Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ncpol

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The transition from Congressman Pittenger's leadership has started.

- Office phones have been confiscated
- Computers are starting to be wiped
- Boxes and dollies are all throughout Pittenger's SCLT office
Pittenger Chief of Staff Jamie Bowers says out of the office messages are being setup to direct constituent concerns to Senators Thom Tillis and Richard Burr #NC09 #ncpol @wsoctv
The Clerk of the US House of Representatives will take over if no one from #NC09 is sworn in on January 3rd.

The Clerk will then have the authority to rehire Pittenger's staff or hire new staff to handle constituent requests until a new member is sworn in #NC09 #ncpol @wsoctv
Read 3 tweets
NEW: NCSBE says the hearing will be in Raleigh at 10 a.m. on January 11 #NC09 #ncpol @wsoctv
#NC09 hearing is on the following races:

- NC09
- Bladen Co. Soil and Water Conservation District Supervisor
- Bladen Co Commission D3
- Seat 2 on District Court in Judicial District 16B (Robeson Co)
Candidates in the affected contests can submit written briefs by Jan 6 saying why they think the race should be certified or why they think a new election should be ordered. #NC09 #ncpol @wsoctv
Read 11 tweets
BREAKING: We have obtained a photo of Mark Harris and McCrae Dowless together. The picture was taken in March at a political event in Bladen County. The person who took the photo has asked us to not identify them. #NC09 #ncpol @wsoctv
Reminder: Former #CLTCC candidate Pete Givens told @wsoctv that Harris introduced him to McCrae Dowless in 2017. Harris was Givens pastor

"Mark told me about this guy's process of, you know, that he had a process..."

The photo of Harris and Dowless was taken in March 2018
Read 4 tweets

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THREAD: Republicans in multiple states are using their #lameduck legislative sessions to cheat the system in a blatant attempt to entrench their own power and undermine the will of the voters. Craziness has been going down in WI, MI, NC, and OH. Let’s dig in: 1/
Last week, Wisconsin passed measures to cut early voting and strip powers from the incoming Dem Governor @Tony4WI & Attorney General @JoshKaulWI. This was after Republicans lost all statewide offices in November. #WIPowerGrab. #WisconsinisWatching 2/
If that sounds desperate and shady to you, oh, it was. The GOP was literally handing out copies of their hastily written bills and Dems had to beg for time to read them before voting literally in the middle of the night. (I know because I was up waiting all night!) 3/
Read 25 tweets
"Two women intimately involved with the McCrae Dowless’s absentee ballot machine have revealed...its grim and chaotic workings, in which Dowless tracked votes on yellow paper and paid his workers... from stacks of cash, which some used to keep themselves high on opioids" #NC09
DA Lorrin Freeman told @AllisonWSOC9 her office has an open criminal investigation that's zeroed in on absentee ballots in Bladen County in three separate election cycles; last month's general election, the May 2018 primary and in 2016’s election. wsoctv.com/news/local/cri…
Read 22 tweets
Here's what the Judd Legums of the world, in all their "investigative reporting" about #NC09, won't tell you: That there have been complaints about ballot milling in counties in that district that pre-date 2018, and even 2016. Sit back for a bit let me tell you a story. #ncpol 1/
In the fall of 2010, Wilmington-based WWAY TV station did a series on "GOTV" activities in Bladen County - the county which is in the center of the *current* #NC09 storm. Here's the link to that story, which I'll be quoting from extensively: wwaytv3.com/2010/10/01/man… #ncpol 2/
From that 2010 story: 'We received a number of calls in response to [our series] saying we never mentioned the biggest player of all in the Bladen GOTV arena. It’s called the Bladen County Improvement Association, and it’s been operating for at least 30 years.' #NC09 #ncpol 3/
Read 44 tweets
Exclusive: A second woman, Cheryl Kinlaw, tells me she was paid $100 by McCrae Dowless to pickup absentee ballots. She said she never thought it was illegal because Dowless "has been doing it for years." She says needed extra money for Christmas presents. #NC09 #ncpol @wsoctv
Like the woman I interviewed yesterday, Kinlaw never mailed the ballots. She gave them to McCrae Dowless. She doesn't know what he did with them afterward. She says she has no doubt Dowless wanted Mark Harris and Sheriff Jim McVicker to win.
What happened to the ballots Kinlaw picked up? She gave them to McCrae Dowless. After that, she doesn't know.

