A lot of new data out on treatments for COVID-19. Updating a previous thread with what we know now. Still lots of research ongoing and a few things may change. Much of this world leading research is taking place in the UK, funded and delivered by @NIHRresearch. 1/20
Dexamethasone: A simple steroid drug widely used in many diseases. Shown in @NIHRresearch RECOVERY trial to improve survival for respiratory failure due to COVID-19 (i.e. severe cases only). Probably acts by reducing lung inflammation. 2/20
Hydrocortisone: Another widely used steroid drug. May help systemic (whole body) inflammation in critical (life threatening) illness which some call 'cytokine storm'. @NIHRresearch funded @remap_cap trial suggests benefit in ICU patients but weaker signal than dexamethasone. 3/20
Hydroxychloroquine: Used to treat malaria and some types of arthritis. Early studies done during Hong Kong SARS epidemic in 2002. Huge hopes pinned on this drug but @NIHRresearch RECOVERY & @WHO SOLIDARITY trials showed no benefit in COVID-19. Prevention trials ongoing. 4/20
Remdesivir: Anti-viral drug developed for Ebola. Re-tasked for COVID-19. Early trial suggested modest reduction in symptoms but large @WHO SOLIDARITY trial showed no benefit on survival, need for ventilation, etc. We may still use in mild cases. medrxiv.org/content/10.110… 5/20
Tociluzimab: Used to treat inflammatory arthritis and other immune disorders. Hoped in COVID is suppression of systemic (whole-body) inflammation AKA the 'cytokine storm' but small to medium size trials have not shown benefit. Await RECOVERY trial results. Unlikely to work. 6/20
Vitamin D: Good old-fashioned vitamin. Deficiency widespread and linked to poor health. Many believe it could prevent or treat COVID. May help but evidence not there yet (trials ongoing). However, a good thing to supplement in any case and very safe at recommended doses. 7/20
Lopinavir–ritonavir: Anti-viral drug combination used to treat HIV. Re-tasked for COVID-19. An early hope but two major trials (@NIHRresearch RECOVERY and @WHO SOLIDARITY) have shown no benefit. 8/20
Azithromycin: Antibiotic used to treat bacterial infection but not usually viruses. Early in the pandemic it was thought to have useful anti-inflammatory effects on COVID-19 but COALITION II trial from Brazil showed no benefit. Further results from RECOVERY trial awaited. 9/20
Anticoagulation: Various drugs to prevent blood clots which happen more in COVID-19. Medical terms are deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism. Latter can be fatal. We are using these blood thinning drugs more in COVID. Trials ongoing but patient care already changed. 10/20
Convalescent plasma: blood with blood cells removed; taken from patients recovered from COVID so contains antibodies to the virus. PLACID trial from India showed no patient benefit despite reducing virus RNA in blood. RECOVERY trial results awaited. bmj.com/content/371/bm… 11/20
Monoclonal antibodies: Bio-engineered antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 virus given intra-venously to patients. Precision alternative to convalescent plasma. Various trials ongoing including RECOVERY. Some debate amongst doctors about this one but we would all be happy if it works. 12/20
JAK inhibitors: Another powerful anti-inflammatory drug which some hope will prevent the 'cytokine storm' of COVID. Emotive term describing the whole-body inflammation we see in critical illness. In decades of research, no drug has prevented this. Clinical trials ongoing. 13/20
Interferon-B: Another anti-inflammatory drug we hoped would control COVID inflammation (cytokine storm) but the large @WHO SOLIDARITY trial showed no benefit on survival, need for ventilation, etc. Not a surprise for ICU docs. medrxiv.org/content/10.110… 14/20
Ventilation: For very severe cases where patients cannot breathe without a machine. Patients are sedated and a tube placed in their windpipe connecting them to a ventilator. High-burden but life sustaining treatment. Needs highly trained nurses. Only used in intensive care. 15/20
CPAP: For severe breathing problems. Awake patients use a tight mask connected to a machine increasing air pressure in their lungs. Needs well trained nurses. Can be life saving. Some docs think CPAP should be used more and ventilation less. No trial data on this yet. 16/20
Prone ventilation: For patients with severe breathing problems already on CPAP or ventilation. Quite simply, patients lie (or are turned) on their front, improving lung function & blood oxygen. Useful tool but not always helpful. Needs lots of staff to do safely (photo). 17/20
Vaccines: The end-game. But rumours of a vaccine by Christmas are greatly exaggerated. Lots of clinical trials starting in the UK. Not my field but I hear that coronaviruses are not the easiest pathogen to develop a vaccine against. Beware bold promises. Be patient. 18/20
We shouldn't be too disappointed with these clinical trials results. All drugs have side-effects so those which don't work can only do harm. It is good for patients to avoid ineffective treatments. We continue to focus on doing the basics well. This does seem to be working. 19/20
