Why do so many people care so deeply about whether Putin congratulated Biden? What, are they best buddies? Is there an international law requiring that you congratulate projected winners of US elections? Will it add to Biden's electoral legitimacy to be recognised by Putin?
In any case, why would you expect Russia, which has had a generally nasty relationship with the US for years, to congratulate Biden, who had recently called Russia the main foreign "threat" faced by the United States, and promised tough measures to counter Russia's aggression?
- OMG, Putin had not congratulated Biden - can you believe it?
- Yes, I can believe it, and I am not surprised. In fact, I'd be surprised if Putin went out on a limb to congratulate a candidate where the other candidate is yet to concede or, indeed, peacefully relinquish power.
Incidentally, while I don't think Biden congratulated Putin in 2018 (Trump did, prompting fierce criticism), there was a serious debate in the Obama administration about whether and how to congratulate Putin in 2012. @McFaul has a fascinating account here: nytimes.com/2018/03/20/us/…
To conclude, a Soviet joke. A man is marching on the Red Square. On passing the Mausoleum he shouts out to Soviet leaders atop: "The warmest of greetings!"
-Since when do you love them so much, a man marching next to him asks.
-Well, I can't just tell them: "Burn in hell!"
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Well, time to start re-reading what Biden had to say on foreign policy. This here is a must read. foreignaffairs.com/articles/unite…. A lot of useful ideas here, for example, focusing on America's domestic problems (proverbial leading by example), and fighting against corruption.
There is positive vibe in comments on climate change, on the Iran deal, and nuclear arms control.
At the same time, there is a lot of old, tired trope that will annoy America's friends around the world. Like these brave proclamations here that will lead to a lot of eye-rolling, e.g. in Europe.
Some people have criticised that I've compared the US election with that in Turkmenistan: let me explain. The OSCE has 57 participating member-states, among them some vile tyrannies. Turkmenistan is probably the worst, which is why I use it for benchmarking.
If you were to take key indicators of democratic elections - from campaign and media environment to campaign finance to voter enfranchisement to election administration, you will see that the US doesn't do too well in these categories. I'd say it's in the bottom 50 percent.
Of course, there are many others that are much worse. Central Asia, Russia, and Belarus are examples. There are others that are much, much better. Having observed elections in Mongolia, I'd say Mongolia is way better across all indicators. Much of Western Europe is way better.
The @osce_odihr report on the US election is out: osce.org/files/f/docume…. A great read. It's lucky that Trump seems to have been voted out because if he stayed, there'd be every ground to say that his election was not free and fair.
The report highlights Trump's efforts to "harm public trust in democratic institutions" & his widespread use of the administrative resource. And this here: "There was a widespread perception that federal judges often voted on election-related matters along partisan principles."😳
Check out, also, the section on campaign finance (deeply flawed and open to abuse) & voter disenfranchisement. "These restrictions on voting rights ... contravene principles of universal suffrage,...as provided for by OSCE commitments and other international standards."
Check out the juicy evidence, too. "But where there is one conspiracy, another, greater one is always lurking—like the credits and intertitles of this moviefilm, which flash for a moment in Russian Cyrillic (not Kazakh), only to be obscured by English."
Not entirely true by the way since the credits are partially in actual Kazakh. But so what. "Borat" also speaks Hebrew and Polish in the film - is this a pointer to an Israeli-Polish conspiracy to undermine the US?
Reading here Brezhnev's speeches at internal party conferences. On one occasion (in 1973) he went into great detail about how the Soviets were lagging behind the West in high-tech exports, and were just not competitive on the international market.
Here he is complaining how the Netherlands is ahead of the USSR in foreign trade.
Later he talks about how the Soviets are falling behind in acquiring foreign licenses (compared to countries like Japan):
Some people have criticised my negative assessment of Catherine Belton's engagement with her sources, suggesting that I selectively pointed to one or two dubious sources. I am receptive to this criticism; therefore, I am running another thread (the last one, I promise).
This thread is about Belton's claim that the KGB siphoned off billions of dollars from the Soviet economy in the final days/months of the Soviet regimes. Where do we find this claim? Right here.