Long COVID is nasty, but it is also really *weird*. (1/6)
1. My eyesight had always been fine, but became progressively worse after falling ill. Everything looked blurry. It got to the point where I maxed out the text size on all my devices. Then: over the course of two weeks, it: just got better! (2/6)
2. When I'm particularly fatigued, if I attend to a particular place in my head, I feel like I'm floating. Anywhere else—my chin, my fingers, my calves—and I sink. What the heck is happening? (3/6)
3. I love music. But, when I was really sick, my favourite songs stopped sounding right. It would take me a few minutes to process what I was hearing and to recognise the hooks that I know like the back of my hand. (4/6)
4. Amidst the fatigue, I would get these brief bursts of *witch energy*. I remember clutching our youngest tightly in my arms and being unable to stop pacing, as fast as I could, back and forth, until dizziness consumed me. (5/6)
Thankfully, I now seem to be mostly past this stuff. Again, huge thanks for your kind words and support, and for those still struggling: there's hope! (6/6)
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If you doubt expert forecasts of the future of work, you might like Appendix A of our 2017 report (robots.ox.ac.uk/~mosb/public/p…): we present results using only raw extrapolation of employment trends.
This extrapolation is much more optimistic than our forecasts using experts.
The horizontal (x) axis of the plot is the probability of an occupation having a higher share of employment in 2030 than in 2017. The vertical (y) axis is employment, or the number of jobs.
My personal view is that any attempt to adopt a purely data-driven approach to forecasting something as complicated as the future of work is just as likely to fail as using only expert judgement. Our report adopted a combination of the two.