Exit polls!
-Yes, they're happening this year
-A lot of the work was done prior to Election Day
-Final results not foolproof, but provide useful data about the electorate
-Don't try to use early results to guess who's going to win
-Especially this year
huffpost.com/entry/2020-ear…
-Yes, they're happening this year
-A lot of the work was done prior to Election Day
-Final results not foolproof, but provide useful data about the electorate
-Don't try to use early results to guess who's going to win
-Especially this year
huffpost.com/entry/2020-ear…
One of the big advantages of finalized exit polls is that they're weighted to the actual results of the election, rather than our best guess of what the electorate will look like.
As we all know by now, this year it'll while to get the actual results of the election.
As we all know by now, this year it'll while to get the actual results of the election.
Additional reading, via @jennagiesta: cnn.com/2020/11/02/pol…
And some more details on AP VoteCast, which launched during the last midterms and is being used by Fox, WSJ, NPR, Univision and PBS NewsHour this year
ap.org/press-releases…
ap.org/press-releases…
Main thing with exit polls: Interviewers are still out today (masked and armed with disposable pencils!) but the pandemic has exacerbated a movement toward catching early voters through phone surveys + some work at early voting centers.
VoteCast is also all phone/mail/web.
VoteCast is also all phone/mail/web.
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