Beijing is making a concerted push to lead the Future Internet, across infrastructure, application, and governance domains.

It's time for democracies to push back.

In a new report, I detail this effort and provide 47 recs for the US, Europe, & allies.
securingdemocracy.gmfus.org/future-interne…
As @washingtonpost writes, "The report from the Alliance for Securing Democracy at the German Marshall Fund lays out steps U.S. officials need to take to compete with China in the race for emerging technologies" @Joseph_Marks_ @TonyaJoRiley

Let's dig in!
washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/…
Democracies and autocracies are engaged in a contest for the soul of the Internet.

Just as our current Internet of mobile apps was a step change from the world of dial-up, the "Future Internet" will have just as significant impacts on our information environment & our democracy.
We built a series of "5G and 6G Vignettes" to depict this future and how the explosion of data creates both opportunities and risks.

Here's one on a "Smart Home: Convenience at a Cost"
At the infrastructure layer, recent weeks and months have seen encouraging steps as US allies in Europe exclude Huawei from #5G deployments.

But one vendor is not the whole 5G security picture. An explosion of access points presents new risks for data & costly IP theft.
Meanwhile, while the US marvels over how it got caught on the back foot on #5G, Beijing is marching ahead to develop the standards for #6G, leading the key "Network 2030" focus group at the International Telecommunications Union.
At the application layer, technologies like facial recognition & smart cities distort sci-fi for predictive policing and preventative arrests.

Huawei marketing materials draw inspiration from US TV crime drama "Person of Interest" -- in which an omniscient AI stops terrorism.
In one case study, a public security official from Brazil's most ethnically Afro-Brazilian state extols the use of "technology to anticipate crime" and perform preventative arrests.

"We will not wait for the crime to happen before we act," he says.
And PRC companies are building information platforms into standards for internet-of-everything technologies that simultaneously perform data collection & surveillance.

Smart street lights w/advertising platforms & "vehicular multimedia" in self-driving cars are two examples.
At the governance level, China leads standards-setting efforts on Future Internet technologies --at the UN ITU, ISO, IEC, 3GPP and more.

China outnumbers the US roughly 2-to-1 at the Third Generation Partnership Project and in leadership of key ITU-T focus groups.
And Beijing leverages the Belt and Road Initiative to advance its technology and governance norms through the UN's' sustainable development agenda and the ITU's "AI for Good" initiative.
I make ~50 concrete policy recommendations for the US, EU and allies to compete. Some broad categories and highlights here with details in the report!
1⃣Counter China's structural advantages. In the US, appoint a Future Internet Director b/w the NSC and OSTP to coordinate 5G/6G/standards strategy and policy. In the EU, fuse policy dev between Ministries of Foreign Affairs and of Economics.
2⃣Construct allied solutions for developed & developing worlds. A "D10" group of democracies or "T12" should develop a Trusted Cyber standard and use it as input for new member accession at the OECD.
This group should also construct 3 joint Future Internet R&D Centers of Excellence on infrastructure, applications, and governance in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific.
3⃣Increase coordination in standards bodies. Monitor and assess PRC bloc action, install leaders from democracies in key focus groups, and coordinate in advance of key meetings to define and protect democratic Future Internet values.
4⃣Secure the Future Internet. Conduct comprehensive cyber risk assessments of 5G and 6G systems across access points; update NATO cost-sharing requirements to support trusted digital infrastructure.
5⃣Contest unfair business practices. In the US, pass a data protection law that includes a breach notification requirement as a matter of corporate governance; in the EU, for a Commission for the Study of Intellectual Property Theft in Europe.
An allied approach that is rooted in shared values and
resists an authoritarian divide-and-conquer strategy is vital to build a Future Internet for Democracies -- compete across commercial, military, and governance domains. securingdemocracy.gmfus.org/future-interne…
Thank you to @rosenbergerlm, @ZackCooper, Dave Salvo, @jessbrandt, @kay_goodson, and the entire @SecureDemocracy team for insights, comments, and help putting this work together.
And I am inspired by the incredible output and scholarship of so many that have informed my thinking on these topics: @He_Shumei @oertel_janka @EBKania @SteveJFeldstein @wang_maya @thorstenbenner @noahbarkin @Julie_C_Smith @ChhabraT @ShanthiKalathil @fryan @karaafrederick
.@MattSchrader_DC @BethanyAllenEbr @paulmozur @RollandNadege @Kate_OKeeffe -- the list could go on and the endnotes certainly do!