So there is NO cure for COVID-19, just a few drugs which help. The pandemic goes on until we can use widespread vaccination to prevent the virus spreading. Right now, simple things like #HandsFaceSpace will save the most lives by far. Photos of @teamaccu: @jometsonscott 20/20
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The suggestion NHS intensive care units thoughtlessly turned away COVID patients purely because of their age is very upsetting. This article quotes ICU doctors off the record but I don't recognise these experiences. We cared for a number of patients aged 80+ on @teamaccu 1/7
A 'triage tool' was developed by @NICEComms but doctors decided not to use it. Instead we fell back on a long standing practice of discussion between experienced NHS consultants (at least three). Patient and family views were always included if possible. 2/7
Being on a ventilator in intensive care is not nice. You wouldn't do it to anyone you loved unless you thought it could help them. But few people outside ICU (doctors or public) realise this and often argue strongly to ventilate patients who have little chance of survival. 3/7
A bit of recent history: The first SARS epidemic in 2002-4 was caused by the virus SARS-CoV which is very similar to the virus causing the current pandemic. The story of the outbreak of SARS in Hong Kong courtesy of Wikipedia: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2002%E2%8… 1/5
On 21st February 2002, Liu Jianlun and his wife checked into a room on the ninth floor of the Metropole Hotel in Hong Kong. Liu was a doctor at a hospital in Guangdong, China where he had looked after SARS patients. 2/5
Despite feeling ill, he attended a family wedding and they travelled around Hong Kong. By 22nd February he knew was very sick so he walked to the nearby Kwong Wah Hospital. On arrival, he warned staff about his illness and that he should be put in isolation. 3/5
I'm going to discuss this with you, working on the assumption that you are a good person who is either poorly informed or has misunderstood the data. Please be respectful though (not everyone is).
1. There is a second wave but as the graph nicely shows, the rate of growth is much slower this time. Believe me, we are all very relieved about that. But a few ICUs eg Liverpool are already stretched to the limit.
2. I totally give credit to lockdown measures and #HandsFaceSpace for this. Tweet 6/6 in my thread makes that very clear and also our gratitude to everyone for working so hard to make that happen.
Lots of discussion about improved survival in the latest @ICNARC report on COVID-19 admissions to intensive care published on Friday. But there's an even more crucial message in this graph showing the rate of increase in ICU admissions. 1/6
We can now see that ICU admissions with COVID-19 are increasing at a much slower rate than March. So we are seeing a 'slow burn' rather than a 'second wave'. This could make the vital difference to how well @NHSuk copes through the winter. 2/6
This slower rise does NOT mean we will see fewer cases overall in the pandemic second phase. But it does mean we will see fewer cases AT ANY ONE TIME. NHS hospitals are like a flood wall: things are OK until the waters reach the top. But when they do we have a major crisis. 3/6
Some optimistic commentary here from @FICMNews
Dean @AlisonPittard, suggesting we are getting better at treating COVID-19 leading to fewer deaths than the first wave. Is this over-optimistic, or are patient outcomes really getting better? 1/18 bbc.co.uk/news/health-54…
Importantly, @AlisonPittard is not just giving her opinion. Her comments are based on published data. For many years UK intensive care units have reported activity data to @ICNARC. During the pandemic, some of the most robust and objective data reports have come from them. 2/18
The latest @ICNARC report published yesterday describes outcomes for COVID-19 patients admitted to intensive care before and after 1st September. The report is available here: icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audi… But remember this ONLY tells us about patients admitted to ICU (see later). 3/18
It's been a tough and rather disappointing week. On Sunday I wrote a short thread about the COVID-19 caseload during my day at work. This got picked up by someone with a very large following, triggering a tidal wave of hostile responses (many kind messages too). 1/5
.....as a result the tweet created extra work for colleagues so I deleted it and apologised. But my basic point that that we are dealing with a major problem in NHS hospitals was correct. It was disturbing to see so many people reject an objective report from the frontline. 2/5
With depressing predictability, the Number 10 briefings the next day showed things were even more serious than I had suggested, especially in hospitals in the north of England. Thoughts right now with colleagues having a tougher time than we are.