As analyze the 2020 NC provisional file at s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/E… -- note it's partially uploaded, not likely final til Saturday.
I've put together a 2016 analysis, 60,591 provisionals with 44.3% counted, but wide variance based on types. See image. /1 #ncpol
I've put together a 2016 analysis, 60,591 provisionals with 44.3% counted, but wide variance based on types. See image. /1 #ncpol
In 2016 analysis, combined approved/partially approved, difference irrelevant for statewide races. Most voting at wrong precinct w/in county or reporting address change have votes counted. If no voter record found at precinct, it's researched, in 2016 about 20% counted /2 #ncpol
Feel free to ask questions about what all the NC provisional categories mean. (I may have an explainer to post) /3 #ncpol
This is an old list of provisional file codes. The ID ones here relate to the 2016 primary and are not relevant. The current “no ID provided” has to do with same day registrants who did not have ID and some first-time voters whose registration flagged under NVRA. /4 #ncpol
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