Looks to me like the latest attempt by Downing Street to message that the EU needs to stop pressuring the UK or be to blame for no-deal. Will likely be seen as such. Doesn't change the dial, we know the UK needs to compromise on LPF, EU on fish thetimes.co.uk/edition/commen…
In an indeal world that we don't have the UK government would simply come out and say we accept Level Playing Field for a trade deal, but it can't either / both ERG pressure or more likely they still think there can be a deal without. Article also doesn't mention N Ireland / IMB.
Much talk of a government reset this morning. Certainly needed in personalities. Also needed in terms of accepting realities of what borders and trade deals are, the pressures we are putting the economy under, what global Britain can and can't be etc. theguardian.com/politics/2020/…
Though ardent leavers and remainers both deny it there is a perfectly respectable path for the UK to forge which acknowledges we need strong relations with the EU in all sorts of ways, but will also diverge in various ways. We will pay a high cost not finding it.
And while the political posturing continues, so does the realisation that the UK isn't ready and needs practical cooperation, as evidenced by this story. (it is possible EU businesses also aren't ready btw, but most are rather less affected) rte.ie/news/brexit/20…
Incidentally on why the Forsyth article looks like a clumsy attempt to bounce the EU - because there's no sense that the geopolitical fallout means the UK needs to e.g. withdraw the internal market bill. More like latest of many desperate attempts to excuse UK refusal to move.
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I am not at all clear why the EU is continually failing to name a latest date by which a trade deal can be done. Presume there is some logic, but I don't see it. Reality is 6 weeks is nothing like enough for scrutiny and implementation. Why won't anyone say this?
The broad outlines of the deal have been known since June. The fact we are waiting for a UK decision to go for this or not since September. These talks obviously need a deadline. Why will the EU not say what it is?
If I was a UK negotiator I could easily read the EU refusal to set a deadline as a suggestion of desperation to do a deal, just as EU negotiators think the UK might be desperate. Both would be wrong I think, but it shows these negotiations are right now in a bit of a mess.
There has definitely been a shift in mood music around UK-EU negotiations this week, a UK hardening of tone almost as a response to the widely held view that we would be under more pressure due to the election of President Biden.
Whatever happens the UK government has now backed its way into a no-win corner, seen to be either backing down to President Biden or unable to comprehend that all trade deals require sacrifices of policy space.
And even with the sovereignty folk that will inevitably blame the EU for anything, the failure of a UK government to make the EU back down is still not going to be a good look.
Have been thinking for some time about whether there will be a New Year 'reset' by the UK government, badly needed in economy, trade where plans and philosophy veer between listless and unrealistic, but would require more competent, less hostile and ideological key individuals.
Key problems include unbelievably bad government-business relationships (increasing likelihood of major supply chains leaving UK) and economic policy challenged by covid rebuilding and levelling up without obvious pathways beyond public spending and freeports.
It isn't easy to see what any government can do to stiumulate particular parts of their economy in an age of global and regional supply chains, but a particular challenge for a government committed to raising barriers to 50% of trade. Tough questions to answer.
Frankly I haven't heard of too many people in Westminster who think the central team around Johnson (Cain, Cummings etc) wouldn't be improved by substituting them for kindergarten attendees
Disingenuous in the extreme. The UK / Johnson has been vacillating on the deal that is there to be done since June. Nothing fundamental has changed since then. It won't change in the next week either. It just needs the UK to accept FTAs limit policy space.
Thought I'd draw a picture in case it still wasn't entirely clear to the UK what a Free Trade Agreement entails. It isn't @Usherwood class but it should do.
Now if they could kindly make a decision since UK business could actually use some certainty.
Only 600 pages?! What kind of baby trade agreement is this...