Partially this is bc MANY things have changed with the pandemic.
Who among us isn’t more stressed?
Kids now live under the risk of a deadly disease.
Some have lost family.
Parents have lost jobs.
All have lost freedom and social interaction.
KIDS are different now.
2/
It is absolutely expected that test performance and learning will be lower in these circumstances - even with ideal instruction.
So when we compare Covid to pre-Covid it’s not just in-school vs at home that is being tested but:
in school - Covid vs out of school + Covid. 3/
To me, comparisons of different options now - all online vs hybrid vs other? - are what we need to know what can best continue education.
We need to know what kinds of emotional and other supports kids need so they are in a place where they can learn.
4/
We need to not panic about the existence of losses in test scores but accept that the world has changed, kids & teachers have changed, and expectations must change.
And we’d do well to remember kids may be learning new things not captured by tests, including coping skills!
5/
As much as we all hate it, the world is different now.
So let’s put our efforts into figuring out what works in this reality, bc it’s the only one we’ve got.
And remember that kids are resilient. They are learning - just maybe different things. And maybe that’s ok too.
End.
Addendum: my relevant expertise is in study design, not education.
Anything outside of consideration of what we can learn from this study design and suggestions for future studies are just like my opinion, man.
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First, these are pretty small studies for the subject matter.
Ex: The Irish study covers only 1381 births in the window they studied (Jan - April). A similar number of births in the prior year led to 8 extremely low birth weight infants and 12 very lbw infants vs 0 & 3 this yr.
While prior yrs consistently showed more births in those categories than this yr, it's a handful off from normal variation.
Let's add in a rare outcome with a strong effect on survival: birth defects.
Because specific birth defects are rare, we need huge samples to do meaningful studies. But many times data sources with these properties only have live births.
Not all methods/issues are relevant to everyone’s work so there’s no reason you should be fluent in all of Epi.
In fact, you can’t be.
What you can be is the expert that I know I can go to when I come across something new that overlaps with your area!
#EpiTwitter is not here to make you an expert on everything.
These discussions & #Tweetorials are here to give you an idea of when things you work on might go wrong and to let you know who can be your phone-a-friend when it does.