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Julian Routh

@julianrouth

6 Nov

Here's how the count has changed in Pennsylvania since shortly before 9 a.m., when Biden took the lead:

PA has uploaded 25,476 results. 23K were mail-in ballots.

Biden won the mail-ins by almost exactly a 2:1 ratio, and his lead has climbed from 5,510 to 13,471.

By my estimate, there are *at least* 95,652 mail-in ballots left to tally. Like we've said all day (and which was just confirmed w/ batch from Westmoreland County), Biden is only expected to grow lead w/ these. Even in Republican strongholds.

Now, as I explain in this story, there's still a large pool of ballots left to review (only to be counted if deemed eligible). By York Daily Record's #, it's clear there are at least 92,500 provisional ballots.

post-gazette.com/news/politics-…

Read 9 tweets

Julian Routh

@julianrouth

5 Nov

https://twitter.com/julianrouth/status/1324218516619382784

Many are asking why they keep hearing 735K mail-in ballots are left to be tallied in Pennsylvania.

CNN just cited this number, then said they’re still awaiting results from Allegheny County. That’s not true. Allegheny County is done.

https://twitter.com/julianrouth/status/1324218516619382784

So I’m gonna keep standing by my numbers here, which appear to be correct.

Alright, I think I know the issue: the state’s mail-in ballot dashboard is behind. I still believe my number is right. Two tweets to explain....

Read 11 tweets

Julian Routh

@julianrouth

3 Nov

Tracking the amount of ballots scanned in Allegheny County (Pittsburgh region) of the 330,000+ they have to process today:

11 AM: Over 9,000.

1 PM: 25,538

3 PM: 43,894

4:45 PM: 59,799

A little math: Between 1 PM and 4:45 PM, Allegheny County's warehouse workers scanned about 152 ballots per minute.

We'll know more at the next count update -- but rough estimates (at this ballot/minute count) would put the county in a place where they could be ready to upload close to 100,000 votes when the polls close.

Read 6 tweets

Julian Routh

@julianrouth

3 Nov

You're gonna hear the word "pre-canvass" a lot today in Pennsylvania. Here's what it means, under election law:

Let's thread pre-canvassing here.

Allegheny County says about 25% of the ballots are at "some stage of processing." More than 13,500 "have gone through the declaration review and have had the declaration envelope opened and the secrecy envelopes extracted."

As of 11 a.m.: the county has scanned more than 9,000 ballots so far.

Read 5 tweets

Julian Routh

@julianrouth

3 Nov

The sanitizer is ready, the voting machines have emerged from hibernation and the mail-in ballots — secrecy envelopes and all — are finally ready for opening in Pennsylvania.

It's Election Day. Here's what you need to know about how to vote in PA today (thread):

For those who want to vote in-person using a machine, polls are open in every one of Pennsylvania’s 67 counties from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. If you don’t know your precinct, you can find it by using this tool: pavoterservices.pa.gov/pages/pollingp…

REMEMBER: Anyone in line to vote at 8 p.m. will still be allowed to vote. Don't let anyone tell you differently.

Read 14 tweets

Julian Routh

@julianrouth

3 Nov

With Heinz Field as a backdrop, this drive-in crowd in Pittsburgh’s North Shore is awaiting a performance by Lady Gaga and one final headlining speech from Joe Biden.