Each Remembrance Day / Veterans Day takes us another step away from the events of November 11, 1918; each generation finds it a little bit harder to imagine what it was like to be caught up, as my grandfather John Ferguson was, in what came to be the First World War. Image
This year's pandemic has reminded us that the "Spanish" influenza of 1918-19 was a key part of the war's ghastly culmination. It may have originated in a US army base (Fort Riley, Kansas, the site of Camp Funston) but it soon spread throughout the world, killing 40-50 m. people.
Writing The Pity of War more than 20 years ago, I was intrigued by the possibility that the war had not only caused the war, by facilitating its spread via camps and troop ships, but had also helped to end it, by contributing to the German collapse.
This was one of many charts that didn't make it into the book. Image
And here is another that has always haunted me: Image
Finally, one of the many stark images I found in the photograph albums of German soldiers. My original caption: "Images of death, 4. ‘Dead Scot at Fosse 8’: from the album of a German soldier. Ordinary German soldiers often snapped pictures of enemy corpses – as trophies?" Image

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More from @nfergus

8 Jul
While I am on the subject of free speech, it's worth reading the deranged attempt to "cancel" @sapinker signed by 575 members of "The Linguistics Community" and sent to the Linguistic Society of America: docs.google.com/document/u/1/d…
At first I thought this was a parody. But no. The letter - demanding that Pinker be removed from the LSA's list of distinguished academic fellows because of six old tweets - exemplifies the toxic mentality that is so widespread in universities today.
The best rebuttal is here whyevolutionistrue.com/2020/07/05/the… but there are links to others here: motherjones.com/recharge/2020/…
Read 4 tweets
8 Jul
After the virtue-signaling opening paragraph, there's nothing I disagree with in the @Harpers "Letter on Justice and Open Debate." It's good to see so many prominent liberal intellectuals standing up for free speech: harpers.org/a-letter-on-ju… 1/13
So well done to @thomaschattwill for putting it together. The hostile reaction to it on the intolerant left has revealed just how necessary it was: nytimes.com/2020/07/07/art… 2/13
But as I looked down the list of signatories, I found myself wondering where all these people were when it was conservative intellectuals who were getting "canceled." Because this problem pre-dates 2020, let's face it. 3/13
Read 13 tweets
27 Jun
Because of course the @washingtonpost never, ever downplayed the risk of COVID-19. "Conservative media misinformation may have intensified the severity of the pandemic." washingtonpost.com/business/2020/…
No, it wasn't just @seanhannity who dismissed the threat of a pandemic back in January and February. Let's also remember this February 3 gem from the @washingtonpost : washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/0…
Read 10 tweets
7 Jun
My debut for @bopinion is now live: bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… Why 1968 is the wrong analogy for understanding 2020. 1/6
"For years, I have confidently said that 1968 was much worse than the present. But could it be the other way around — not in terms of standards of living or rates of violence, but in terms of politics and the perceptions that shape it?" 2/6
"History shows that pandemics all too often exacerbate existing social tensions between classes and ethnic groups." 3/6
Read 6 tweets
4 Jun
Usual problem of compressed discussion of economics and history tonight on @Channel4News with @mattfrei and @StephanieKelton. US fiscal consolidation did happen after 1945, though I was wrong to suggest it went on into the 1960s. 1/5
Federal government ran surplus in 7 out of 14 years from 1947 to 1960. Then modest deficits (on average <1% of GDP) until 1975. 2/5
But it was mostly growth and inflation, in roughly equal measure, that brought down the debt/GDP rate to its low point of 31% in 1981. 3/5
Read 7 tweets
4 Jun
For all those folks out there who've abandoned social distancing and mask-wearing in the belief that a) COVID-19 has magically gone away, or b) BLM protesters have natural immunity because SARS-CoV-2 is woke, or c) masks are for libtards ... 1/5
... I have a song for you all: 2/5
"The Bells of Hell" was sung by British soldiers in the trenches during the First World War. Here is how one contemporary interpreted it: 3/5
Read 5 tweets

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