A quick look at how the race panned out in my neck of the woods: #HD37A.

This was an Obama->Trump district that swung back to Biden this time. There are some more blue-collar burbs here that were open to giving Trump a shot, but looked more like the rest of the burbs in 2020.
In the race for #MNLeg in #HD37A, @ErinKoegel ran roughly even (actually a hair ahead of) the top of the ticket. She was reelected to a third term against Spring Lake Park City Councilman Ken Wendling. Some minimal realignment here from 2018.
In the race for #SD37, @SenJerryNewton was reelected by single digits. In the A portion of the district (which he used to represent in the House) he ran roughly even with Biden and Koegel. This was a rematch from 2016 against @sanford4mn.
In the race for US Senate, @TinaSmithMN lost quite a few votes to third third parties here and under-performed her 2018 performance.
On the Congressional level here, we saw some reversion back to 2016 in the #MN06 portion while and to a lesser extent in #MN03. In the two #MN05 SLP #HD37A precincts, Johnson outran Omar.
As a companion to this, here is how things panned out in #HD37B:

This district was a Romney -> Trump -> Biden district. This is a key area where the DFL will continue to look at to expand their reach through the metro.
The DFL narrowly missed picking up #HD37B in 2018 and gave a rematch there a shot in 2020. @MalikForMN ran behind his 2018 performance and well behind Biden.
In the State Senate race, Newton actually carried the B half this time around making improvements pretty much across this part of the district that is becoming more favorable to the DFL.
Smith narrowly carried #HD37B this time around, though ran behind her 2018 performance. Looking back to 2014, Franken lost this district (he struggled in many
Wrapping this up: unlike the A portion, the B half of the SD is entirely within #MN06 and swung back to roughly where it was in 2016.

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More from @ActorAaronBooth

12 Nov
The MN Senate GOP got a bit of insurance this afternoon to prevent a tie in the chamber if Biden were to appoint Klobuchar to his cabinet and Walz were to then appoint Flanagan to the US Senate. They also wouldn't mind a shot at #SD06 in a special election. #MNLeg ImageImageImage
The GOP would have been favored to hold Miller's seat in a potential special anyhow, though 1. they would probably prefer not to lose Miller in the chamber and 2. don't want to risk even a relatively small chance of an upset. ImageImageImageImage
The chain of events that would need to happen for any of this to matter are super unlikely. I doubt Biden appoints Klobuchar to anything. (Maybe convince Senate Dems to make her the new Judiciary Ranking member?) & would Walz appoint Flanagan & lose Tomassoni?
Read 6 tweets
11 Nov
Wednesday Minnesota COVID-19 update (Yesterday’s number in parentheses):

Cases: 194,570 (189,681)
Deaths: 2,754 (2,698)
Approx numb of tests: ???* (3,179,872)

*The test number has not updated yet on the @mnhealth site for the dat.
While we don’t know the test number yet, based on the approx positive rate Walz mentioned this morning, you would expect the test number to be somewhere under 24,500.
We have that elusive total test number that was missing this morning: 3,194,842
Read 4 tweets
15 Jan
Interesting new Florida poll gives Biden a wide lead with Buttigieg in 7th at 3% behind Bloomberg (7%) Klobuchar (6%) and Yang (5%).
Big shift towards Biden from their poll from early October that had Biden trailing Sanders:
Their current poll, however, is more in line with their previous polls from September and May of 2019. (It looks like the poll from October was <300 of a sample, so that may explain some of why that one sticks out)
Read 6 tweets
3 Jul 19
Bingo. Oberstar was the last person to run unopposed entirely (in 1976) and by the other major party (1978).

Side note: the last time a Republican ran completely unopposed for Congress in MN was 1926 when Frank Clague ran for his 4th term.
Clague would serve until 1933. He didn't run again in 1932 when Minnesota dealt with losing a Congressional seat and elected all 9 members of its delegation at large on one ballot after an amazingly bizarre set of events. Winners in 1932 all got between 4% and 5% statewide.
And when I say "amazingly bizarre" I am probably even understating the situation. Here is a @MinnPost article from 2018 talking about that 1932 election: minnpost.com/eric-black-ink…
Read 12 tweets

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