Every single thing that Trump does over the next 73 days will be about seeking a softer landing when it comes to the criminal charges, civil penalties, and financial troubles he's about to face once he leaves office. Everything else said by him, or about him, will just be noise.
Trump is "contesting" the election so he can fundraise off of it. If he threatens to refuse to leave office, it'll be in the hope he can negotiate some kind of leniency in exchange for leaving peacefully.
If Trump starts doing weird things or starts pushing a bombastic agenda, it'll be to distract us from whatever he's working on behind the scenes to try to give himself a prison-free and bankruptcy-free exit from office.
Considering how comically inept Trump and his remaining handlers are these days, Trump will probably screw up whatever it is he's trying to pull off with regard to giving himself a softer landing. But you must understand that this is what he's TRYING to pull off. Nothing else.
The media is still pushing narratives about Trump somehow running again in 2024, or somehow launching a new TV network or business venture, because they're still trying to present him as relevant, so you'll remain scared of him and remain tuned in.
You SHOULD be scared of Trump these next three months, for the same reason you should have been scared of him these past 45 months: he'll continue to pillage us and negligently let people die. But he was always going to lose and then go prison.
Let's not allow the media to suck us into this mindset that because Trump has lost, he now somehow magically has the power to do magically evil things during the lame duck period that he couldn't pull off before. He's the same lazy crook. He just has a lot more problems now.
Trump has FAR LESS leverage now that he's lost. Many of his "friends" will stop returning his calls. And he has to focus on fending off prison and bankruptcy. He's far more crippled than he was when the week began. That doesn't somehow make him more powerful.
Now if you think Trump is a total psychopath who wants to go out in a blaze of glory and throw away whatever might be left of his life, that's one thing. But that's never been Trump. He's always the guy who makes deranged but empty threats and then meekly declares bankruptcy.
Trump is arrogant enough to think he can pardon himself and have it hold up in court, and then beat the state level charges by charming the jury. He's wrong on both counts. But that's the path he's most likely to pursue.
Trump is far too broke to mount a criminal defense, and literally no one is going to loan money to him at this point, so he's likely to spend the transition period focusing the most on pilfering taxpayer money. That's what we should watch most closely.
In addition, because Trump never gave a damn about how many people died in the pandemic, he's not about to start caring now. We have to focus on finding ways to work around him and mitigate the death toll until he's gone in January.
If we allow Trump (or the ratings-hungry media) to bait us into focusing on nonsensical narratives about laugh out loud impossible things that Trump is magically going to pull off, then we won't notice when he's pilfering even more money, pardoning guilty people for cash, etc.
You know how I knew all along that Trump would lose reelection? He doesn't have a magic wand. He did a lousy job, most people hated him, his numbers were terrible all along, and so he lost. So predictable. He won't have a magic wand during the transition period either.
Will Trump flee the country? Probably not. Will Trump resign and have Pence pardon him? Maybe, but probably not. Will Trump refuse to leave on inauguration day? No. These are mostly just unrealistic scenarios that the media presents as realistic, to bait you into staying tuned in
The media is mostly not even talking about the fact that Trump is now earmarked for prison and bankruptcy. That means their analysis and predictions for the transition period are useless, because they're ignoring the primary motivations for Trump's behavior and choices.

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More from @PalmerReport

10 Nov
Now that Joe Biden has won the election, it's worth examining the almost fictional manner in which the media covered Biden during the democratic primary race, in an attempt at generating higher TV ratings.
Based on the numbers and demographics, Biden was the primary frontrunner the entire time. There was never much doubt he'd be the nominee. The other candidates simply had very poor numbers with Black voters. The race was always going to turn for Biden in South Carolina.
Biden was never in trouble during Iowa or New Hampshire. Those lily white states don't determine who's going to be the nominee anyway. But "frontrunner wins as expected" doesn't make for good TV ratings, so they made up a fictional version of it instead.
Read 9 tweets
10 Nov
The final month before the election was a dark time for me. My timeline was flooded with fatalist hysteria about how Trump would win "no matter what" or how he'd magically stop the election from even happening. We were obviously going to win, but there wasn't much for me to do.
My role is to inform, organize, mobilize. But when that many people on our side have their heads that far up their fatalist asses, there's not much for me to work with. I had to waste that month trying to shout down the dummies who were insisting the election was doomed for us.
Now that the fatalists have been proven overwhelmingly wrong, and the election wasn't even close, we got to have like 48 productive hours before these damn fatalists managed to hijack our agenda again with this hysterical nonsense about Trump magically staying in office.
Read 9 tweets
10 Nov
If you waste these next two months nervously fretting over Trump’s laughable fantasy about magically overturning the election, instead of spending these next two months fighting to win the Georgia Senate runoffs, then you’re a very stupid person and I will never forgive you.
Some of you still haven’t figured out that when you run around yelling “we’re gonna lose,” you’re handing the other side leverage that it didn’t already have. You make Trump more powerful when you say that stupid shit.
Trump won’t be able to use that leverage to magically overturn the election, because this isn’t kindergarten fantasyland and nothing works that way in the real world. But you are absolutely handing Trump leverage to get away with other bad things on his way out the door.
Read 13 tweets
10 Nov
The more l dig into it, the more these House and Senate results don't make sense, based on not just polls but also demographics. Makes me think the pandemic, post office, etc, really did have a big impact. This suggests Biden's win over Trump was even bigger than what we've seen.
What can be done? Probably nothing. If people didn't vote because they were afraid of getting sick, or if mail-in ballots vanished, then what's done is done; we'd never be able to prove it. We'll just have to make sure it doesn't happen next time.
But the irony is that if even Trump did keep us sick to keep us from voting, and even if his post office stunt did have a major impact, then Trump still didn't do anything to help himself. All he did was unwittingly save some down ballot republicans. Trump's life is still over.
Read 5 tweets
10 Nov
MSNBC and CNN are doing a good job of making clear that Trump is 100% finished. But they need another supervillain to scare people into staying tuned in, and they've decided it's McConnell. They seem almost afraid we'll win the Georgia runoffs.
If we win the Georgia runoffs, which the numbers suggest we have about a 50-50 shot at, McConnell will be made powerless at the same time Trump is shoved off the stage. There would be no major conflict, no powerful villain. That's a nightmare scenario for TV news ratings.
So we have to be careful about the narrative coming from MSNBC and CNN that we don't have a realistic shot in the Georgia runoffs. They're afraid of losing both their ratings-friendly villains at once. The reality is we do have a good shot. I mean, we just won Georgia last week.
Read 5 tweets
9 Nov
By now it's clear that the hand wringing fatalists on our side were wrong about EVERYTHING when it came to the election. They insisted he'd win. He lost.

For fuck's sake, stop being hand wringing fatalists now. Trump is CRIPPLED, and some of you goofs are still cowering to him.
FACT: Trump has lost the election and cannot magically overturn it.

FACT: Trump is now facing prison and bankruptcy, and he knows he'll have to use the transition period to try to give himself a soft landing.

FACT: 95% of Trump's big threats turn out to be empty.
You gullible rubes are KILLING us with your endless hand wringing about how Trump is still somehow going to magically get his way. HE LOST. Don't you see now that your minds aren't wired to understand any of this? Just shut up until it's over and let the rest of us fight.
Read 6 tweets

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