REFLECTION:

I always get in trouble for thinking aloud, so why stop now?

Aside from the spectacular success and game changing effect of mail-in ballots, the DNC, DCCC, DLCC and the DSCC all seem to spend as much time and effort running the same money raising political...
...campaigns and strategies as 25 years ago. And they all seem to spend way too much time relying on polls and fundraising from their offices as opposed to getting out in the field with the grassroots organizer who actually know what's going on. It seems kind of hubristic.

Why?
Mail-in voting is to be the most creative thing accomplished since the passage of the Motor Voter Act of 1993. Some states are ahead of the game and have been doing it for years.

So what's the excuse in other states that are dominated by democratic legislatures and governors?
The DNC writ large seem to be more reactive to the GOP than forward-thinking and creative regarding GOTV, incubating young leadership, public education on the need vote, how to vote, and what to look for with voting processes to overcome voter suppression,...
...restoring voting rights for ex-offenders, universal automactic voter registration for all citizens upon the age of 18, publicly campaigning to communicate the importance of reinstituting the voting rights act and voting security measures already passed by the House,...
...promoting education on why the election of people who nominate and confirm judges is every bit important as the issues that eventually come before those judges, the differences between elected judges in the state, and appointed judges at the federal level, and...
...and as we see from this election, emphasis on why state legislature, governors, state judges, and congressional races are as equally important to the success of the presidency as electing a good presidential candidate himself.
None of that seems unreasonable. On the contrary, if the party expects to have longevity, it looks essential. Because of republican attempts to have state legislatures, governors and state courts intervene in or overturn the will of the people, the need is pressing.
Georgia and Arizona have been teetering on the edge for years, yet the DNC acted like children at the waters edge at the beach. As soon as the waves got too close to their toes the run back into the sand.
Despite the DNC's apparent lack of commitment over the years - decades - it took @staceyabrams and her grassroots teams as well as the grassroots in Arizona to show how it's done.
When will the DNC (and the Congressional groups mentioned above) as an entity, do a real root cause analysis on themselves, be honest, figure out what they're doing wrong, accept that change is needed - and actually do something substantive about it?
It seems the DNC has gotten lazy, and is perhaps relying on changes in demography with growing numbers of minorities and young people to accomplish for democrats what the party ought to be doing in terms or real work.
Waiting on the numbers to grow won't cut it because that won't ensure that people will vote for you just because they have in the past. And young people will be reluctant because your past provides no incentive to do so going forward. So that approach is intellectually dishonest.
The GOP may be shrinking in real number because the membership is getting older, but at over 71,000,000 votes, they still have enough appeal to attract tremendous numbers of people to turn out. Why? With the party's animus towards democracy that's a serious a threatening issue.
They have no ideas. They have no real plans or policies. And without pretense, they could care less about good governance or the benefit of the people. But they're organized, have long range strategies for what they want to accomplish, and they have the discipline to get it done.
I really don't want to hear about progressive versus liberal versus centrist spats, because that's not the issue. That's a fake argument that ignores fundamental, root cause issues. And, I really don't care how good any particular candidate is on any issue or set of issues.
No matter how good or bad those factions' and coalition members' ideas are, their politics and political strategies are equally bad and wanting.
And no single candidate can change a party. Regardless of the differences, if the party isn't pulling in the same direction with strategies - and just important, the ability to change directions when problems to winning arise, the entire idea of party is pointless.
Good ideas are meaningless if you have no plan for how to reach people and grow the number of people willing to actively come out and vote for you in the long run.
The issue is not about ideology, policy or governance. It's about learning how to win, to perpetually learn and remake ourselves into the future, and about making people -the voters and constituents - feel like it's worth it to support the cause now and in the future.
The critical Georgia runoffs make all of the thoughts above more relevant and important that ever. We look forward to a win if we throw our support behind Stacey and the people on the ground there. But all the issues above are still there and we must have the guts to face them.
After the Georgia, we have less than two years to begin to fix it and get it right.
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More from @l78lancer

13 Nov
Can we talk?

Republicans proved from Day One of the Obama administration who they are. In the ensuing 12 years of internecine conservative warfare, things have only become more hostile, deprave, and literally deadly. They deserve no bites from that apple now under a Biden admin.
It's long past time to stop pretending that republicans will regain their sense and sensibilities, and come around to the notion of normal, regular, mature governance, ever. The republican party of the 1980s is gone.
I hope Biden doesn't waste too much time or effort coddling republicans who, as a practicing principle, will never cooperate because they see no benefit in doing so. All of their power comes from obstruction, dismantling, or breaking systems of governance to block the majority.
Read 9 tweets
10 Nov
PERSPECTIVE:

ARE WE LOOK AT THE WRONG THING IN THE WRONG PLACE?

@maddow
always says watch what they do, not what they say.

It's notable that with Esper's firing, Trump is moving FAST to place policy and intelligence people in at DoD. 1/
Why?

While it's both scary and important to be mindful of any attempt to use the military to derail the election results and transitions, you don't really need policy people for that. So what else would Trump need to move policy people into place at the last second? 2/
Trump's biggest deliverable for Putin is breaking up NATO. Outside of putting troops on the streets, that is the single biggest and most destructive action that he could take. To do that he would require at least a semblance of policy to justify the change no matter how thin. 3/
Read 4 tweets
6 Nov
Stacey Abrams

I was a little upset, even disappointed, when @staceyabrams left her state senate seat in GA. I felt like we were losing a young superstar. But while it may not have been clear to us, SHE had a clear vision and a plan to match.
When she started her work with the New Georgia Project working to protect voter rights and she fought Brian Kemp and the GA republican machine in court like a lioness, I was extremely proud and grateful for all of her work.
Yet while she always gracious and wonderful, without a doubt, she let her opponents know that she is a force of nature and one to be reckoned with. And, she wasn't done, not even close.
Read 8 tweets
6 Nov
Can someone explain why in each of the last three presidential and senate elections, the republican candidates had almost exactly the same percentages in each time in South Carolina?

You would think that the 2020 polling would have been far more accurate based on past history.
South Carolina had record turnout like many states. There was record democratic registration. There were 456,539 more presidential votes cast in 2020 than in 2016. How is it that with such a large increase in registration and voting the the percentages ended up almost identical,
...with almost exact proportional increases? Why didn't the distribution appear to change significantly? Coincidences?

Anecdotally, something doesn't smell right. And, the "people lie to pollsters" excuse doesn't really make sense when you look at real numbers.
Read 5 tweets
6 Nov
Kornacki did an interesting analysis comparing GA an PA mail-in vote that people should pay attention to.
While Biden is barely winning the mail vote in red counties in PA, he's winning in significantly in the remaining red counties in Georgia. It may be of one big factor people may not think about.
The majority of blacks in the US STILL LIVE IN THE SOUTH. Many of those black voters live in rural areas of the south. For many of those same voters - who tend to vote democratic in red areas, voting by mail is the safest way to ensure that their vote gets counted.
Read 5 tweets
29 Oct
As @maddow said, be patient.

By election day, approximately 100 million people will have cast their votes. The early in-person vote reporting is leaning towards democrats. The mail-in vote - despite the deliberate sabotage - is leaning the democrats' way, too.
There's no reason to belief that the ballots the republicans will attempt to block after election day of any kind will benefit the GOP. That's why they want them blocked no matter their validity. That includes mail-in and provisional ballots.
And while the conventional wisdom says election day turnout may favor republicans, with democrats being angry about overt republican attempts to steal the election, there is no reason to believe that democratic voter enthusiasm or numbers will diminish on election day itself.
Read 8 tweets

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