Wanted to try to get some context for McLaurin. @DLFootball has been running monthly dynasty mocks since 2014. Here are the Top 10 receivers since 2013 in receiving yards through 22 games, along with their ADP (per DLF) the month they played their 22nd game.
General notes:
* DLF didn't run mocks the month Robinson played his 22nd game, so the range shows where he ranked the month before (15th overall, WR12) and where he ranked the month after (6th / WR6)
* I excluded Snead because he was a gameday inactive his entire rookie year.
(If you're curious about Snead, he was 56th overall / WR36. As I said, given that he bounced between three teams his rookie year and spent it all on a practice squad, I think some skepticism was reasonable and he's therefore not directly comparable. But there's the data for you.)
In general, fair to say everyone was drafted 13th or higher except for JuJu (21st), McLaurin (29th), and Diggs (30th).
Diggs was a 5th rounder, had recently gotten injured. I remember opinion being slow on JuJu (bought him low in this window). Surprisingly, given the later love.
I guess the maximally strong case against McLaurin is he's quite old for a 2nd-year receiver (just turned 25) and the RB and QB positions are quite a bit stronger today than they were for much of this period, pushing him down the overall ranks.
Hi Late Night Twitter, also known as Regular Night Twitter to all my west coast twitter buddies.
So @RyanMc23 gave me a peak at the hot new not-even-out-of-the-oven-yet dynasty ADP for @DLFootball because I was going to do something for him, but then I didn't. Sorry, Ryan.
And also I just recently re-ran my naive dynasty value formula. (For those who aren't in the know, basically it's just a formula where I input age, position, and 2020 projections and it spits out dynasty values. It's naive because it doesn't consider anything else!)
The extra context the formula doesn't consider is v. important. I think Saquon Barkley has non-zero dynasty value, but my formula disagrees because Saquon Barkley does not have non-zero 2020 projections!
I use the naive version as a check though because it's easy and I'm lazy.
I’ve been juggling Wilson and Mahomes in one of my dynasty leagues. Here’s how many points I’d have if I started:
510.4 - Right call every week 461.6 - Wilson every week (except bye) 441.4 - Mahomes every week 392.6 - Wrong call every week
**428.2 - Actual results.
Thoughts:
* Start/sit is hard. Sure, you *COULD* play matchups with two QBs to get more points. But I've done a lot of research suggesting you probably won't. Most players average more points in weeks they're benched than weeks they're started. Both Mahomes and Wilson do for me.
* Bigger thought: if your players are good enough, it doesn't really matter. My largely-failed matchup plays (I'm 2-of-8 in picking the right guy) still lead the league in QB scoring by a considerable margin.
Easiest way to win is to just maximize talent on your roster.
Joe Namath's rookie contract was the largest in professional football history. Not among rookies, among everyone.
His knees were so messed up that the military gave him deferred service. He used to have to get them drained during halftime so he could finish games.
Despite this, Namath made the pro bowl in his 1965, his first season, and was named Rookie of the Year. He was a first-team All Pro QB in 1967, 1968, and 1969, earning AFL MVP in the latter two seasons.
(Side note: in 1969 the AP named him 2nd-team All Pro *AND* league MVP.)
Shortly after, injuries began to mount. He missed 9 games in 1970 and 10 games in 1971 before playing 13 out of 14 games in 1972 and again being named first-team All Pro, this time of the post-merger league.
Missed 8 more games in 1973 before winning Comeback PotY in 1974.