The Border Patrol already makes these numbers public once a year. It's not like these are any secret.

What they want to do is throw around numbers which are historically low, but because people don't have any context, they'll freak out about it. It's propaganda.
In 2006, the Border Patrol recorded 1,071,972 apprehensions and 615,000 “got aways.”

In 2019 they recorded 851,508 apprehensions and just 140,000 “got aways”—a 77% drop since 2006.

We haven't seen FY20 numbers yet.
Importantly, we might expect an increase in reported "got aways" this year from the Border Patrol not because of more *people,* but because of more *data.*

The Border Patrol Chief wrote earlier this year that improved reporting of incidents will itself lead to an increase.
These issues of what data to report or not produce extremely odd results, like this chart from September where the official metric for "known illegal entries" will be massively lower than the target because they don't count Title 42 expulsions. performance.gov/homeland_secur…

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More from @ReichlinMelnick

13 Nov
The new citizenship test reported on by @priscialva is now officially public. Citizenship applicants will now have to answer 12 of 20 questions right, up from 6 of 10.

This will inevitably lengthen the interview process and lead to fewer interviews a day.
As @priscialva reported, the new test shifts many questions towards broader principles.

For example, "What do we call the first ten amendments to the Constitution?" has been replaced with "What does the Bill of Rights protect?"

Old New ImageImage
Some questions have been explicitly made harder. For example, "Name one branch or part of the government" has been replaced with "Name the three branches of government."

Notably, Senator-Elect Tuberville got this wrong yesterday

Old New ImageImage
Read 27 tweets
7 Nov
A month before he became the first President since 1992 to lose reelection, Donald Trump stood in front of a cheering crowd and declared that Biden would “turn Minnesota into a refugee camp.”

He went on to lose Minnesota by nearly 6 points more than 2016.
President Trump has run on a platform of immigration restrictions since the first day he came down that escalator and talked about Mexican rapists.

In 2016 many people thought he was bluffing.

Less than one week into his presidency, he issued the Muslim Ban. It wasn't a bluff.
The last four years showed us conclusively that the politics of attacking immigrants does not work.

Separating families, imposing wealth tests on immigration, and throwing ever-more immigrants into ICE jails did not gain Trump support.

It had the exact opposite effect. Gallup chart showing more support for immigration than at an
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
Election night and we’re making dumplings to keep our mind off of things! Just about to combine ingredients for the filling. Image
Dumpling filling made, we are setting up to make the dumplings now. His and hers bowls of water. Image
End result of 25 minutes of filling? 38 dumplings, with a few wrappers left over because we overstuffed a bit. We’re still getting the hang of it.

We’ll freeze most of them and then eat a few tonight! Image
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
!! Incredible FOIA victory from @DMRS_ElPaso, obtaining key operational documents from MPP’s early rollout, including this memo from Chad Wolf—then acting head of Office of Strategy—concluding that MPP wouldn’t have any singular effect on migration flows. dmrs-ep.org/dmrs-vs-ice-fo… This is a four page memo on MPP.
There’s also this memo from May 2019, previously reported on but never released publicly, where the decision is made to create tent courts along the border and where EOIR admits backlogs are massively growing and resolving all MPP cases timely would require 1/3 of all judges.
Here are talking points for a meeting attended by every major immigration person at DHS.

“MPP is a priority for this Administration, and we must do everything in our power to implement and expand it.”

ZERO mention of concerns about dangers in Mexico for people subject to MPP.
Read 6 tweets
2 Nov
NEW! 🚨 Public charge is BLOCKED, yet again. A federal district court in Illinois has granted summary judgment vacating the rule in its entirety.

Because the previous stay decision in that case related to the preliminary injunction, it does not apply.

courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco… End of opinion: "Given the Seventh Circuit's holding th
The District Court's opinion vacating the public charge rule acknowledges that the 7th Circuit's opinion upholding its preliminary injunction controls the issue and requires it to enter summary judgement in favor of the plaintiffs. So there's no new legal analysis on the merits. DHS forthrightly concedes that the Seventh Circuit’s opini
The government tried to get the District Court to limit relief only to the plaintiff, Cook County. The District Court disagreed, finding that vacating a rule in its entirety is the appropriate remedy under the Administrative Procedure Act, and it isn't a nationwide injunction. Moreover, DHS’s analogy fails to recognize that the two re
Read 4 tweets
1 Nov
I was reading this excellent story when I came across this sentence.

"The El Paso sector’s after-action report also highlighted a 64 percent reduction in illegal crossings on the border during the pilot project."

Here's what's interesting: that's not true. At all. Graph showing that apprehensions in the El Paso Sector were
Maybe the El Paso Sector meant that there was a 64% reduction in families crossing the border illegally?

Except no, again, that's ALSO not true. Family units apprehended at the border in the El Paso sector went up during the Pilot Project.
Maybe the after-action report meant there was a 64% reduction in overall apprehensions during that period, even if not at the El Paso Sector?

Well, again, no, that's just not true.
Read 7 tweets

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