I like this approach - sign a continuity deal and commit to negotiating a proper one later on.

Allows you to maintain some sort of continuity but acknowledges that the EU deal is not necessarily fit for purpose for the UK-Canada trade relationship.

More importantly, this removes the Jan deadline for negotiating a proper FTA. Until you do, the roll-over applies. Meaning parties have more time to ensure the new deal is exactly what they want it to be.

The downside, of course, yet another deal for the UK to negotiate. While LT can talk about the UK having large numbers of negotiators, few of them have proper experience and we will still be somewhat overstretch

And then there is the projected impact on the UK's economy 👇 - minuscule.

Yet, bespoke deal with Canada is better than a roll-over EU deal in the long term.


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More from @AnnaJerzewska

22 Nov
No, it won’t.

Like really, trust me, it won't change the world.


First stop Canada. Yes, we rolled it over and agreed to re-negotiate. That’s great (although doesn’t really give us full continuity). But it’s a success.

And then there is this 👇

/2 Image
Women’s economic empowerment and the environment - two of the areas where FTA provisions are pretty much "nice to have": don’t change much, are on best endeavours principle and the work needs to anyway be done domestically by each party.

Read 18 tweets
20 Nov
And for those of you keeping score at home:

None of it, literally none of it is new.

Every single trade/customs/logistics specialist not paid to come up with good news would have warned the Gov about this even BEFORE the referendum


Our ports haven't changed, it's not like we have less space in Dover now than we did 5 years ago.

The nature of ro-ro traffic or logistics involved haven't changed.

The customs/SPs procedures for non-EU members haven't fundamentally changed.

If you had asked someone in 2015 to outline the risks related to moving fresh products from the EU to the UK under an FTA/no-deal, they would have told you.

Read 7 tweets
17 Nov
SME chapters very rarely (if ever) include provisions that really require an FTA - it's mostly things both sides could and should do (irrespective of a deal).

In fact, one of the key provisions of many SME chapters is transparency/access to data.

This is all about creating a one-stop-shop source of information for SMEs.

E.g. 👇

/2 ImageImage
Something the UK Gov should definitely work on going forward.

If you don't know what I mean - try to find any provision under the UK's new continuity deals.

Read 5 tweets
9 Nov
So this is a fascinating🧵
Why? Cause out of all the IT systems we need for 1 Jan I thought CDS was not the biggest issue.

Short one on why and a bit of background on CDS and what does that all mean in practice.
Quick background: upgrading CHIEF (current system) to CDS predates Brexit. Introducing EU's new customs legislation in 2016 meant that new functionality required. CHIEF was also getting old and generally needed a revamp.

So CDS was supposed to be ready in 2018. HMRC announced it will launch it in August 2018 and gradually move traders from CHIEF to CDS batch by batch.

Spoiler alert - that didn't quite happen


Read 14 tweets
8 Nov
I'm still wondering whether we'll actually see signs of this newly found enthusiasm for compromising on the UK-EU deal.

Sure, the world has just become a somewhat lonelier place for the UK's PM but I'm just not sure that it was the promise of a UK-US deal

that stood in the way of a compromise. Perhaps it was just the Brexit myth (sovereignty etc) or once again an example of this Gov talking itself into a corner.

I'll be very interested to see whether the UK will indeed "cave".

As smn tweeted yesterday.

We've known for a while that there will need to be some movement on both sides for a deal to be reached - it's not possible for both sides to keep their current red lines.

Read 5 tweets
7 Nov
I have NEVER been this happy to lose a bet
Wow, CNN

"It's easier to be a parent this morning"
Read 4 tweets

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