Today would be a good day for that New York grand jury to go ahead and indict Donald Trump on state charges, even if they can't arrest him quite yet. The more Trump is forced to play defense during the transition, the less he can play offense.
If you're new here and you're asking "what grand jury," recall that the Trump tax return court battle was the result of a New York grand jury subpoenaing his taxes. They're clearly in the process of criminally indicting him.
Whether the grand jury has his taxes yet or not, it already reportedly has evidence from Michael Cohen and other sources. New York could easily indict Trump now, then hit him with a superseding indictment on the other stuff later.
The question isn't whether New York will indict Trump, it's when that part is anyone's guess. It's up to the prosecutors overseeing the case. Grand jury proceedings are mostly secret, so no real clues have emerged.
To be clear, Bill Barr and the DOJ have nothing to do with any state level criminal charges that New York will bring, and therefore Barr has literally no ability to interfere. It's just not a thing. Nor could Trump pardon himself on any state charges.
We can't assume New York is just going to swoop in and indict Trump during the transition period and save the day. We have to keep fighting Trump each day, beating back his petty antics. But now that he's lost, we suspect that a number of buzzards will begin circling very soon.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
We're not on the verge of a "civil war." Give me a break. Polls show 80% of Americans agree Biden won. That includes a majority of Trump's own voters. The only place this election is being "contested" is on Twitter and cable news. In the real world, this discussion doesn't exist.
It's not being contested in the streets; there were zero violent skirmishes when the winner was called. It's not (really) being contested in court; Trump is 0-for-12 in his frivolous suits, all of which had literally zero chance of going anywhere.
It's not being "contested" in the Pennsylvania state legislature; that's not a thing, no matter how many conspiracy theorists (on both sides) keep insisting it's a thing.
Not sure why anyone thought transition would go well. Trump spent years gutting the executive branch; there's not that much left to transition. Also, we didn't win an election; we won a war. Trump is now a prisoner of war, threatening not to give up his secrets. Good luck to him.
These outcomes are always determined by who has leverage. Trump is headed for prison and bankruptcy, and the only asset he has left is his 73 remaining days in office. He'll use that asset to try to give himself a softer landing with regard to prison and bankruptcy.
Trump has two approaches: one is to go nicely, and hope it softens how the jury pool views him. The other, which he's trying on for size right now but won't get him very far, is to threaten to go out ugly and see if he can leverage it into some kind of immunity deal.
Now that Joe Biden has won the election, it's worth examining the almost fictional manner in which the media covered Biden during the democratic primary race, in an attempt at generating higher TV ratings.
Based on the numbers and demographics, Biden was the primary frontrunner the entire time. There was never much doubt he'd be the nominee. The other candidates simply had very poor numbers with Black voters. The race was always going to turn for Biden in South Carolina.
Biden was never in trouble during Iowa or New Hampshire. Those lily white states don't determine who's going to be the nominee anyway. But "frontrunner wins as expected" doesn't make for good TV ratings, so they made up a fictional version of it instead.
The final month before the election was a dark time for me. My timeline was flooded with fatalist hysteria about how Trump would win "no matter what" or how he'd magically stop the election from even happening. We were obviously going to win, but there wasn't much for me to do.
My role is to inform, organize, mobilize. But when that many people on our side have their heads that far up their fatalist asses, there's not much for me to work with. I had to waste that month trying to shout down the dummies who were insisting the election was doomed for us.
Now that the fatalists have been proven overwhelmingly wrong, and the election wasn't even close, we got to have like 48 productive hours before these damn fatalists managed to hijack our agenda again with this hysterical nonsense about Trump magically staying in office.
If you waste these next two months nervously fretting over Trump’s laughable fantasy about magically overturning the election, instead of spending these next two months fighting to win the Georgia Senate runoffs, then you’re a very stupid person and I will never forgive you.
Some of you still haven’t figured out that when you run around yelling “we’re gonna lose,” you’re handing the other side leverage that it didn’t already have. You make Trump more powerful when you say that stupid shit.
Trump won’t be able to use that leverage to magically overturn the election, because this isn’t kindergarten fantasyland and nothing works that way in the real world. But you are absolutely handing Trump leverage to get away with other bad things on his way out the door.
The more l dig into it, the more these House and Senate results don't make sense, based on not just polls but also demographics. Makes me think the pandemic, post office, etc, really did have a big impact. This suggests Biden's win over Trump was even bigger than what we've seen.
What can be done? Probably nothing. If people didn't vote because they were afraid of getting sick, or if mail-in ballots vanished, then what's done is done; we'd never be able to prove it. We'll just have to make sure it doesn't happen next time.
But the irony is that if even Trump did keep us sick to keep us from voting, and even if his post office stunt did have a major impact, then Trump still didn't do anything to help himself. All he did was unwittingly save some down ballot republicans. Trump's life is still over.