Thread by @Taniel

What we know, 11:30pm 11/4:

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC).

—NV: up 6K: more tmrw.
—AZ: up 80K. Trump probably needs more than he got today in Maricopa to offset Pima/Cococino.
—GA: down 32K. ≈87K mail left. Shld be tight.
—PA: down 170K. A lot of mail left.

What we know, 3:00am EST 11/5.

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC)

—NV: up 6K: more tmrw.
—AZ: up 68K. To offset Pima/Cococino, Trump will need more than he got today in Maricopa.
—GA: down 22K. 10s of 1000s mail left. Tight.
—PA: down 164K. 100s of 1000s mail left.

What we know, 10:30am EST 11/5.

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC)

—NV: up 6K: more today.
—AZ: up 68K. 100s of 1000s of ballots left.
—GA: down 18K. 61K mail left. Tight, doable.
—PA: down 136K. 100s of 1000s mail left.

(And Perdue close to dipping below 50%.)

What we know, 1pm EST 11/5.

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC)

—NV: up 11K, & grew his margin in Clark a bit.
—AZ: up 68K. (100s of 1000s of ballots left.)
—GA: down 13.5K. 50K mail left. Tight, doable.
—PA: down 115K. (100s of 1000s mail left.)

Perdue below 50%.

What we know, 4pm EST 11/5.

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC)

—NV: up 11.5K, & grew his margin in Clark a bit earlier.
—AZ: up 68K. (≈400K ballots left.)
—GA: down 12.7K. ≈45K mail left. Tight, doable.
—PA: down 107K. (100s of 1000s mail left.)

Perdue below 50%.

What we know, 6:30pm EST 11/5.

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC)

—NV: up 11.5K. (90% of what's left from Clark.)
—AZ: up 65K. (≈390K left.) Maricopa tonight.
—GA: down 9.5K. ≈38K mail left. Tight, doable.
—PA: down 75K. (>320K mail left.)

Two Georgia runoffs.

What we know, 8:30pm EST 11/5

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC)

—NV: up 11.5K. (90% of what's left from Clark.)
—AZ: up 57K. Waiting for more in Maricopa. Soon.
—GA: down 3.5K. ≈19K mail left. Tightish, doable.
—PA: down 57K. >100K left in Philly & Allegheny alone

What we know: 10:30pm EST 11/5

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC)

—NV: up 11.5K. 90% of what's left from Clark.
—AZ: up 47K. 285K ballots left.
—GA: down 1.8K. Clayton County looming.
—PA: down 27K. Now < 200K mail left total.

And a double runoff in Georgia.

What we know: 9:30am EST 11/6.

What we know is the race is almost over.

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC)

—NV: up 11.5K. 90% of what's left from Clark.
—AZ: up 47K. 280K ballots left.
—GA: up 1K. Tight, but favorable terrain.
—PA: up 6K. Lots of blue left.

What we know: 12:20pm EST 11/6.

Biden needs 17 EVs out of NV, AZ, GA, PA, (NC)

—NV: up 22K. Not sure what's holding up a call.
—PA: up 10K. Not sure what's holding up a call.
—GA: up 1.5K. And Gwinnett is next...
—AZ: up 44K. Trump not getting what he needs.

So, yeah.