma that domestic problems are "solved" by loudly announcing how much you care about them and demanding billion-dollar government programs to address them. What the programs actually DO, or fail to do, is irrelevant.
China long ago mastered the art of exploiting the globalists by studying their bloviations in Western media telling them exactly what they want to hear. Then China actually DOES the exact opposite, but it doesn't matter because they said the right things at the right forums.
Read 15 tweets
23 Oct
Remember, aggressive ignorance is an important way for left-wingers to signal their unthinking, absolute loyalty to The Cause. They make a point of knowing nothing about guns or gun laws while yelling for gun control; likewise with immigration, abortion, etc.
Imagine if someone in one of these buzzing lefty hives spoke up and said, "Actually, guys 'coyote' is a well-understood term for human traffickers and there's a ton of documentary evidence about them being involved in the big migration waves of the past few decades."
They'd be torn to shreds by the rest of the hive. It would be like those scenes in The Walking Dead where people are covered in zombie guts, trying to shuffle through a horde, but they make a false move and the zombies devour them.
Read 5 tweets
21 Oct
I recall @MarkSteynOnline observing that free people could defeat Islamists by defying Islam's blasphemy laws en masse - they'd realize they can't kill us all to keep us from drawing Mohammed cartoons. The same is true of Big Tech's blasphemy laws against news that hurts Dems.
@MarkSteynOnline The media would, of course, understand this and loudly trumpet the need for "resistance" if some conservative tech company was suppressing left-wing news organizations or stomping on news that harmed Republican candidates. They would proudly run the forbidden news in defiance.
@MarkSteynOnline The real "resistance" is, and always was, among the enemies of collectivism and the increasingly totalitarian Democrat Party. The @nypost is a real Resistance outfit, not the shrieking nincompoop roleplayers who spent the last four years wailing about Orange Hitler.
Read 8 tweets
21 Oct
The free world has been driven insane by China's coronavirus.
The root of that madness is sadly easy to understand. Western politicians have lost the ability to measure costs against benefits, to weigh one problem against another, to understand that no "solution" is perfect and they always have drawbacks.
Easily stampeded by the media, eager to use crises to increase their power and batter their opponents for not taking the marquee crisis seriously enough, politicians across the free world collapsed into a singularity of opportunism and political posturing.
Read 16 tweets
20 Oct
The latest addition to the lexicon of totalitarianism is "Badfact."

A Badfact is objectively true, but it damages the political narratives of the ruling elite, so everyone must be prevented from thinking about it. The accuracy of the Badfact is never seriously challenged.
The most common technique for suppressing Badfacts is the "mostly false" factcheck, which is based not on disputing the accuracy of the Badfact, but on insisting that some mystical "context" is needed to understand the "greater truth" surrounding it.
With this technique, totalitarians convince their victims that thinking about the 100% true Badfact is, in essence, lying to themselves because there is a secret Deeper Truth that is more important than the deceptively simple truth they have been told to ignore.
Read 10 tweets

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