The sad thing is that so few got what I think is the principal message: In a full-employment flex-price economy, when you hit the zero lower bound the economy deals with it by generating inflation. If 1/
@paulkrugman think—as I do—that the task of the central bank is to make Say's Law true in practice even though it is false in theory & to mimic what a full-employment economy would do, that means: when you hit the zero lower bound, generate inflation.
But lots of people did not get that. 2/
@paulkrugman I find myself particularly thinking about Bernanke, whose take on Japan princeton.edu/~pkrugman/bern… was that its depression was self-induced, and that claims of monetary-policy impotence violated an arbitrage condition. So prolonged depression was the central bank's fault.
Yet 3/
@paulkrugman when Bernanke got into the hot seat, he did not understand your major point: that a central bank can get an economy out of a liquidity trap not by force-feeding the economy liquidity and relying on arbitrage to do the job, all the while saying that he does not want to see the 4/
You get out of liquidity traps by saying: The Storm God of the Semites made inflation for a reason, and the reason is that we need it now—to take seriously the idea that a stabilizing central bank mimics the operations of a flex-price economy 5/
DeLongToday <delongtoday.com> earlier this morning. From the Q&A:
**Q: What did you think about the debate?** A: Back in the 1960s, SF State University President S.I. Hayakawa became a U.S. Senator—briefly—by making sure he controlled the microphone. Chris Wallace... 1/
A (cont): ... committed moderatorial malpractice by not having—and using—a microphone switch. May whoever follows him as a moderator be… less oblivious to the situation.
**Q: What do you think of the "Trump Economy"?** A: About the Trump economy, what is to say? Douglas... 2/
A (cont): ...Holtz-Eakin—who can always be counted to make a much-more-than-fair case for the Republican and paint only rosy-Republican scenario pictures—claims that Trump is a zero: that the good done by the tax cut has been balanced by the bad done by fighting and... 3/
Willem Jongman (2006): Gibbon Was Right: þe Decline & Fall of þe Roman Economy github.com/braddelong/pub…: ‘Imagine a pre-industrial and largely agricultural economy in a fairly stable equilibrium. Next that equilibrium is disturbed by catastrophic... 1/
Jongman (cont.): ... mortality: what do we expect to happen when the proportion between people and assets changes?… Prices and wages rose quite dramatically in the wake of the Antonine Plague… [and] the coinage itself began its slide into substantial debasement... 2/
Jongman (cont.): ...Theoretically, there was no need for that. The money stock was large, and by now even too large…
...The reason must have been the needs of the state. It had become difficult to collect taxes in the turmoil of the day, precisely when the state also... 3/
@Claudia_Sahm But we are, again. & this time the political considerations are all on the side of the Republicans cooperating to try to boost employment...
I watched Markus Brunnermeier & Gita Gopinath earlier this week make the case that "it's not stimulus, it's insurance for SME survival" 1/
@Claudia_Sahm Both of them seemed to me to be on the edge of tears—although it is hard to tell given low video bandwidth.
It seems that Republican legislators & professional Republican economists actually believe that fiscal multipliers are zero. Which is distinctly odd. They believe that 1/
@Claudia_Sahm monetary policy affects prices, which means that lowering interest rates induces some agents to spend more, and that spending more than increases aggregate demand. Yet somehow the government deciding to spend more does not increase AD, even though it would if the government 2/
Glasner is right in noting that _History of Economic Analysis_ is written with a generosity of spirit toward the discipline and its members that... one would not have expected had one, say, just been 1/
One feels like one has been slapped in the face with a wet fish when one reaches S's accusation that Keynes was a rootless cosmopolite willfully refusing to look beyond the moment: "[Keynes was] the English 2/
intellectual, a little _deraciné_ and beholding a most uncomfortable situation. He was childless and his philosophy of life was essentially a short-run philosophy..."
And then one comes at the end of the obituary to the fangs-bared attack on the younger generation of now- 3/
Brief Procrastinatory Thoughts on American Slavery, Power & Economists' Rhetoric
When the very sharp Eric Hilt writes of "Fogel and Engerman’s analysis of slavery as...brutal but efficient", I wince. "Efficiency" is an engineering term, meaning 1/
: achieving maximum productivity with minimum wasted effort or expense. A steam boiler powering the lifting of ore out of a mine that converts only 55% of the stored chemical energy in the coal burned into the extra gravitational potential energy of the ore is 55% efficient. 2/
The other 45% of the energy is waste heat. An efficient process is one that produced little waste. In striking contrast with an efficient engine that produces little in the way of waste products, slavery produced enormous amounts of waste: death, family separation, pain, 3/
I have learned an awful lot from and have a great deal of respect for Robert Kuttner. America owes him a great deal—much more than it knows. But. This—rarely for 1/
him—is stupid.
First of all, it is written as if Biden has it in the bag, and Trump will be a bad dream as of January 21, 2021. Lots and lots of people in the fall of 2016 thought that HRC had it in the bag, and so started to nibble away to undermine her in order to position 2/
themselves more advantageously for 2017. Here is Kuttner doing the same thing for 2021. It's a bad, immoral thing to do. Stop it. Biden does not have it in the bag.
Second, everybody whom Biden appoints will be to the left of the governing coalition in the Senate, which is 3/