1/ The Cash Flow statement of a bank is quite different from that of normal businesses. The primary reason being that the bank’s operation is that of accepting deposits and advancing loans. This usually forms the Cash Flow from the Financing part for other businesses.
2/ For a Bank, Cash Flow for Operations (CFO) contains adjustments related to the Bank's core operations, i.e, accepting deposits, and advancing loans. Giving out more loans means an outflow of cash, hence advancing loans reduce the cash flow from operations.
3/ Getting more deposits means an inflow of cash into the bank, hence it increases the cash flow from operations. Bank’s also have treasury operations, where it buys and sells various government and other securities. Buying reduces cash and selling increases cash.
4/ Cash Flow from Operations also contains adjustments related to non-cash items such as Depreciation and Provisions created for NPA’s and in some cases even for standard accounts. Both Depreciation and Provisions are added back to the PAT and hence result in an increase in CFO.
5/ What would be the right way to look at the cash flow statement of a bank ? The answer to this is not straight. If a bank is getting more deposits, it would result in a higher CFO, but Growth for a Bank would come from advancing loans, which would reduce the CFO.
6/ So to come to a conclusion, it would be best to also evaluate the Balance Sheet of the bank : its liquidity position and the break-up of the liability side. Deposits which banks get are usually of a short-term nature, while the loans it advances are for a longer-term.
7/ In this context, it is necessary to evaluate if the bank would face a liquidity crunch during bad times when depositors line-up to take their money back. So, if a bank is aggressively growing its advances, it is necessary to look at how it is funding those advances.
8/ Whether it is funding it by issuing debt securities, raising equity capital, by the deposits it is getting or the profits it is generating. Information regarding debt securities issued/redeemed and equity capital raised is found in Cash Flow from Financing (CFF).
9/ Issuing debt and equity securities result in an inflow of cash, thereby increasing the CFF and the cash balance of the bank. Banks would have to raise funds either to meet regulatory requirements or to fund its growth. Repayment would result in outflow, hence reducing CFF.
10/ Dividends paid reduces CFF but, because money is the raw material for banks, banks do not usually give out big dividends, it would rather keep it to build up its arsenal for bad times and accelerate growth during good times.
11/ Unpopular Fact - Loans given out during good times, turn NPA during bad times. Being back loaded in nature, it is important to evaluate the management and past lending track record also.
12/ CFF also includes adjustments related to finance availed by banks by way of refinancing from other financial institutions. An increase in re-finance results in cash inflow and reduction/repayment results in an outflow of cash.
13/ Cash flow from Investing Activities is similar to other businesses, cash outflow due to purchase of fixed assets, investments made reduces CFI while cash inflow due to sale of assets, dividends from subsidiaries, etc increase cash balance and CFI.
14/ As you have understood the Cash Flow Statement of the bank, so we have also made a Thread on most important ratios to analyze while buying any bank stocks. To know more, Checkout this👇
What do you mean by NPA Divergence Reporting in Banks ?
A Thread 🧵👇
1/ Banks give out loans to a lot of people, naturally, some of them are not able to repay their loans. If the person fails to repay interest or principal amount within 90 days of the due date, they become a Non-Performing Asset for the bank.
2/ Banks lose the interest amount as well as their capital. But they do not lose the full amount. If the collateral is attached to the defaulting loan, banks can sell the collateral and recover some amount of the loan turned bad.
What are the most important ratios to analyze a bank ?
A Thread 🧵👇
1/ Bank business is completely different from all sectors. For banks, loans given to their customers are assets and their liability is deposits taken from their customers.
2/ CASA Ratio - It means total % of current account and savings account. Always check the growth in CASA ratio and how much interest is given to their customers in savings accounts.
What are REITs and how can it help small investors diversify their portfolio?
A Thread 🧵👇
1/ Buying properties is an expensive affair. Let alone buying it for investment purpose, you need to have a well-settled job/business before you can even take a loan for buying your home.
2/ Even if you can buy a property, you cannot extensively diversify because of the very high ticket size. So, what can you do if you wish to invest in real estate and earn rental income as well as ride the price appreciation? Answer is :- Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Everyone knows that the stock market is closed on Holidays. But, one day, the stock market is open i.e., on DIWALI.
The story of - Muhurat Trading
A Thread 🧵👇
1/ Muhurat trading is an activity in the Indian stock market which is done on the auspicious occasion of Diwali. Muhurat is a Hindi word meaning ‘auspicious time’. In the Hindu calendar, a muhurat is said to occur when the planets are assigned to bring good fortune & prosperity.
2/ Each year, the stock exchange announces a one-hour session dedicated to Diwali for trading. The muhurat time is usually in the evening. Traders and investors buy or sell stocks on the NSE & BSE during muhurat trading time as a symbolic gesture.
1/ People have a tendency to believe that they can somehow influence the outcome of a totally uncontrollable event. They have this sense of control over a situation which, in reality, can lead to completely random outcomes.
2/ This bias leads to Overconfidence and Higher than usual optimism, both of which are again behavioral biases. This happens a lot in general life as well as in stock markets.
Suppose you want to buy a lottery, If your number comes, you win Rs. 1 crore.
It costs Rs. 100 to enter the contest and a random number is assigned to you.
The seller gives you an option to pick your favourite number for Rs. 120 as an entry price.
Which option will you pick and why ? Comment.
This question is based on a behavioural bias called " Illusion of control"
In any case, you have some probability of winning the lottery, but sometimes people don't realize that and go for their favorite number ignoring the fact that it doesn't change the probability of winning.