"I don't know what happened to them, he had stacks of them on his desk."
#NC09 #ncpol @wsoctv
Read 22 tweets
So this is pretty weird. McCrory won Bladen County 52%-46%. But he lost absentee by-mail in Bladen 61%-38%. The only voting method he lost in the county. McCrory also won statewide absentee by-mail voting in 2016. Hmm. 🤔 Seems like more ?s to be asked. #NC09 #NCPOL
Hold on. Turns out those questions were already asked and the @NCDemParty labeled the claims “over the top and completely false.” Contrast that with what the party is saying about the exact same allegations in 2018. #NCPOL newsobserver.com/news/politics-…
Now @RoyCooperNC’s handpicked @NCSBE Chairman Joshua Malcolm says that there have been “unfortunate activities” happening in his area for a “number of years.” Just how many years are we talking about here? And what races have been affected by these activities? #NCPOL
Read 23 tweets
I promised to post on the numbers I crunched earlier today along with some general observations about #NC09 in a tweet storm. Starting it now, will stop for dinner for a bit, then come back to it. Since this story has gone national, ppl want to know more so here goes. #ncpol 1/
First - some overall info: 282,717 ppl cast ballots in the #NC09 race between Harris (R) and McCready (D). As it stands now, the numbers are: 139,246 for Harris and 138,341 for McCready (a difference of 905 votes), and 5,130 for the Libertarian candidate Jeff Scott. #ncpol 2/
.@BowTiePolitics (Dr. Bitzer) did an in-depth analysis of the ABM percentages in #NC09, & my next series of posts relies on his percentages,tho most of the raw numbers from those I calculated myself, so if I get anything wrong, don't blame him :) oldnorthstatepolitics.com/2018/12/NCs-9t… 3/ #ncpol
Read 25 tweets
From last night: A look at McCrae Dowless, who appears to be at the center of the #NC09 investigation. wsoctv.com/news/local/man…
NEW: Governor Roy Cooper has named Joshua Malcolm the chair of NCSBE. Malcolm is who made the motion twice to not certify the #NC09 results and to investigate the irregularities. Gov Cooper also appointed Robert Cordle to the Board's open seat #ncpol @wsoctv
NCGOP is not a fan of Cooper picking Malcolm to lead NCSBE

Chairman Hayes:
"Per usual, Governor Cooper takes a bad situation and makes it worse by continuing to erode confidence in the neutrality of the Board. Democrat Joshua Malcolm is the most partisan member of the NCSBE"
Read 13 tweets
THREAD I was wondering how the failure to return requested absentee ballots in #NC09 compared to the rest of the state, so I mapped it. Robeson/Bladen are definitely outliers, but that's not the most interesting part. 1/
(Interactive map here: rpubs.com/ejsbrocco_ncpo…)
It's more interesting to look at the percentage of active registered voters who REQUESTED absentee ballots. Typical rates across the state are in the 1-3% range. Robeson has some hotspots but Bladen is OFF THE CHARTS, as high as 16%. 2/
(Interactive map: rpubs.com/ejsbrocco_ncpo…)
So my (conspiracy) theory is that if there is some sort of absentee voter operation going on in Bladen County, it starts with ballot requests. They're not just picking up ballots from people who genuinely requested. They're fraudulently doing the requests and then following up.
Read 5 tweets
The Harris/McCready #NC9 issue may be related to absentee ballots in #BladenCounty, so I thought it may be a good time to revisit the 2016 #Bladen Co. #elections. /THREAD
#NCPol

washingtonpost.com/politics/nc-of…
After the 2016 election, a spate of similarly-worded voter “protests” signed with the names of NC citizens and accusing other North Carolinians of fraud popped up across #NC.

