You will probably see headlines today about the high number of cases in Florida (5,444). So let's look at that.
1/6
Look what else was very high - negative tests:
2/6
And total tests:
3/6
Florida calculates positivity rate as cases/(negatives + cases). You can argue about whether that's appropriate, but I think it's a good measure because anyone who has previously tested negative is still susceptible to the virus and must be in the denominator.
4/6
All the numbers needed to do that calculation are above.
Positivity rate = 5444/(5444+87022) = 5.9%
5/6
How does that fit into recent trends? It's completely unremarkable - fits right into the range of the past 2 weeks.
It's been 5 weeks since @GovRonDeSantis moved Florida to Phase 3, abolishing occupancy restrictions at restaurants and bars and making individual penalties unenforceable. Let's see how things are going.
1. Hospitalizations - slight rise but still at a low level(3.9% of capacity)
2. Cases - some increase, but cases are tracking with an increase in testing. Particularly notice that tests are at the same level as early August, but cases are FAR lower.
3. The positivity rate is nearly flat - some data dumps are affecting the 7-day average, but there's only the slightest increase.
The "net" is the difference between today's total deaths and yesterday's total deaths, but each day's total is also the sum of additions and removals on that date.
For example, if 2 new deaths are reported on a date, that could be because 3 were added and 1 was removed
2/7
Peaks are 7/30 (235) & 8/4 (237); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (225).
The plateau at the peak between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.
The "net" is the difference between today's total deaths and yesterday's total deaths, but each day's total is also the sum of additions and removals on that date.
For example, if 2 new deaths are reported on a date, that could be because 3 were added and 1 was removed
2/7
Peaks are 7/30 (235) & 8/4 (237); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (225).
The plateau at the peak between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.
It's been 4 weeks since @GovRonDeSantis moved Florida to Phase 3, abolishing occupancy restrictions at restaurants and bars and making individual penalties unenforceable. Many people predicted doom, so let's see how things are going.
1. Hospitalizations - hmm, no problem there
2. Cases - some increase, but cases are tracking with an increase in testing.
3. The positivity rate is nearly flat - some data dumps are affecting the 7-day average, but there's only the slightest increase.