An immense abdication of responsibility that ignores dangerous levels of downside risk.
The key question this morning is whether Republican state legislators in PA, MI, GA, AZ, etc would be willing to resist a sustained Trump/Fox push to ignore the election results and submit a dueling elector slate, triggering a constitutional crisis.
That’s already been floated by Mark Levin and Sean Hannity. As Fox works itself into a frenzy over bogus election fraud claims, those calls are likely to get louder.
So far, GOP state legislative leaders in PA, at least, have said they won’t toss the election results. Would that stick after, say, two weeks of Fox hosts demanding they do it and a Trump rally in the state?
Every step down this path is fraught with the possibility of civil unrest, state violence, and constitutional crisis. And it ends when Trump decides to stop, or when Fox and the GOP tell him no - something they’ve basically never done.
The Trump legal cases are obvious bullshit that I don’t think will survive scrutiny in court (though IANAL). But you need to also think of them as part of a disinformation effort playing out in the right-wing media bubble.
The president’s supporters are being primed to assume that any failure of the legal cases are deep state corruption. And the next remedy is a political one, aimed at GOP state legislators in gerrymandered seats who are closer to the Fox-and-Facebook-addled party base.
The frog is boiling.
Probably going to be fine just purging the defense and intel bureaucracies and bringing in loyalists...

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More from @MattGertz

11 Nov
I think @HayesBrown gets at something very important in this piece: Things have escalated to a point where regardless of what GOP leaders think they are trying to do, the situation could quickly spiral out of their control.
msnbc.com/opinion/how-mu…
@HayesBrown Everyone is trying to figure out what Republicans are doing and when the stakes are this high and trust this low it is very easy for miscommunications to occur that result in extremely bad consequences.
@HayesBrown Every day this continues increases the probability of the tinder going up in flames.
Read 7 tweets
11 Nov
Fox News primetime firmly planted in the "do nothing" camp as cases hit record levels, hospitalizations soar, and deaths clear 1,300. ImageImageImageImage
Here's the radiologist Trump plucked from a Fox green room to run the coronavirus response describing Dr. Tony Fauci as "a political animal" who has "cheered up because of the election" and lost his "credibility."
Read 4 tweets
9 Nov
The best-case, non-alarmist scenario is that the right-wing media machine will now ensure that a majority of Republicans permanently refuse to accept the results of this election.
There are many worse cases, of course. But that’s the floor at this point.
Read 6 tweets
9 Nov
The theory that Rupert Murdoch had put his foot down really isn't holding up too well.
This segment, promoted by the president of the United States, features discussion of a scenario in which the Pennsylvania state legislature sends a dueling slate of Trump electors to the Electoral College.
The president tweets video of the chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee telling him not to concede because "these computers in Michigan do not pass the smell test," seems like a ref to the Hammer and Scorecard conspiracy theory.
Read 4 tweets
8 Nov
The morning after news networks called the election for Biden, Trump is watching Fox and pushing out its lies to delegitimize the results.

Left, Fox & Friends Sunday, 7:21 a.m.
Right, Trump, 8:38 a.m
Trump likely also saw Steve Scalise, the number 2 House Republican, pushing the same garbage about the election results on Fox, saying "some very questionable things happened" in key states.
Read 4 tweets
7 Nov
Fox's analysis is that Joe Biden succeeded by taking the virus seriously, building his margin in the suburbs, and because the GOP didn't push mail-in voting.

In other words, the network's advice led Donald Trump to ruin.
Trump didn't take the virus seriously because he was listening to Fox.

His suburban strategy was built around fearmongering the Floyd protests because he was listening to Fox.

He told his supporters that mail-in ballots were a source of fraud because he was listening to Fox.
The actual impact of Trump taking Fox's advice, particularly wrt the coronavirus, proved devastating for the country.

But as political counselors, they failed him.
Read 6 tweets

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