To be clear: Trump would love to pull off a coup d'état but he doesn't have the ability.

Pinochet had the army with him.

Trump couldn't even strongarm Ukraine (a vulnerable country) without getting caught and stopped.

Trump's skill: lying and controlling the narrative.
Guiliani and Trump kicked off Operation Ukraine Shakedown after the 2018 midterms, when the writing was on the wall: They would lose the election.

The plan was for Ukraine to launch an "investigation" into Biden, who Trump correctly assessed would be his opponent.
If it looks like a coup might succeed, yes. But there are no signs that Trump can actually pull anything off.

Right now taking to the streets will create more chaos that will play into Trump's hands, so I respectfully disagree.

Precisely.

Trump lost the election. Taking to the streets gives him an opportunity to take action.

Why should we help Trump escalate a situation and cause trouble?

I agree.

Americans voted for Biden because they are tired of chaos.

I believe @stuartpstevens who said (in his book, It Was All A Lie) most Republican elected leaders know Trump isn't up for the job.

Listen, if it were so easy to circumvent an American election and install the losing candidate—why would the Republicans do it in 2020 with Trump, in the middle of a pandemic?

From @stuartpstevens book, It Was All A Lie⤵️

Most GOP leaders don't even like him.
Not every voter who voted for Trump is part of the cult or willing to throw out the Constitution for him.

The number of people who think Trump actually won is fairly small, last I heard, about 20%, probably the same number that thinks the moon landing was fake.

Thanks. That's right. (I saw the same poll. I need more ☕️; still early in CA)

A good portion of "the results aren't yet known" people will change their minds when the results are certified.

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More from @Teri_Kanefield

13 Nov
Ladies and gentlemen, in the center circus ring, we have [🥁 drum roll ] Trump’s next Hail Mary attempt to steal the election . . .

. . . faithless electors!

🙄

1/
The first attempt was to “get rid of the ballots,” which Trump did with a series of groan-inducing frivolous lawsuits that should have embarrassed every lawyer who brought them.
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

2/
Now that it’s clear that these lawsuits will fail, Trump (reportedly) turns his attention to the electoral college.

You can read about the electoral college here:
archives.gov/electoral-coll…

Choosing the electors is a two-part process. . .

3/
Read 7 tweets
12 Nov
The GOP leadership is in a bind. Trump controls the "base." The GOP leadership can't get elected without them.

That's how Trump was able to force Loeffler and Perdue to attack GA the secretary of state.

The GOP got into this mess when it outsourced voter mobilization.

1/
Paul Pierson and @Jacob_S_Hacker explain in⤵️

At first, the Fox-GOP partnership was a boon to GOP candidates, but what the authors call “outsourcing voter mobilization” has drawbacks. Eventually, FOX exerted control over GOP officials . . .

2/ Image
They were forced to cater to Fox’s demands, which forced GOP officials to adopt more extreme policies.

Now it appears that Trump has taken over from Fox.

Trump controls the GOP voters. That's where he gets his power.

3/
Read 5 tweets
10 Nov
The courts aren't going to install a dictator (which is what ignoring the vote would do).

Lawsuits require evidence.

Moreover, federal judges with lifetime appointments have no motive to install a dictator and (effectively) give up all their own power to a vindictive person.
People are asking about the military. The military is not going to install Trump as a dictator. Soldiers and generals would have to obey illegal orders and circumvent the Constitution. Not. Going. To. Happen.

This country is too big.

That said, Trump is up to something.
He's figuring out how to line his own pockets and cover his tracks.

He's figuring out how to maneuver the levers of government for his personal enrichment while he controls them.

He's figuring out how to consolidate influence (collect favors, perhaps) to remain relevant.
Read 7 tweets
10 Nov
KM asks why the GOP leadership is terrified of losing.

(Both Lindsay Graham and Matt Gaetz said if the GOP loses this election, they'll never win again.)

GOP is a minority party. If they lose power, they lose the ability to manipulate systems to keep minority control.

1/
The fear is also explained by Richard Hofstader, who wrote the classic work⤵️

Hofstadter reviewed American politics from before the founding of the nation through McCarthyism. He noticed a pattern among an impassioned minority on the fringes of the political spectrum.

2/ Image
He called their behavior the “paranoid style” in politics.

Those embracing the paranoid style of politics believe that unseen satanic forces are trying to destroy something larger in which they belong.

3/
Read 11 tweets
10 Nov
On his way out the door, Trump will still be insisting that the election was rigged and the Democrats stole it through massive fraud involving absentee ballots ⤵️

Here's how to understand that particular lie.

1/
Sarah Huckabee Sanders argued that Trump’s lies actually point out deeper truths:


Essentially she was saying that Trump's lies are metaphorically true.

One example of that is birtherism.

2/
Birtherism was a provable lie, but Obama—a Black man with a foreign-sounding name—wasn’t a “real” American.

The mail-in ballot fraud lie serves a similar purpose, which is why the Republican leadership is not speaking up . . .

3/

Read 5 tweets
10 Nov
Dear doomsayers: If you're new to my feed, please check out my FAQs.

Don't say untrue things like "the entire system is broken." It's just as big a lie as "the election was rigged and Trump didn't lose."

As @selectedwisdom has explained . . .

1/
. . . a goal of Active Measures is to undermine confidence in public institutions.

Trump lost the election, but NOOOOO that isn't enough. Trump is filing frivolous lawsuits so WE ARE DOOMED.

The danger isn't a Trump coup. . .

2/
. . . the danger is that people are not willing to put in the necessary work to make democracy work.

Yeah, I'm going on a tear. If you've heard this lecture before, you can stop reading.

Nobody owes you a democracy. For most of American history, we lived in a hierarchy.

3/
Read 13 tweets

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