Spoiler alert: there’s not one person in the Trump administration who’s willing to go to prison just to make the transition period harder for President Biden. Not one. Some of them, such as the GSA administrator today, will bluff about it a bit. But they’ll all end up caving...
What these dumb dumbs are hoping is that you’ll be naive to believe they can somehow magically get away with just not signing off on the transition. If they’ve got you scared of an imaginary threat, they can use it as leverage to get concessions in return...
The first rule in defeating Trump and his henchmen has always been to stop naively falling for the things they threaten to do that are literally impossible. Being gullible isn’t the same as being vigilant. When you fall for impossible threats, you hand the bad guys leverage.
Of course all the “look at me” pundits always insist that Trump and his henchmen will in fact magically do the literally impossible things that they’re threatening to do. So it’s understandable why you’re tempted to fall for it. These pundits do real harm while seeking attention.
Will the transition be smooth or successful? Of course not. Trump has already hollowed out the executive branch. On some level there is no government to transition. It’ll be a MESS. But no one in the Trump regime has a magic wand when it comes to doomsday evil. They just don’t.
The kid who has been evicted from the playground has lost all his leverage. He doesn’t suddenly gain leverage because he threatens to throw the ball over the fence. That just ensures the worst possible outcome for him. We still have the playground and we can get a new ball.

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More from @PalmerReport

11 Nov
We're not on the verge of a "civil war." Give me a break. Polls show 80% of Americans agree Biden won. That includes a majority of Trump's own voters. The only place this election is being "contested" is on Twitter and cable news. In the real world, this discussion doesn't exist.
It's not being contested in the streets; there were zero violent skirmishes when the winner was called. It's not (really) being contested in court; Trump is 0-for-12 in his frivolous suits, all of which had literally zero chance of going anywhere.
It's not being "contested" in the Pennsylvania state legislature; that's not a thing, no matter how many conspiracy theorists (on both sides) keep insisting it's a thing.
Read 10 tweets
11 Nov
Not sure why anyone thought transition would go well. Trump spent years gutting the executive branch; there's not that much left to transition. Also, we didn't win an election; we won a war. Trump is now a prisoner of war, threatening not to give up his secrets. Good luck to him.
These outcomes are always determined by who has leverage. Trump is headed for prison and bankruptcy, and the only asset he has left is his 73 remaining days in office. He'll use that asset to try to give himself a softer landing with regard to prison and bankruptcy.
Trump has two approaches: one is to go nicely, and hope it softens how the jury pool views him. The other, which he's trying on for size right now but won't get him very far, is to threaten to go out ugly and see if he can leverage it into some kind of immunity deal.
Read 7 tweets
10 Nov
Now that Joe Biden has won the election, it's worth examining the almost fictional manner in which the media covered Biden during the democratic primary race, in an attempt at generating higher TV ratings.
Based on the numbers and demographics, Biden was the primary frontrunner the entire time. There was never much doubt he'd be the nominee. The other candidates simply had very poor numbers with Black voters. The race was always going to turn for Biden in South Carolina.
Biden was never in trouble during Iowa or New Hampshire. Those lily white states don't determine who's going to be the nominee anyway. But "frontrunner wins as expected" doesn't make for good TV ratings, so they made up a fictional version of it instead.
Read 9 tweets
10 Nov
The final month before the election was a dark time for me. My timeline was flooded with fatalist hysteria about how Trump would win "no matter what" or how he'd magically stop the election from even happening. We were obviously going to win, but there wasn't much for me to do.
My role is to inform, organize, mobilize. But when that many people on our side have their heads that far up their fatalist asses, there's not much for me to work with. I had to waste that month trying to shout down the dummies who were insisting the election was doomed for us.
Now that the fatalists have been proven overwhelmingly wrong, and the election wasn't even close, we got to have like 48 productive hours before these damn fatalists managed to hijack our agenda again with this hysterical nonsense about Trump magically staying in office.
Read 9 tweets
10 Nov
If you waste these next two months nervously fretting over Trump’s laughable fantasy about magically overturning the election, instead of spending these next two months fighting to win the Georgia Senate runoffs, then you’re a very stupid person and I will never forgive you.
Some of you still haven’t figured out that when you run around yelling “we’re gonna lose,” you’re handing the other side leverage that it didn’t already have. You make Trump more powerful when you say that stupid shit.
Trump won’t be able to use that leverage to magically overturn the election, because this isn’t kindergarten fantasyland and nothing works that way in the real world. But you are absolutely handing Trump leverage to get away with other bad things on his way out the door.
Read 13 tweets
10 Nov
The more l dig into it, the more these House and Senate results don't make sense, based on not just polls but also demographics. Makes me think the pandemic, post office, etc, really did have a big impact. This suggests Biden's win over Trump was even bigger than what we've seen.
What can be done? Probably nothing. If people didn't vote because they were afraid of getting sick, or if mail-in ballots vanished, then what's done is done; we'd never be able to prove it. We'll just have to make sure it doesn't happen next time.
But the irony is that if even Trump did keep us sick to keep us from voting, and even if his post office stunt did have a major impact, then Trump still didn't do anything to help himself. All he did was unwittingly save some down ballot republicans. Trump's life is still over.
Read 5 tweets

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