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More from @LindsayPGorman

21 Sep
Reflecting a bit further on this 'proposal' from Hu Xijin, a world where there are no truly multinational companies, only companies with different value systems adapting to the control and the value systems of their host countries is an inherently authoritarian one. (1/x)
It's in line with the digital sovereignty agenda China & Russia have been promoting at the UN.

And the idea that there are no universal human rights, only local laws. That one nation's laws are as valid as the next, whether or not they use technology to oppress... (2/x)
or who has input into these laws' formation.

Advancing a foreign policy agenda that stands up for the universality of human rights should be at the center of the US response to authoritarian technology from China or wherever else. (3/x)
Read 5 tweets
21 Sep
Never a good sign when Chinese media is touting and promoting the TikTok restructuring as a model for what should happen globally.

What's clear is that the US has bumbled its way into a precedent the consequences of which it hasn't anticipated. (h/t @EBKania for flagging!)
Chinese state media stating that the new TikTok Global will be 100% owned by Bytedance.

Seems to contradict what we know of the deal (80% Bytedance ownership).

Bottom line is that according to PRC, it will still have control over TikTok. What has been accomplished?
And Bytdance confirms this GT statement about no loss of owenrship.
Read 5 tweets
20 Sep
A fascinating irony in today's Magistrate ruling against the WeChat ban:

It appears that China's bans of *other* apps may be providing some First Amendment protection for WeChat in the United States.

Here's how: Image
The 1A argument made against the ban hinges on the idea that WeChat is the only viable communication platform for Chinese-Americans in the US.

So removing WeChat infringes on speech.

But WeChat's uniqueness is partly due to China's own bans of other communication apps.
Another element is that the Judge acknowledges the significance of national security concerns, but essentially says the government has not provided evidence that a ban resolves them.

Barring WeChat on USG devices or bolstering data security are less severe options. Image
Read 4 tweets
19 Sep
Wow. In the “is-it-the-lesser-of-two-evils?” option, it appears the Bytedance-Oracle deal is a go.

The questions are in what form?

Who retains ownership over TikTok’s data and algorithms?

Is that entity incentivized to put US national security over business in China?
Here are the details.

— Bytedance will retain majority stake & control over assets & algorithm
— The new TikTok Global will donate $5B to an “education fund” (Trump’s ‘cut’)
—Headquartered in Texas & hiring “at least” 25,000
—Oracle to review source code.
trib.al/urUoOP1
Beijing is yet to sign off, but given the control Bytedance retains, we’re unlikely to see significant pushback.

Also, IPO expected in about a year.
Read 8 tweets
18 Sep
In a Commerce-driven process, the Trump Admin moves towards TikTok and WeChat bans, starting by blocking downloads and upgrades from the Google and Apple libraries.

US companies will also have to stop using WeChat for payments. Some thoughts:
google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc…
Via Sec. Ross, looks like a complete ban on TikTok wont take effect until post election and there might still be a way for a deal before that deadline.

This move signals that the proposed Bytedance-Oracle merger is insufficient — as I told @TonyaJoRiley washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/…
Let’s look at what’s actually being blocked on Sunday. Per the Commerce Dept note, starting Sunday, no distribution or updates to TikTok or WeChat via online mobile app stores (Google, Apple).

And businesses can’t use WeChat for payments. Image
Read 6 tweets
9 Sep
Yikes. A senior DHS official alleges in a whistleblower complaint that he was told to stop providing intelligence analysis on the threat of Russian interference in the 2020 elections, in part because it “made the President look bad.”
google.com/amp/s/www.wash…
Acting Under Secretary for Intelligence and Analysis Brian Murphy also alleges that acting Homeland Security Secretary Chad Wolf told him to stop producing intelligence assessments on Russia and shift the focus on election interference to China and Iran.
HPSCI is requesting persuant to subpoena that Mr. Murphy appear for a deposition on Monday, September 21, 2020.intelligence.house.gov/news/documents…
Read 6 tweets

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