Via this new, peer-reviewed COVID risk assessor: if you attend a family Thanksgiving in Missoula, MT with just 10 people, you have a 34% chance of encountering someone with COVID

covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu Image
A bar with 50 people in Boise? 86% chance of encountering someone with COVID: Image
Thanksgiving with ten people in Dubuque, Iowa: 63% chance of encountering someone with COVID Image
And those above stats are all likely underestimating actual COVID numbers. Go to an ascernment bias of 10:1 (there are 10x more cases than reported, which many believe) you have a 79% chance of encountering someone at a 10-person Thanksgiving in my hometown in Idaho Image
This is a great use of this tool!!!!

What I mean by peer-reviewed:

nature.com/articles/s4156…

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More from @annehelen

14 Nov
South Dakota, population 885k, reported 55 COVID deaths today. Current active cases: 18,747.

argusleader.com/story/news/202…
40% of American still planning to attend Thanksgiving with 10+ people; 30% not planning to mask or ask others to mask:

upi.com/Health_News/20…
Read 9 tweets
14 Nov
I need some toasty gloves. Not ski gloves, not running gloves, not those $1 gloves from Target. Not driving gloves or leather or suede. But probably involve wool outside and fleece inside? And I can order them online? If you have found these beauties, let me know
Another problem is that I have the hands of someone who is 4'10" and need XS capacity, please tell me someone else also has this need
I am 5'5" I just have my Grandmother's very petite hands!
Read 4 tweets
13 Nov
there is a whole lot of weird, niche, lovely, wonky writing that goes on all over Substack that won't show up in the top 20 lists but provides an outlet & (in many cases) $$ to really excellent writers whose work might not have a place in mainstream pubs
Some of my favorites:

@chrislatray's An Irritable Métis: chrislatray.substack.com

@_megconley's Stay at Home Meg: megconley.substack.com
Read 4 tweets
11 Nov
"Other countries have social safety nets. The U.S. has women."

I talked to @JessicaCalarco about her research on women & pandemic parenting/relationships — and the idea of sociology as "un-gaslighting"

annehelen.substack.com/p/other-countr…
"In the U.S., most of us aren’t taught to use our sociological imaginations. We’re not taught to think about social problems as structural problems."

annehelen.substack.com/p/other-countr…
"We’re not taught to see the forces that operate beyond our control – forces like capitalism, patriarchy, and white supremacy....Instead, we — esp. women & people from other systematically marginalized groups — are taught to self-help-book our way out of structural problems."
Read 6 tweets
11 Nov
This was in the NYT Live COVID Report yesterday: Across the upper Mountain West — Utah, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming —  the pressing problem is staffing: "the going rate for an I.C.U. nurse in the region has doubled to $120 an hour, more than small hospitals can afford"
[one problem with the NYT Live Update blogs — for COVID, for Politics, whatever — is that there is no record of previous iterations of the story]
Read 4 tweets
10 Nov
This piece is well-intentioned but I think the headline is misleading & bad. Everyone has different understandings of "safe"; should be "Experts say no need to cancel Thanksgiving, so long as you actually f-ing quarantine"

apnews.com/article/thanks…
I've had people tell me "they're being really really safe" and then tell me they just got back from a trip to Puerto Vallarta
"I'm being really really safe" and then that night I see an Instagram of them eating indoors with masks off
Read 4 tweets

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