On Oct. 31st I hit the 40 year mark working in financial services. I have been a commercial banker, a private equity financier and for the past 25 or so years, a portfolio manager. As an insurance company ad says, I've learned a thing or two because I've seen a thing or two 1/n
I was doing private equity during the DJIA crash in 1987 and bailed out on a cottage purchase I was about to sign that afternoon. I was involved in funding Israeli start-ups in the mid to late '90s when Israel became the country with the 2nd most listings on NASDAQ 2/n
I was a still wet behind the ears money manager when #Nortel became the highest cap company on the Toronto Stock Exchange, and I lost 30% of my client base one month in 2000 because I refused to buy all the dot.com garbage that was making new daily highs. 3/n
When 2008/09 came around our firm was managing over $400 million and we retained over 97% of our clients during what was until then the toughest 8 months of my career. We had a handful of clients who compelled us to cash them out; other than that we did not sell a share. 4/n
And so far we have withstood the COVID-19 pandemic market; we are now managing $1.5 billion, our clients are up for the year to date, and we have lost only one client in 2020. 5/n
So when I see the ads on TV telling young families that I am irrelevant - sneeringly referred to me as "Mom and Dad's guy - you're not still investing with him are you? - I can only wonder how well the "do it yourselfers" who are saving 1% a year are handling their emotions. 6/n
Robots don't hold your hand when the water gets rough. They don't calm you down or talk you off the edge of the cliff. They don't stop you from buying #Tilray at $300/share or from selling #Apple at $53. They have no empathy or emotional intelligence at all. 7/n
It is possible that a few novice investors have the knowledge, discipline and psychological strength to do well by themselves. Good for them. The great majority don't and the myth that saving 1% per year will make them richer is pernicious and will do harm. 8/n
You don't see ads for a guy offering to do your root canal in his kitchen with a Black & Decker hand-held for only $99. There's a reason for that. Like doctors and dentists, financial professionals have years of training and experience. They know things others don't. 9/n
The notion that all that knowledge, experience, and often wisdom, is not worth much is a perfect example of penny wise, pound foolish. Save your 1% a year, but then, like most self-investors, hugely underperform the markets in good times and bad. Your money, your choice
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In September, 2004, we were retained by an 81 year old man, who entrusted $1 million to us. During the ensuing 16 yrs he neither added to nor withdrew from his portfolio. This week, I will review his portfolio with him (by phone, sadly). Here are some interesting highlights.
The value of the portfolio today is $3,894,334. The money has almost exactly doubled twice, and the compound return including income and fees, has been 9.2%. With no money in and no money out the math is easy and not subject to distortion by time value or money value calculations
Lots of stocks have come in and out of this portfolio over 16 years but here are some of the unrealized gains as of today:
Brookfield Asset 513%
First Service Corp 203%
Alphabet Class C 212%
Apple 601%
JP Morgan Chase 277%
Microsoft 898% (cost of $24/sh!)
Visa Inc. 388%
In 1982 I worked in the bad loans department of $BMO.CA. This was in the wake of the ultra-high interest rate war on inflation, when prime got up to 22.5%. My job was to call loans and put people out of business. In the fall of 1982, just before the bank's Oct. 31 year end...1/n
The Sr. V.P. for credit called us all together. "This" he said, "will be a kitchen-sink quarter. You are to recommend write-offs on any bad loans and fully provisions on any dubious loans. We are going to take massive reserves because it is bad politics to show big profits" 2/n
So that's what we did. Anything with the least taint of failure was labeled as bad, the bank took a big profit hit, and as the recovery took hold and rates quickly came down, many provisions were reversed. Why do I tell this story now? Because we all need to recognize...3/n
This is a thread about real-world wealth management, which I have been doing for over 25 yrs. Last week I posted a note about a client whose $200k account is now over $1 million after 22 yrs growth at +8%/yr. The responses were so interesting.
Some said "she could just have bought an index and done as well". Others said "think how much more she would have had if she didn't pay fees". Others thought it impossible that the account had done that well over that long a period. So I will address each comment
For almost all of our clients, wealth management is about a lot more than just chasing high returns. We manage risk, consider taxes, think about extended families and talk about planning over decades. Obviously you don't get that when you buy an S&P Index ETF.