RIP the polling industry as we know it
It’ll still be here! Campaigns and media rely on it too much.
But it’s gonna change.
Some more pretty big misses.
NC race isn’t done but Tillis is currently up 1.7%

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More from @AlxThomp

7 Nov
NEWS in tn's transition Playbook.
The networks may have called the race but the GSA hasn't and the Biden transition can't official start until they do (talk to admin depts., get govt. $$$)
"an ascertainment has not yet been made," the GSA says
politico.com/newsletters/tr…
This has pushed a low-key civil servant, Emily Murphy, center stage as the law gives her sole authority when to start the transition.
The GSA wants to avoid partisanship and Trump not conceding/pending lawsuits & recounts puts her in a tricky position.
David Marchik at the Presidential Transition Center is worried about a delay
"Every day counts in a transition, this year more than any transition since 1932. The formal transition process under law should begin quickly."
(his comment isn't in the newsletter b/c it came too late)
Read 8 tweets
7 Nov
NEW w/ the entire Politico newsroom: the best, most comprehensive cabinet guide you're going to find.

Treasury & Defense have only ever been lead by white men--that'll likely change.

Sherrod Brown is talking up Raphael Bostic for Treasury.

politico.com/news/2020/11/0…
if it's tldr, some highlights.
Defense: Michèle Flournoy, to lose.
Treasury: Lael Brainard the early frontrunner. Keep your eye on Bostic and Warren.
State: Rice, Blinken, and Coons. R senate hurts Rice's chances but she could still make it.
Read 12 tweets
6 Nov
Joe and Mitch are on the verge of becoming America’s new power couple.
Some think McConnell will be the same w/ Joe that he was w/ Obama

Others think Joe is better w/ Congress and circumstances r different

W/ ⁦@burgessev⁩ ⁦@marianne_levinepolitico.com/news/2020/11/0…
The bipartisan optimists say:
Mitch was the only Republican Senator to attend Beau Biden’s funeral
Former McConnell aides said Biden was just much better in his negotiating style than Obama was.
Chuck Hagel, Obama’s defense Secretary who served w/ Biden as a GOP Senator, agreed Biden is just very different at Congress relations.

Biden will be “personally involved. Obama’s style was different...Obama didn’t really understand the Congress, the Senate, like Joe does.”
Read 5 tweets
1 Nov
NEW: my look at Liz Cheney, who allies and rivals say has her eye on becoming the first GOP woman Speaker.
Some news in here: she has changed her stance on gay marriage and considers the issue settled after she & her sister publicly fought over it in 2013
politico.com/news/magazine/…
Many Trump supporters sneer at the idea of Cheney being the future of the party after 2016/Trump.

Asked about Liz, Don Jr. took a whack: those "elected Republicans who still endorse forever war are dinosaurs in our Party....Even if they STILL don’t realize it yet.”
If the GOP gets shellacked Tuesday, you could see some knives out for McCarthy.
And regardless of what happens Tuesday, Cheney will run for a post in House leadership, according to a GOP official familiar with her plans.
Tellingly, the official said she hasn't decided which one
Read 8 tweets
24 Oct
After being basically the only Dem 2020 candidate not to go on pod save America, Joe Biden finally goes on the pod in an episode that dropped this morning

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/pod…
Near the end, Biden reveals his biggest Trump zinger: “what really rankles my opponent is I say that the thing that bothers them most is he's not a patch on Barack's jeans.”
Read 4 tweets
14 Oct
Lolz
Earlier this year.
“Are you trying to say that I’m dumb”

I mean.
“I wish everyone was as perfect as you pete”

If Biden nominates Pete for a cabinet post, will must-watch cspan to see Klobuchar’s body language when she votes.
Read 4 tweets

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