1/ Well worth watching Putin's comments about Hunter Biden on Russian TV last night. They're very troubling. Contrary to what's been reported, Putin is very much trying to keep the story alive. russian.rt.com/russia/article…
2/ First question: what do you know about Trump's claim at the most recent debate that Hunter Biden had a business relationship with the widow of former Moscow mayor Yuriy Luzhkov? (Baturina is not a nobody: she was long Russia's richest woman.)
3/ Putin theatrically claims he knows nothing (so uninformed, really?). He goes on to imply a relationship is plausible b/c Baturina had all sorts of foreign business partners. Putin could have simply said this story has zero basis (eg buzzfeednews.com/article/christ…@ChristopherJM)
4/ The reporter then drags things out, asks about Hunter Biden’s activities in Ukraine. Putin livens up, claims (again theatrically) "This is none of our business. It concerns only the Americans and the Ukrainians” while praising how successful Hunter was in Ukraine.
5/ Putin: "He [Hunter] definitely was in Ukraine. Maybe he's still active there." Putin pivots to talking about Burisma without naming it. He (falsely) claims Hunter was in charge of Burisma. "Judging by everything, he made a pile of dough. Didn't do too badly."
6/ Putin on Hunter/Burisma: “I don’t see anything criminal about that.” This is classic Kremlin double-speak. Translation: “You should look into this.”
7/ Coup de grace comes at very end of interview: Reporter: “Trump also said [at the debate], ‘Russia is still paying Biden money even today.’…Question provokes a smirk and suppressed chuckle from Putin: “No comment!” (translation: “Y'know that sounds really interesting!”) END
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THREAD: The Kremlin’s outlandish handling of Europe’s concerns about the #Navalny assasination attempt and the crisis in Belarus is setting up a rupture similar to what occurred after the Ukraine crisis in 2014. 1/x
During the initial phase of the #coronavirus pandemic, there were hopes in German, French, and UK govt circles that it might be possible to lower the temperature and get Putin to focus on challenges closer to home. That turned out to be wishful thinking. 2/x
In reality, the Kremlin hasn’t budged an inch on its core agenda. In a new paper for Carnegie’s #GlobalRussia project, I explain why the Kremlin’s relations with Europe’s leading powers are essentially stuck on auto-pilot and why that’s increasingly risky for Moscow. 3/x
First Trump refused to comment about Navalny. Now White House spokesperson @kayleighmcenany bends over backwards to avoid talking about a possible US response (eg new sanctions). #NobodysBeenTougher
cc: @michaelcrowley
The White House response is at odds with Pompeo's suggestion that US will respond after "all facts are available" (presumably he's referring to ongoing work by OPCW) in interview with @Bild. Whom to believe? bild.de/politik/auslan…
It hasn't got much attention (yet), but in the end, the President is required by the CBW Control and Warfare
Elimination Act of 1991 to make a formal determination whether Russia is responsible for use of chemical weapons in the Navalny attack.
To put a finer point on the very wise comment by Amb. @RugeBoris: Russian crude oil trades freely on global markets, and these exports account for a staggeringly large percentage of revenues for the Russian state budget and the rents that keep the Putin regime afloat. 1/X
Gas pipelines like Nord Stream 2 are not money-makers for the Kremlin in the traditional sense. Make no mistake: Nord Stream 2 is a stinker of a project: the geopolitics and geoeconomics are exactly wrong. 2/X
German leadership and credibility have taken a big hit as a result. But German and Russian parastatals, utilities, and energy companies have been pursuing cozy projects like this since the 1960s. They resist EU scrutiny/oversight because these relationships are anti-market 3/X
1/4 Russian interference in the 2020 election isn't a theoretical possibility. It's happening in plain sight. We're just not taking it seriously. Re-upping four recent examples.
2/4 Wherein a KGB-trained Ukrainian politician/agent provocateur leaks classified tapes of then-VP Joe Biden's phone calls with a foreign head of state.
3/4 Giuliani, Don Jr, FoxNews and OAN have all been pretty shameless about hyping and promoting the fruits of foreign interference. As one of them used to say at Trump Tower, they are "loving it."
Citizens of Belarus start to lose their fear, revel in mockery of President Lukashenko's declining popularity (3% in online polls). But the risk that things could get out of hand in run up to August 9 election is palpable. 1/ reut.rs/2VF7ZpJ
Belarus's ties with Moscow are increasingly tense. The testy relationship betw Putin and Lukashenko is getting nastier amid fights over COVID, energy subsidies, etc. Lukashenko is also accusing the Kremlin of interfering in the election. 3/ reuters.com/article/us-bel…
Incredibly wrong-headed move by Trump.
Can only be read in Moscow as a huge gift to Putin.
And a big kick in the shins to US NATO allies and other front-line states. @glubold@mgordonwsj
Trump, Steve Bannon, Richard Grenell, et al have been gunning for Angela Merkel since forever and using her as a symbol of all the anti-globalist, anti-immigrant, anti-EU hokum they can dream up. 2/X
These baseless and downright kooky attacks on Germany/Merkel, unquestionably America's most powerful and important European ally, have done immeasurable damage to the transatlantic alliance that was put in place after WW2. 3/X