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4 Nov, 5 tweets, 3 min read
HOW MANY BALLOTS LEFT? Based on SoS & Maricopa reports, at least 350K. Number of 'late earlies' will be known today. I have to add: Hundreds of thousands of uncounted ballots day after an AZ election is normal. #12News
HOW MANY BALLOTS LEFT?/2 Based on info from @MaricopaVote as of 12 hours ago and new data below from @SecretaryHobbs, there are at least 440,000 ballots left to count in Arizona. No idea whether they favor Trump/Biden. Await info on 'late earlies' from Maricopa. #12News Image
Based on this incomplete sample, President Trump would hav to win 60% of outstanding votes to pull even with Joe Biden in Arizona.
HOW MANY BALLOTS LEFT?/3 Maricopa County has 150K-180K early ballots dropped off E-Day left to count, county recorder tells radio station. So:
➡️ Maricopa: 400K-430K ballots left. Almost all early votes
▶️ 14 other counties: 190K
▶️ Total: About 620,000 uncounted ballots
#12News
LET'S DO THE MATH President Trump would have to win 57.5% of remaining ballots to pull even with Joe Biden in Arizona. Right now:
🔵Biden 51.0%
🔴Trump 47.6%
#12News

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More from @brahmresnik

Brahm Resnik Profile picture
6 Nov
Perception is "Arizona is turning blue." It's not. Maricopa County, home to 6/10 votes in AZ, is turning blue. Let's look at Maricopa countywide races... (thread)
#12News #BattlegroundAZ
MARICOPA COUNTY BOARD 5-member board has had just 1 Dem for decades.
➡️@JevinforAZ on track to be 2nd Dem & 1st African American on board
➡️Dem Whitney Walker giving veteran GOP Supe Bill Gates huge scare. Down 489 votes. Would be 2nd African-American supe & give Dems majority. ImageImage
MARICOPA COUNTY SHERIFF Dem Paul Penzone ousted Joe Arpaio 4 years ago. Trounced Arpaio & now Arpaio's top deputy. Penzone is 1st countywide candidate to break 1 million votes. Image
Read 6 tweets
Brahm Resnik Profile picture
7 May
BREAKING After being hammered in media, Arizona Department of Health Services announces "ongoing partnership" with Arizona university experts that DHS dismissed in Monday night email. #12News
This @maddow interview Wednesday night with former @AZDHS director Will Humble was a very bad look. bit.ly/2A0yVbB
Here's the Monday night email from @AZDHS to university modeling team.
Read 4 tweets
Brahm Resnik Profile picture
27 Mar 19
BREAKING GOP State Rep. David Stringer resigns. He faced expulsion over racist comments & sex-related charges in past. refused to cooperate with ethics investigation. #12News
MORE Stringer rejected House subpoena for records by 5pm today and for interview with investigators on Friday. He would have faced an almost certain vote to expel.
READ State Rep. David Stringer's one-sentence resignation letter.
Read 10 tweets
Brahm Resnik Profile picture
16 Jan 19
BREAKING Arizona regulators order Hacienda Healthcare to hire outside manager to run facility where comatose patient was raped. Hacienda has 1 week to comply, per regulators. #12News
MORE Arizona Medicaid program already embroiled in 2-year-old lawsuit alleging about $3 million in overbilling by Hacienda. Hacienda has refused to hand over financial docs. #12News
MORE Former Department of Economic Security Director Tim Jeffries told me he wanted to move patients out of Hacienda in 2016 over $$ issue. Hacienda has DES contract. But Hacienda basically only provider of taxpayer-financed long-term care for intellectually disabled. #12News
Read 4 tweets
Brahm Resnik Profile picture
7 Nov 18
JUST IN @KyrstenSinema statement on undecided #AZSEN election. @MarthaMcSally leads by 15,000 votes statewide but trails by 8,000 (out of 979K cast) in Maricopa County. There are an estimated 500K uncounted ballots in Maricopa. Update on uncounted ballots at 10 am. #12News
UPDATE @azcentral estimates 100K uncounted ballots in Pima County - Sinema winning there 56-44 - and 300K in Maricopa County. I haven't been able to confirm. #AZSEN
UPDATE Maricopa County recorder’s office confirms 472,000 ballots left to count. #AZSEN #12News
Read 39 tweets

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