NY-22 LATEST: With more than 15,700 absentee ballots counted in Broome County and 11,500 ballots counted in other counties, @claudiatenney leads @RepBrindisi by 14,134 votes. There are anywhere from 30k to 40k ballots remaining in #NY22. Thread with math below @WBNG12News
These are the most up to date numbers I have for Broome County. Brindisi has picked up a little under 9k votes on Tenney here, at a 75.9 - 19.0 split. There are ~5k votes remaining to be counted here, which will happen Monday.
These are the numbers I have from outside of Broome County. Brindisi has picked up another 5246 votes so far. I expect roughly 28k more votes in these outlying counties, with the largest bloc in Oneida County.
So what does this mean? It means if Brindisi continues to gain at the current rates he is, and most importantly the number of votes remaining is accurate, he will pick up an additional 2800 votes in Broome and about 12k outside of the county.
Again, we don't know exactly how many ballots were returned outside of Broome County. But if rates remain stable, the #NY22 race will potentially come down to less than 1,000 votes
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I don’t expect any significant updates in #NY22 today. Instead, I’m gonna drop a thread below with a little bit of math, a little bit of the journey it’s taken to get here, and most importantly a little bit of where this race might be headed 1/
As it stands, @claudiatenney has received 148,284 votes. @RepBrindisi has received 138,952 votes. This puts Tenney in the lead by 9,332 votes, with by my estimation 35k absentees already counted, but I’ll get further into that later 2/
I was at the Tenney watch party in Vernon on Election Night. People were pumped, as President Trump had just won the “swing” states of Florida and Ohio, and Tenney was up more than 10 points on Brindisi 3/