Kind of inevitable Farage would return. Be interesting to see whether he is once again able to mobilise distrust and discontent when his two winning issues - immigration and Europe - are no longer at the top of the agenda.
https://twitter.com/nigel_farage/status/1323024828132134913
The problem for Farage is that opposing lockdown is a libertarian stance, while the kind of voters he ha traditionally appealed to are older authoritarian types who are generally very keen on lockdowns.
As for government reform that’s not an issue to send anyone to the barricades unless it can be married to populist or nationalist resentments. Still, the Scottish elections next year may soon give him a target for such resentments in England
All that said, there are a lot of 2019 Tory voters who are at present, for a whole range of reasons, not at all happy with the government.
Many may be willing to indicate support in polls for a vaguely defined Farage vehicle as a way of expressing their discontent.
Many may be willing to indicate support in polls for a vaguely defined Farage vehicle as a way of expressing their discontent.
If they do, a media class always eager for new stories about electoral volatility and ever eager to give Farage attention will no doubt hype up any poll showing for the Reform party of over 5%
Then said hype will in turn get Farage’s message in front of many more voters, potentially further driving up his poll numbers, and then triggering lots of “Tory panic about Farage stories” which set the virtuous (for Nigel) circle turning again
Wouldn’t be at all surprised to see a reform party bubble in the polls, if not now, then sometime in the next 18 months
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