Even if Trump loses the strategic victory has already gone to the populists. The progressives have neither the money, the unity nor remaining moral capital to build their fantastic future. All they can do is winter with their poisoned chalice.
They have to face China, which they are quite unprepared to do, the devastation of their own lockdown, the burden of their promises to the radical wing, the conniving of their factions. Plus their media arm will never be the same again. Where do they go? Where do they go?
Paradoxically it is often better to suffer a tactical loss in exchange for a strategic gain, not in the least because people learn more in adversity than in the glut of victory.
In 2008 the developer of a project I was on hoped Obama would beat John McCain because "McCain would delay things while Obama would bring the crisis forward". I thought he was silly and then in 2016 realized that without Obama the populist revolution would never have happened.
Trump is thinking of starting a TV network and running in 2024. Whatever happens this dude is never say die. What me? Worry? And that's the attitude of strategic winners. Today is today but tomorrow is another day.

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More from @wretchardthecat

6 Nov
The left banner is poised to claim credit for what was left of the old centrists. You will not be so easily rid of them.
Maybe your best bet is your original idea: to create a self-governing society on Mars.
The other option is raise the new banner on a virtual, internal planet, which exists on earth but is a world unto itself, like the fancy hotel John Wick goes to.
Read 5 tweets
6 Nov
Steve Bannon Twitter account suspended. Progressives will probably unleash some degree of reprisal against their foes. When you're described as "conspiracy theorist", "racist", "dangerous", "inflammatory" that's probably a hint.
Terms like this can be thought of as the pixels of the narrative. They are the units of conception deeper than which the reader is not supposed to go.  The media prides itself in being nuanced but how often do they think in cartoons?
The biggest downside to censorship, shadow banning and other methods of distortion and thought control is it destroys information. This is one of the fundamental reasons why the progs do so badly against Black Swans.
Read 6 tweets
6 Nov
I am reading the manuscript of a book and one of it's main themes is that among the most lasting victories in history are defeats. Thermopylae, Masada, Roncesvalles, the Alamo to name few. The most dangerous and unkillable thing on earth is a legend.
The other common theme in history is that defeat is often more fecund than victory. Many of the flexible tactical formations movies ascribe to Rome originated from the debacle of Cannae. Carthage lost in the long run.
You win the campaign by coming out ahead on average. It's interesting to consider the fortunes of progressives. Did they peak around 1998 and have they been steadily losing to Black Swans since then? Not just to Brexit and Trump but to Covvid and their self inflicted shutdown.
Read 6 tweets
4 Nov
If elections were a war the progressive counteroffensive aimed at sweeping the House, Senate and WH has failed. Despite enormous cost the line has essentially not budged.
In this context continuing the progressive offensive through ballot harvesting risks disaster because it is overwhelmingly likely to make things inconceivably worse.
When you smell gas don't light a match to find the leak.
Read 5 tweets
1 Nov
Are they synced or is he just careless with laptops?

dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8…
"Let me tell you about the very rich.They are different from you and me.They possess and enjoy early, and it does something to them, makes them soft where we are hard, and cynical where we are trustful,in a way that, unless you were born rich, it is very difficult to understand."
Easy pickings for clever, ruthless Chinese Communists who have not yet lost the hungry edge.
Read 4 tweets
31 Oct
Irreproducibility is a problem with complex systems where small changes in initial conditions, latent variables or effects on system boundaries can change the result.

hub.jhu.edu/2017/11/07/fix…
"The issue became clear in 2011, when the pharmaceutical company Bayer conducted its own reproducibility tests on 67 published experiments and failed to get similar results on 53."
"What many would describe as the 'replication crisis' in science has gained the attention of researchers and policymakers at the highest levels."
Read 5 tweets

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