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Taniel Profile picture
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27 Oct, 4 tweets, 2 min read
um, this is the closest i've come to making it into @TheOnion
seriously! the Onion's joke here is about a man caring about an Illinois Supreme Court election... & one of my favorite pieces to work on this year was this essential @KyleCBarry agenda-setter on... the Illinois Supreme Court!

the Onion also names check @injusticewatch's amazing guide to Cook County judicial elections, which yes if you live in the county you should actually be aware of & share!
also, this is the ultimate representation of that article! (in a good way!)

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More from @Taniel

Taniel Profile picture
29 Oct
In my assessment, FIVE counties are *doubly* high-stakes criminal justice hotspots next week: they have both a DA race *and* a sheriff race that features real stakes for mass incarceration & criminal justice reform.

These counties are in: GA, OH, AZ, SC, and MI.

Brief thread.
1/ Maricopa County, AZ, undoubtedly tops the list here. Because it's huge. & because it matters.

Its sheriff election features Joe Arpaio's former deputy: theappeal.org/politicalrepor…

Its prosecutor race features stark contrasts on incarceration & sentencing: theappeal.org/politicalrepor…
2/ Charleston County, SC, has two GOP incumbents who are targeted by Dems running on reform platforms.

In the prosecutor's race, big policy questions that involve racial justice: theappeal.org/politicalrepor…

In the sheriff's race, BIG stakes for ICE: theappeal.org/politicalrepor…
Read 7 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
26 Oct
No place has as much riding next week for criminal justice & mass incarceration as in Los Angeles. Not even close.

DA, local offices, referendums statewide & local.

At @TheAppeal we've put together an amazing coverage on all this, so here's a thread!
1/ The. DA. race. Is. Huge.

Enough said.

I Q&Aed Gascon in January: theappeal.org/politicalrepor…

And here's @eli_kamisher's preview of the runoff: theappeal.org/politicalrepor….
2/ LA will help decide the statewide Prop 17, which could expand the right to vote. theappeal.org/california-pro…

3/ And Prop 25, which deals with pretrial detention: theappeal.org/politicalrepor…

4/ And Prop 20, which could roll back sentencing reforms: theappeal.org/californias-pr….
Read 4 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
24 Oct
We're 10 days away: a perfect time to find out more about all the levers of powers that will be decided!

My cheatsheet of what I'm watching, & why, now sits at 435 items. Congress, DAs, Justices, legislatures, referendums, sheriffs, mayors, & more.

whatsontheballot.com/2020-general-e…
Things I added this morning:

—Prince George's Co. school board races (key for police presence in schools theappeal.org/politicalrepor…

—Montana's Ed Superintendent race (key for public ed): billingsgazette.com/news/state-and…

—WA Ed Superintendent (clashes on sex ed: heraldnet.com/northwest/covi…)
Also this fascinating @henryredrobin article on the debates on the unfairness of the criminal legal system via the DA election of a small Wisconsin county, a very rare county with a contested DA race in the entire state. wisconsinexaminer.com/2020/08/13/sha…
Read 4 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
20 Oct
Colorado has universal mail voting.

Turnout rate in 2016, as of 14 days from ED:
—12% of registered Dems, 10% of registered Republicans, 7% of others

Turnout rate in 2020, as of 15 days from ED:
—31% of registered Dems, 19% of registered Republicans, 18% of others
Colorado has in-person options that Republicans who want to avoid mail-in voting will use. But it’s also a universal mail-in state so you’d expect many more to vote that way than elsewhere—and indeed you see a same rush to vote among them too. But Dems’ urgency off chart.
To sum up... I don’t know what to make of all of this, other than to say that the patterns bear little resemblance to past cycles, so we’re all just waiting.

The 2020 information on CO via electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-202…
Read 4 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
18 Oct
I combined into one spreadsheet various pieces of info on the Texas Secretary of State website:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

Includes number of votes cast so far in each county — as a share of the 2016 vote, & a share of all RVs.

Also 2016/2018 results in each, & electorate growth.
What it shows so far: Some populous Dems counties are voting a bit above statewide average as a share of past elections (Travis, Harris, Hidalgo, El Paso), as are some swing counties that voted for Beto in 2018 (Nueces, Williamson). But so are MANY ruby red conservative counties.
Which is to say, big turnout in Houston or Austin doesn't tell a story of asymmetry here.

But there's an overall story of energy that's noteworthy even if doesn't say much about result.

(If people discern other patterns in data let us know!)
Read 4 tweets
Taniel Profile picture
14 Oct
127,000 people voted in Harris County (Houston) just today, on October 13, @HarrisVotes says.

👀: that’s roughly 10% of the TOTAL number of votes cast in all of 2016.
EVERYTHING on this list that’s being decided as we speak — and a bunch of it is relevant to Harris County: https://t.co/BTrq7Q4cG4
Update: 35,000 people voted in Travis County (Austin) just today, on Oct. 13, per @TravisCoClerk.

That’s 7.3% of the total number of votes cast in 2016.
Read 5 tweets

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