New in @JAMA_current today on a new bundled payment model based in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs)!

Turns out that SNFs can save money too with bundled payments

W/ wonderful co-authors @kejoynt John Orav @DavidCGrabowski Arnie Epstein

brief thread

jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/… Image
@JAMA_current @kejoynt @DavidCGrabowski A little discussed bundled payment model run by CMMI from 2013-2018 was focused on nursing facilities as risk-bearing providers - so called "BPCI Model 3"

How did this program work for total joint replacement - the most common surgery in Medicare?

innovation.cms.gov/innovation-mod…
@JAMA_current @kejoynt @DavidCGrabowski We studied episodes at 448 SNFs from 2013-2017 and matched them to similar SNFs

Outcomes: spending, SNF days and admission/death

This was also my first chance to walk the walk of @laura_tastic @jamie_daw's excellent work on matching in diff-in-diff

@JAMA_current @kejoynt @DavidCGrabowski @laura_tastic @jamie_daw I'll cut to the chase because you have other doomscrolling to do

Major findings:
- Bundled payments in SNFs for joint replacement resulted in $1,008 differential savings (5.6%!)
- All of this came from lower length of SNF stay
- No signal of worse outcomes or patient selection ImageImageImage
@JAMA_current @kejoynt @DavidCGrabowski @laura_tastic @jamie_daw If you are intrepid enough to dive into the Appendix, you'll find another really interesting result (I think), which is that the savings grew over time for participating SNFs. Image
@JAMA_current @kejoynt @DavidCGrabowski @laura_tastic @jamie_daw My takeaways from this work:

- Let's not forget about the potential for bundled payments outside of hospitals
- The evidence is pretty strong now that less post-acute rehab for joint replacement seems to be OK
- Results for SNF bundles for medical conditions coming later ...
@JAMA_current @kejoynt @DavidCGrabowski @laura_tastic @jamie_daw And the last takeaway was that it was awesome to work with @kejoynt @DavidCGrabowski Arnie and John!

This paper built on the excellent work of many: @laura_tastic @jamie_daw @JMichaelMcW @AmolNavathe @JoshuaLiaoMD + many at @TheLewinGroup and non-twitterati like Amy Finkelstein

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More from @ml_barnett

13 Nov
I spent the entire month of February 2020 in a state of silent panic.

Watching Europe + US outbreaks play out, I knew something terrible was coming. But few of my colleagues shared the depth of my fear.

It feels like this again. And I think the public still has no idea.

🧵
Just. look. at. this. graph.

Did late March feel terrible and apocalyptic? We are FAR past that point right now.

And guess what? We have not yet reached the BUSIEST HOLIDAY TRAVEL WEEK OF THE YEAR

My patients are asking me about travel plans. They have no idea what is coming Image
And how can I blame them? Even *I* am uncertain about how to best counsel them.

Honestly guys ... as a PCP my best source of COVID-19 guidance is #epitwitter and #medtwitter.

If this is how I feel, as a PCP and a professor at @HarvardChanSPH then I fear for our country.
Read 9 tweets
25 Aug
🚨 New in @JAMA_current 🚨

"Secret shopper" survey of 368 residential addiction programs for opioid use

TL;DR:

Fewer than 1/3rd offered maintenance treatment with buprenorphine while over 1 in 5 actively discouraged buprenorphine use

More below

jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…
@JAMA_current Lots written about shoddy quality at residential addiction programs, but there is little hard data out there

We set out to get data on what programs offer to potential patients

Led by @tamarabeetham w/ coauthors @BrendanSaloner @DrSarahWakeman + Marema Gaye, Richard Frank
@JAMA_current @tamarabeetham @BrendanSaloner @DrSarahWakeman We called 368 residential programs as "secret shoppers" posing as individuals looking for opioid use disorder (OUD) treatment.

We asked what therapies do they offer, and do they nudge callers in any direction?
Read 9 tweets
23 Aug
It's been a depressing news week so is another thread of beautiful pictures from Google Earth to make you happy.

#1: Dramatic angles framing a river in Germany

Pics from Chrome extension: chrome.google.com/webstore/detai… Image
#2: An amazing city with respect for its neighbor forest in Ecuador Image
#3: One very scenic cloud in Vietnam Image
Read 9 tweets
20 Aug
New paper out today in @Health_Affairs on shortages of PPE and staff in nursing homes nationally.

We did an in-depth analysis of shortages reported in @CMSGov's COVID-19 nursing home survey (98% of facilities in the US)

healthaffairs.org/doi/abs/10.137…

with @McGarryBE @DavidCGrabowski Image
@Health_Affairs @CMSGov @McGarryBE @DavidCGrabowski Nursing homes have been devastated by COVID-19 - only 1.3 million older adults in the US but >40% of ALL COVID-19 deaths in the US.

Part of the challenge has been persistent PPE and staff shortages. These are widely reported but there hasn't been much data on what is happening.
@Health_Affairs @CMSGov @McGarryBE @DavidCGrabowski We looked at nursing homes' answers about whether they had 1 week or less of 6 critical PPE supplies (e.g. gloves, N95, gowns) and whether they had shortages of staff in 4 categories (e.g. nurses, nurse aides).

We compared responses in late May to mid-July
Read 9 tweets
3 Aug
Two important studies today in @JAMAInternalMed on digital access among older Americans.

They are framed as relevant to telemedicine access but really this is about accessing almost ANY service in the Covid-19 era

Brief thread

jamanetwork.com/journals/jamai…

jamanetwork.com/journals/jamai…
@JAMAInternalMed The first study by @eric_t_roberts @Ateevm uses Census data from 2018 to ask how many Medicare enrollees have access to:
1) any computer with high speed internet
2) smartphone with data
3) any digital access

And over 1 in 4 lack ANY digital access as above ImageImage
@JAMAInternalMed @eric_t_roberts @Ateevm Other stats:

Proportion that lack digital access:
- 50% of those 85+
- 45% of those with less than HS education
- 50% of those below the federal poverty limit
- 36% of those on Medicaid

Clearly video telemedicine won't be accessible to wide swaths of vulnerable older adults Image
Read 9 tweets
30 Jul
Tweet thread of my favorite Google Earth photos from lord know how many tabs I have opened in the past two months.

I love the flowing green tendrils in this one. Very dramatic. Image
Wiggly islands in Kazakhstan Image
Barcelona Image
Read 11 tweets

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