See: facingsouth.org/2017/04/promin….
There was a hotly contested Gov. race, and it seemed unlikely that so many North Carolinians would use the *exact* same language on these forms, so I was concerned & started attending #NCSBOE meetings.
Read 21 tweets
Thread on @ncsbe not certifying @MarkHarrisNC9 @McCreadyForNC #NCPOL #NC9 election.
SUMMARY: There is evidence of absentee by mail (ABM) voting irregularities in Bladen AND Mecklenburg counties. Irregularities didn't alter election result but SHOULD be referred to US Attorney. 1/
This chart shows the percentage of votes cast by method in each county in #NC9. Note the only two counties where more than 2.8% of votes were cast ABM are Bladen 7.3% and Meck 5.8%. 2/
This chart shows the voting method statewide for the Voter ID Amendment. ABM makes up 2.6% of all #ncpol votes. /3
Read 14 tweets
AP: North Carolina board delays finalizing congressional result #NC09 #ncpol @wsoctv
NCBSE #NC09 results were not certified citing G.S. 163A-1180

That statute gives the Board to “take any other action necessary to assure that an election is determined without taint of fraud or corruption and without irregularities that may have changed the result of an election”
Campaign managers for Harris and McCready were unaware of this development when I contacted them
Read 78 tweets
What this family did is totally do-able in NC. (thread)

New Voter Fraud Cases in NC & CA Show Need to Secure Our Elections pllqt.it/vZtfxD #ncpol #VoterID
In 2016, I reported on hundreds upon hundreds of college students being allowed to register to vote in NC using the address of a ... wait for it...
VACANT LOT.
ladyliberty1885.com/2016/11/18/vot…
NCSBE said they gave college campuses a 'special dispensation'. In other words, these voters didn't have to follow the law the rest of us in NC did.
The reality of this is anyone could walk up and register at any college to the generic address & then disappear.
Read 16 tweets
Today's (10-31) Data Thread: NC's 2018 'early votes' are setting new #s in terms of absentee by mail & one-stop/in-person for a mid-term:

Over 1.4M requests have been made & returned & accepted (accepted mail not yet past 2014 total #s, but in-person has)

#ncpol #ncvotes
2018's absentee by mail ballots have slowed somewhat, & thus the #s have not yet reached 2014's #s.

But in absentee onestop/in-person ballots, NC has exceed 2014's #s for both requested & accepted.

Reminder: 2014 had 10 days of early voting & 2018 has 18 days.

#ncpol #ncvotes
Here are NC's 2018 requested NC absentee ballots for both mail and in-person methods, by daily totals and daily cumulative totals.

Tuesday saw 130K in-person early voters request ballots as we start final few days of NC's early voting period (ends Saturday)

#ncpol #ncvotes
Read 28 tweets
Awesome news for redistricting reform! The U.S. Supreme Court's decision not to hear the GOP's appeal paves the way for more state supreme courts to use their state constitutional guarantees of the right to vote & "free elections" to ban gerrymandering like PA's Supreme Court did
North Carolina (Antia Earls) & Michigan (Sam Bagenstos & Megan Kavanagh) have key 2018 supreme court races where progressives can gain the power to use their state constitutions to constrain gerrymandering. State supreme courts are the future of anti-gerrymandering litigation
This is why North Carolina Republicans are plotting to pack the NC Supreme Court & flip it to GOP in December if Dem Anita Earls loses & their deceptive judicial gerrymandering amendment passes. Vote Earls & no on all 6 NC constitutional amendments #NCpol dailykos.com/story/2018/9/7…
Read 10 tweets
North Carolina's 'early votes' are on pace for a mid-term record; as of 10-26-18 for absentee by mail & one-stop/in-person:

Over 1M requests have been made;

Of those, 957K of both absentee by mail & onestop/in-person have been returned & accepted.

#ncpol #ncvotes
Regarding NC accepted in-person ballots (that will be the majority of absentees): as has been noted for a few days, 2018 seems more of a 'presidential' year than a traditional mid-term.

But, 2018's daily total is slipping behind 2016's daily total, as expected

#ncpol #ncvotes
2018's NC accepted absentee in-person ballots is at 82% of where 2016 stood this same day (reminder: one more extra day in 2018 than 2016).

