Insane that the day after GA’s presidential election results were certified, @PredictIt markets still have a 10% chance that Trump will win, and 16-19% chance that he’ll win GA, AZ, or PA. I mean, actual certification of the results changed MAGA fools’ posteriors not one bit.
Yes, their posteriors are taking a beating.
MAGA loons will give you a dollar for 80-90¢ until @PredictIt closes the markets. It’s insane.
The most interesting market for non-loons is the one for Biden’s ultimate margin of victory in the popular vote, since it seems headed somewhere very close to 4.5%, which is exactly the edge between two bets. It’s 50-50 between the 3-4.5% bets and the 4.5-6% ones.
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