Aella Profile picture
22 Nov, 13 tweets, 3 min read
Below is a general summary of what I think is probably going on with black people in the US. This is based off memory of studies/data I've seen, but I'm open to updates if any of my facts seem wrong:
Black people are subject to greater police activity than white people, this seems supported by data.
This seems to be roughly proportional to crime black people commit; as in, low-crime black communities see roughly proportional police activity to white communities.
Racism seem to exist, but "unjustified" racism (e.g., disproportionate to crime) is relatively low and seems heavily city dependent.
So why do black communities tend to have higher crime? It seems to be fatherlessness, not poverty; poor, father-intact families have low crime.
So why do black communities tend to be more fatherless? It's partly a self-sustaining cycle; fathers are incarcerated, thus more likely to have boys who become incarcerated. But how did it start?
I'm less clear on this, it seems like this trend got going in the late 80s/early 90s
I have a poor grasp on the details around this shift, but likely due to society responding to increasing crime rates (which were in turn... due to lead or something?). Stuff like anti-drug laws, the Broken Windows policy and (ironically) the Biden Crime Law likely contributed.
A big part of this seems to be the crack cocaine epidemic (and subsequent laws around it), which primarily affected black communities. I don't know why black ppl tended to do crack more than white ppl; was it a cultural thing? Was it correlated strongly to poverty?
Regardless, this resulted in both black and white communities demonstrating strong support for harsh sentencing laws, and the result was a new, large discrepancy in which races went to prison - and the new gender ratio hit black family structures harder.
If perceived racism comes downstream of cultural effects from families fucked up by the justice system, then it makes sense we're seeing the results today - kids being raised in the broken families of the 1990s are now adults showing the effects themselves.
Not only has this resulted in the greater black crime rates we see today, but I suspect has had other effects on black culture; black men are more likely to report cheating on their partners (which makes sense as a sexual strategy if there's less sexual competition), but also
there's stronger sexual conservatism as a whole; black ppl report higher rates of religion and also lower acceptance of homosexuality and trans people. In general, the culture imo shows signs of high pressure from insecurity around childrearing.
Overall, I think that it's very had to distinguish the racism that exists today from cause vs. effect; as in, to what degree is racism a reaction to the problems black communities face, vs. the cause?
I don't know enough about the original problems - why crack cocaine hit black people, how much racism was a motivation for the laws passed to try to supposedly protect black communities. It seems like there's a good chance this was a significant incentive.
I don't think the perceived widespread racism in the US comes from white people being inherently racist; I think it's likely an amplified relationship to the difficulties caused by a specific set of (maybe racist?) policies a few decades ago.

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More from @Aella_Girl

17 Nov
i entered a CH room titled "where the caucasian people @? ask a black person a question"
where ppl were getting mad at a white woman for being 'ignorant' and not 'reading the room' - then proceed to tell white people it's 'white fragility' to be afraid of entering black rooms.
tbf it was another white woman telling other white ppl it's their fault for experiencing fear around entering black-dominant rooms, but this was supported by other black voices.
i've never encountered so much overt and proud racism before since joining Clubhouse
Read 19 tweets
12 Nov
In my experience, the biggest unspoken and often unseen social motivator is attractiveness.
Consistently, hotter people are treated better, even subtly, and consistently most people around me have either denied or ignored that they're treating/being treated differently.
Hotter people are more confident, because they've been getting this boost from society that's invisible to them. In their world, people just like them more, treat them better, and they don't see how unattractive people don't get the same treatment.
I've seen my male friends swarm an attractive women and describe her personality as glowing, her demeanor as confident and assured, when in my opinion she was not actually cool; they were blinded by her face and they were completely unaware to how blinded they were.
Read 5 tweets
12 Nov
when I was a child, my dad was extremely cruel in a lot of ways. I remember trying to empathize with him and being terrified because he didn't seem 'aware' of the pain he was doing, even though the signs were there.
This was terrifying because -
when i imagined being my dad, i realized that it 'felt good', in the sense that there was no sense of being wrong. He felt like a victim, persecuted and hurt by others - and this was *exactly how I felt*. I felt like he was hurting me, and like he shouldn't be.
So from an early age I struggled a lot with the paranoia that I was really cruel and hurting a lot of other people, because I saw that cruel people *felt as correct as I did*. A lot of my attention went to trying to figure out how I could tell - from the inside, how do you know 3
Read 6 tweets
3 Nov
In clubhouse (a voice-only app), I've had the chance to listen to lots of rooms of entirely black people talk, which I rarely get to hear in my daily life.
It turns out black people on clubhouse talk about being black a *lot*. They reference blackness in relation to everything.
It's really fascinating; blackness permeates as an identity in a way I've never heard another ethnicity or nation referenced (but similar to how I've heard Christians talk). It's very tribal, and touches on many aspects of conversation you wouldn't expect to be black-related.
I felt very intensely 'white' when listening to these groups, when usually I don't notice my skin color if I'm in an e.g., asian-dominant group. It felt very clear that I was *not* in their in-group at all; there was a huge cultural divide that feels explicitly upheld.
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
Women in science need to learn more about how statistics work.
If I published results this low in significance as tho they were real I could have 'proved' eighty different insane things by now.
To explain why this is bad:
Her sample size is low. There's calculations you can do to figure out exactly how meaningful a result (basically, what's the probability it was an "accidental" positive) is based on the sample size and the correlation strength.
It's irresponsible to publish results as significant
if there's too high a probability that your correlation was just random chance. If you test a lot of things for long enough, you're absolutely gonna find lots of correlations that are just random chance!
This means you have to be extra careful if you're checking a ton of these.
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
I'm going through my newest data set (~3300 answers) and it's absolutely fascinating. I asked about 'who do you know', with stronger weights for knowing someone better.
Some finds so far:
Women on average are more likely to report knowing someone who X
The most masculine gendered answer is that men are more likely to report knowing someone in jail.
Eastern Europe is living up to the reputation of conservative - they're least likely to report knowing people who are trans/poly/sex workers, but also least likely to report knowing ppl who've been raped (shame culture?)
They're most likely to know a pedo.
Read 7 tweets

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