Compared to 2014's final #s, 2018 is now 84% of that mid-term's final tally of a little over 1M absentee in-person ballots

#ncpol #ncvotes
Read 25 tweets
Today's thread of NC 'early votes' as of 10-24-18 (note 2 different types: by mail & one-stop/in-person).

So far, 789K requests have been made for absentee ballots (both mail & in-person).

Of those, 716K have been returned & accepted (both mail & in-person).

#ncpol #ncvotes
Regarding NC accepted in-person ballots (that will be the majority of absentees): as has been noted over past few days, 2018 seems more of a 'presidential' year than a traditional mid-term.

But, 2018's daily total is beginning to slip behind 2016's daily total

#ncpol #ncvotes
2018's NC accepted absentee in-person ballots is at 93% of where 2016 stood this same day (reminder: one more extra day in 2018 than 2016).

Compared to 2014's final #s, 2018 is now 63% of that mid-term's final tally of a little over 1M absentee in-person ballots

#ncpol #ncvotes
Read 26 tweets
This story is wild: One of my followers (@the_stormclam) shared this Facebook post from Greensboro, NC Rabbi Fred Guttman on how an electronic voting machine was wrongly switching some of his votes from Dem to GOP. Guttman is my father’s rabbi, & Gboro’s in a key House seat #NC13
Like a number of North Carolina counties, Guilford (pop ~500k) uses electronic voting machines that produce a paper record. But it’s likely that tons of voters don’t bother checking that internal receipt when they vote. Make sure you do if you vote on one
To be clear, there’s no indication yet that this is anything but an error or is a widespread problem. However, if anything like this happens to you, alert polling place staff immediately & ensure your vote is recorded properly. And push your representatives to adopt paper ballots
Read 7 tweets
Another 120,000+ votes were cast during the 2nd day of in-person early voting yesterday in NC. Cumulatively, 256,989 ballots have been cast during in-person early voting so far & 275,254 via all methods. This continues very robust turnout. Partisan breakdown attached #NCGA #NCPOL
In 2010 there was a 17 day early voting period, on the 2nd day there were 34,994 votes cast. In 2014 it was a 10 day early voting period, the 2nd day there were 114,201 votes cast. This year is an 18 day early voting period, 2nd day there were 120,817 votes cast. #NCGA #NCPOL
the partisan breakdown of early voters in NC was consistent from Day 1 of unperson early voting & Day 2. Dems lead, which is not unexpected. For context...

2014 Total Early Voting Turnout (all methods):
Dem 47.3%
Rep 32.1%
Una 20.4%

#NCGA #NCPOL
Read 6 tweets
Follow-ups to @oldnorthstpol tweet thread about today’s data on NC ‘early votes’ (aka Absentee One-Stop (In-Person) Accepted Ballots).

Seems like solid start to NC early voting for next 18 days (longer than in 2010 & 2014). Will need more data to see though

#ncpol #ncvotes
@oldnorthstpol In looking at NC voter party registration for first day of early voting:

Registered Democrats: 43% (compared to 38% of total reg as of 10-13)

Reg GOP: 31% (29% of total reg)

Reg unaffiliated: 26% (31% of total reg)

#ncpol #ncvotes
@oldnorthstpol Comparison of 2018’s first ‘early voting’ day by voter party registration to the cumulative daily total trendlines in 2010 (which had 17 days of early voting) & 2014 (which had 10 days of EV):

#ncpol #ncvotes
Read 14 tweets
We are just seconds away from the #NC09 debate between @MarkHarrisNC9 and @McCreadyForNC! #ncpol
And we're live from uptown Charlotte! #NC09 #ncpol
#NC09 District is one of the hotly-contested races for the US House. It went for Pres. Trump in 2016, but it seen as a toss-up, and one that nat'l Dems are working to flip. #ncpol
Read 47 tweets
I am voting against all six North Carolina Constitutional Amendments.

Thread of graphics explaining the six constitutional amendments.

#ncpol #NorthCarolina #NixTheSix
Read 8 tweets

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