Since it’s a quiet Saturday morning and we’ve all done enough doomscrolling, let me slip in a personal aside.

I’ll try to keep it short.

1/
As many of you have heard before, I never had an interest in Twitter before the last election.

I joined when a friend pulled together a small group to try to combat some of Trump’s massive advantage here.

Figured I’d post occasionally, do my part and that would be it.

2/
I was just a dude on a sofa typing on his phone.

Then I posted a thread about Trump’s narcissism and suddenly I had a bunch of followers.

And then another thread kind of took off and I had a bunch more.

And then it just became this inertial insanity leading to here.

3/
That never ceases to be surreal and weird and hard to reconcile.

There are an indescribably complicated array of emotions that go along with suddenly having the eyes of a large room looking upon your words and thoughts.

3/
It strips you a bit bare; subjects you to judgment; opens you up to both love and hate.

It robs you of the choice of privacy as bad actors look to make weapons of whatever might embarrass or diminish you.

You are naked upon the stage. You either lean into that or you don’t.

4/
I leaned in.

For better or worse, I’ve vomited up things both light and heavy about being a father, about my own father dying, about my last decade in all its infinite cataclysm.

I literally wept on a bar stool writing about the first event of my son’s I wasn’t attending.

5/
I’ve put a lot out there.

But I’ve also held back some of the personal tumult of my past few years.

I glossed over the extent to which I hit probably the deepest emotional low of my life two years ago.

6/
It was something like an emotional balloon payment on a decade of things stoically endured but not fully grieved.

We don’t mourn for the lost home while we’re busy fleeing the fire.

That comes later - and it is unexpected and hard and complicated.

7/
Long after the flames have been put out, you’re left with rival emotional forces competing for control.

You have survived. Are you not happy in that? Can you not see the blue sky?

Your life is still unrepaired. Will it ever fully be? What is lost will never again be.

8/
I went through a long string of individual fires which just blurred together into whole years in flames.

When my father passed away two years ago next week, it was like the last of those long-burning fires had been put out.

Nothing burning. But so much burned.

9/
It hit me with a weight I didn’t expect.

It was an emotionally harder time than during the fires themselves.

As it turns out, it is emotionally easier to fight for survival than it is to have survived.

Plus, you’re tired, broke, hurt and smell like smoke.

10/
So, after 3 yrs of vehemently resisting, I created a Ko-Fi page to accept help.

Put it in my bio. Dropped it in an occasional thread. Made light of it.

Called it beer money.

Positioned it as an open guitar case in front of sidewalk busker. A tip for having entertained.

11/
But there were times when the support people threw into that tip jar kept my car on the road and kept my phone turned on and kept my stress below code-red unmanageable.

It wasn’t just beer money.

It changed an incredibly hard stretch from crushing to survivably hard.

12/
People here provided support more meaningful than they knew when I needed it more than I could say.

And for that, I am profoundly thankful.

13/
And beyond just me, I am grateful for the soft ways our community here supports and sustains its members.

There is strength in shared pain, fear, outrage, resolve... and hope.

However it is that we came to have this community, I’m grateful for it.

14/
These have been the longest of four years.

They’ve been hard on all of us. They e been hard on me.

Whether you ever threw coins in my guitar case or just stopped by every now and then to hear a song, thank you.

Here’s to a happier play list ahead.

15/15

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More from @TheRealHoarse

1 Nov
I’m just going to lay this down now so it’s on record:

Trump’s campaign has used the exact same strategy it used in 2016: smear his opponent; attempt to demotivate their base; and actively attempt to prevent or obstruct them from voting.

It is a push-down strategy.

1/
In 2016, didn’t win because he made a winning case to a big enough population.

He won because his opponent’s turnout was pushed down by a full-court press that tapped everything from misogyny to poll tampering.

2/
He is trying to run the exact same playbook against Biden.

But it isn’t working because:

1) We now understand it

2) Many who were effectively suppressed last time have had four years to see what that cost

3) Biden isn’t susceptible to the same illegitimate biases

3/
Read 10 tweets
1 Nov
This is the moment in the polling cycle I hate the most.

I worked with consumer data for years and years. That requires some science but also some judgment and wisdom.

When you see someone adamantly defending the science alone, take their judgment with a grain of salt.
When a poll is an outlier, there will be a pool of people who rush to defend the methodology, the pollster, the business of polling itself...

And there will be a pool of people who dive into the poll to look for reasons why it was an outlier.

Listen to those latter people.
I find Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) to be very good. My type of analyst. Provides sound macro-level and dives into the specifics when helpful to illuminate the data.
Read 6 tweets
29 Oct
Joni Ernst apparently likes to tell folks back in ultra-white Iowa about the “developing neighborhood” where she has a humble weekday abode in D.C..

There was a drug murder on the street, she says.

It’s too rough a place for her opponent, she suggests.

1/
My goodness, where is this urban war zone?

It’s a shame Ernst can’t afford somewhere safer... It’s so very brave of her to tough it out.

Maybe Ernst really IS a farm girl unaccustomed to the mean streets of the big city humbly making do with only a mere cubby in D.C..

2/
Yeah, about that...

I looked up Ernst’s neighborhood.

Average home price is about $1 mil.

I was under the impression hardscrabble gangland would be more affordable.

Inflation, I guess.

Anywho, a mere $800k gets you a 1,200 square foot, 2-bedroom near the Senator.

3/
Read 8 tweets
29 Oct
When this election is over, win or lose, we Dems need to reckon with something.

We - me included - have spent endless time spotlighting the immoral and corrupt things Trump has done - as if people seeing them is enough to change their minds.

For some people, it is.

1/
We haven’t reckoned with a thornier reality though:

Too many people aren’t swayed by bad things because they don’t think they’re actually bad.

Having a crime on tape isn’t compelling to a jury that doesn’t believe it’s a crime.

2/
And being blunt, I’m talking about primarily white people here.

The array of comments I’ve seen in the past day from white people who still support Trump has really been something.

3/
Read 9 tweets
28 Oct
About five or six years ago or so, I was working with a small firm as partners on a long-term client project.

I discovered that the two senior guys from the partner firm were cheating our client.

Basically skimming money by getting a backend cut of inflated vendor bills.

1/
I had helped write our agreement with the client. I considered myself a point of trust. The partners were defrauding the client - and me knowing meant I could be either a tacit accomplice or a whistleblower.

I ain’t no fucking accomplice, so I consulted an attorney...

2/
The partnership and client relationship were important to me.

They were 90% of my income.

I figured I could blow the whistle on the partner firm and the client would likely fire them and possibly hire me back directly.

3/
Read 16 tweets
28 Oct
No pressure, lunchtime meal choice, but you’re my only hope for a few hours of contented happiness today.
The problem is that I have now so heavily invested my emotional needs in whatever I have for lunch that I am now paralyzed by the decision.
If I eat something deliberately underwhelming, I can avoid the crushing disappointment of having had higher hopes.
Read 7 tweets

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