people think of nationalization as more radical, more dangerous, than regulation, but for deeply regulated industries that may be misguided. 1/
like nationalization, regulation usurps control. but often clumsily. pervasive regulation blurs lines of accountability, public actors point fingers at private "owners", and vice versa. 2/
obviously it depends on the nature and pervasiveness of the regulation. for industries in which private actors are numerous and diverse in how they behave, where regulation imposes just shared limits and requirements, this is argument doesn't hold. think restaurants. 3/
but for industries where regulation very strongly shapes private action, in ways that are pretty homogenous across not-so-many, not-so-different actors, explicit public control may be preferable, because it would be *less* dangerous, there would be clearer accountability. 4/
think utilities, big finance, and perhaps soon, big tech. 5/
if u dislike this, perhaps it's worth trying to figure out how to restructure these industries to be less like "natural monopolies", more like restaurants: ecosystems of diverse, competitive, not especially powerful entities, for which we can afford to eschew public control. /fin
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@csissoko points out the obvious-once-you-think-about-it fact that in a world where institutional money is collateralized, borrowed liquidity (i.e. repo), a change in interest rates amounts to a sharp change in the quantitative money supply… 2/
and immediate in that it does not depend on a reequilibration of investment decisions, which would unfold over time, that is implicit in imagined "hurdle rate" channels. (Interest rate rises, equivalently bond price drops, mechanically destroy collateral value.) 3/
I don't see those divides as purely or even mostly geographic. (In fact, I see them largely as artifacts of the incentives that govern the political parties who n turn reshape our politics and our selves, qua @leedrutmanisbn.nu/0190913851) 2/
So I'm skeptical of devolution as a solution to our deadlocked bitterness. If we became several fully independent nations that kept our current electoral system, we'd soon all become little UKs, bitterly divided within while also scapegoating greater America like an EU. 3/
developed countries fall broadly into two categories, failures w/cumulative mortalities ~1/1000 (within a factor of 1.5) and successful suppressors (NZ, KR, DE etc) with much less death. the US is a failure. 1/
the Trump administration deserves condemnation unequivocally. it sabotaged and undermined all of the tactics successful suppressors employ, ignored pre-existing plans and sidelined experts, intentionally starved the states of resources that might have let them step in. 2/
but was the US well-placed to be a success, if it had not been for this active sabotage by the Trump administration? 3/
So, I'm just trying to wrap my head around what's going on.
First, 0% interest and payment holiday on student loans. The memo suggests this is continuing pre-CARES-Act executive action. Is this one objectionable, on substantive or legal grounds? whitehouse.gov/presidential-a…
This one seems a bit toothless. It's a statement of intention to prevent evictions+foreclosures, but I don't see much definite policy action, just directions to Federal agencies to look into how they might help. Will they actually? Am I missing something? whitehouse.gov/presidential-a…
So, this one defers payroll-tax payment and witholding obligations (employer- and employee-side?) from September through EOY. As things stand, it would leave an obligation for balloon repayments, including of unwithheld (likely spent!) employee-side taxes? whitehouse.gov/presidential-a…
summarizing a bit of brilliance from @BCynamon, it's a big problem that the FDA evaluates things like tests only in terms of individual safety and effectiveness, rather than benefit to public health, which amount to very different criteria. 1/
a cheap, fast, unreliable test is much worse than a high-quaity PCR test, from the perspective of a hypothetical individual who might choose either (and can get the PCR results expedited). 2/
but getting everybody frequent cheap, fast, unreliable tests would let us measure, in real time and with great precision, the state of the disease, and conditioning our behavior on a "bad" test result is not so costly if we'll have another test tomorrow. 3/