1) Always read @dhopkins1776 ! 2) something I've been thinking about writing about, in shorthand tweet: the historical trajectory of PA places means it's impossible to disaggregate the impact of fracking fr the other historical processes that have shaped the communities involved
This is fracking in PA. It's shaped by underlying geology. The same geology that shaped where coal was mined and factories built and immigrants arrived from Europe and labor struggled 150-100 years ago Image
Which shaped where unions were formed & men won decent wages & the New Deal Democratic Party core partnership was created & crested in the 1960s. & the beneficiary communities have been losing ground ever since. & the most fortunate w/in the moving away from the party for 40 ys Image
In part it's the same point which @4st8 has been calling attention to for some time with brilliant maps like this
With the additional factor that big cities with don't let you frack in their middle. Or even prosperous small cities, with strong zoning laws & litigious citizens worried about residential property values. There's a reason this map looks like this👇 arcgis.com/apps/Cascade/i… Image
Meanwhile as Eliza Griswold's brilliant Amity & Prosperity makes clear, it was consistently the better positioned folks in rural areas—w larger properties & better connections—who were more able to negotiate gas leases that brought more benefit than harm us.macmillan.com/books/97803741…
As Amity & Prosperity also makes clear, when fracking's enviro & health problems mounted & the PA DEP failed to act/protect again & again, the lesson those hit took wasn't Let's hope some politician proposes a fancy Green New Deal. It was govt doesn't work, & no one has your back
I talked to @ORMorrison about this a bit before the election. Yes people in SWPA talk about fracking & reject Democrats. But when they are talkng about fracking they are also talking about a bunch of things thru it, incl work & earned pride & gender & more us.macmillan.com/books/97803741… Image
Anyway. This by @eefandrews did a great job of capturing why it's complicated motherjones.com/environment/20…
As did this great deep dive from @AndrewSeidman earlier this year, which makes it clear that if you're talking about he politics of fracking as separate from the politics of race, you're missing how SWPA [& organized labor within it] works inquirer.com/politics/penns…
that past, & that present, is crucial to why this proposal for the region's future is framed as it is👇

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More from @lara_putnam

20 Nov
I don't know who needs to hear this but: the feeding frenzy currently underway over address lists to send postcards to voters in Georgia is evidence of a progressive volunteer universe that has been deeply misled about the levers of political change.
If you run a national "progressive" organization and are contributing to this, & not-incidentally driving up your engagement stats & goosing your own fundraising, shame on you. Whatever self-serving tale you're telling yourself about the greater good being advanced: inadequate
👇Both! 1)Very likely entire waste of time (v low impact of technique under best circumstances; least effective in cases of onslaught of other political info as will be here; meaningful targetng impossible given locally-ignorant actors generating lists etc
Read 11 tweets
15 Nov
Coming soon: some thoughts on PA regions & voting trends (mumbled about this earlier with @4st8 but it's really happening now: New Regions👀)
In part I wanted to work with a relatively more equal population distribution...
In part I wanted to capture the ways river towns along the Susquehanna River in central & northern PA—which tend to be home to colleges, medical ctrs, more young people, more professionals—have an evolving progressive ecosystem that shouldn't be split arbitrarily across regions
Read 14 tweets
15 Nov
Joe Biden gained more than twice as many votes above Hillary Clinton's total in Forest County, PA (pop. 7320, on a good day) than he did in Philadelphia (pop. 1.5 million)
Biden picked up 89 new votes in Forest county. That was a 14% increase from 2016 in total Democratic presidential vote: exactly in line with other rural counties across the state
Read 4 tweets
7 Nov
Beaver County PA—the setting of a good deal of "How will X play with the [implicitly male] white working class in the Rust Belt?" drive-thru reporting since 2016—today.

(You'll notice many celebrating are not white or not men. But apparently live there too and have votes too!)
Joe Biden's margin was one point better than Hilary Clinton's here. Which may not sound impressive until you realized that Dem vote margin had declined here in **every single election since 1988** by 5-10 points every time. So actually, reversing that is a Big Deal! Image
I tweet a lot about Beaver County: like weirdly a lot, for someone not actually employed by the local chamber of commerce. Nested threads (interspersed with election night ranting, sorry) available here if of interest
Read 8 tweets
6 Nov
In an election that came down to every last vote, incl. every mail-ins, need to notice some huge efforts that ensured things didn't go wrong: incl massive push to spread updated info re changing-because-lawsuits formal requirements. Eg the banner I copied fr @PragmatcRadical
👇
I kept adding to this thread 👇as a public service, but what resulted is a pretty useful census of all the MANY civic groups & actors, new & old, who worked overtime to get accurate voting info out day after day, in constantly shifting terrain
Read 8 tweets
6 Nov
So I tweeted earlier today about Trump being uniquely impactful vis a vis two groups of voters👇. But one could as easily argue, looking at PA county results, that the remarkable thing is how un-unique 2016 & 2020 look. [quick thread]
Here's the GOP share of presidential votes from Bill Clinton's first race to today. (The counties are non-metro western PA, w/ a few large counties from the non-Philly-suburb east.) They're arrayed from least rural to most rural. Trump's two runs are in blue ('16) and green ('20)
If any candidate looks consistently unusual it's Barack Obama, who in quite a few places (inc. some very white & rural ones) momentarly clawed back a trend of steady GOP gain. Trump 2016 largely just jumped GOP totals back to where you wouldve thought, pre-Obama, they were headed
Read 14 tweets

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