Thread: OK, I'm going to get into (more) hot water saying so, but I think there's a great deal of both exaggeration and more than a little hypocrisy involved in the fuss being made about Mnuchin's decision to not extend the Fed's CARES-Act backstopping.
I should begin by noting that I've held for some time that the whole Fed "backstopping" approach was mistaken, and that Congress "should either have made no use of the Fed, or it should have used it as a mere distributor, and not as a source, of funds" nationalreview.com/2020/09/a-real…
So I'm bound to agree in principle with Mnuchin's suggestion that more can be achieved by having Congress re-appropriate the funding in question--if only Congress can get its act together!
I also think it's unfair and inaccurate to suggest, as many have, that Mnuchin's decision is aimed at "salting the earth" or otherwise harming the Biden administration, much less at deliberately triggering a financial crisis, as Paul Krugman claims!
For one thing (as I pointed out in another tweet recently), the Treasury made it very clear weeks before the election that it planned to let at least one Fed program--the Municipal Lending Facility--to expire in December.
Nor did it give any indication that it planned to extend the other programs.
As Mnuchin has pointed out, and as is evident from the record, many of the expiring programs lent very little, and were unlikely to lend much in the coming months. Their terms simply make them unattractive to most prospective borrowers, and that's not very likely to change.
It's true that, with regard to the Fed's Corporate Debt programs (but not the others to be terminated), their contribution isn't to be gauged by their actual take up: the programs' mere presence has helped to bolster the market for corporate debt.
But as Mnuchin observes in his letter, conditions in the corporate debt market today are dramatically better than when the program was launched. Nor does the bond market think that Mnuchin's decision will change this: reuters.com/article/us-usa… (Ignore the misleading caption.)
There are also plenty of crocodile tears among those being shed by those who say dire consequences will result from withdrawing the Fed's corporate debt support, which many on the left especially had until recently denounced as a Wall Street bailout. wallstreetonparade.com/2020/05/the-fe…
Just 2 months ago, the Select Subcommittee on on the Coronavirus Crisis looked into the Fed's Corporate Bond programs. Report here: coronavirus.house.gov/sites/democrat…
Among other things the Subcommittee accused the Fed of "exacerbating economic inequities and contributing to an economic recovery that benefits wealthy executives and investors but leaves behind American workers."
I'm not saying that there's 0 chance that the Mnuchin's decision will deprive some worthy borrowers of Fed support. That would be a ludicrous position to take.
But I do believe that Congress can put the funds he's taking back to far better use than the Fed can, ultimately getting more aid where it is needed, and that the energy being expended vilifying Mnuchin would be better spent trying to figure out how to get Congress to do it.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with George Selgin

George Selgin Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @GeorgeSelgin

18 Nov
I'm a huge Milton Friedman fan. But the segment of his critique of fixed exchange rate regimes addressing the U.S. gold standard of 1879-1914 is not worthy of that great man.
"The period," Friedman writes, "saw ... deflation from 1879 to 1866 [sic], followed by inflation from 1896 to 1914, during which period there were repeated financial crises, many business fluctuations, a major depression in the 1890s, and a banking panic in 1907."
In the Monetary History of the United States, Friedman and Schwartz argue that the long-term decline in prices between 1873 and 1896 was not itself a cause of recession or depression--a fact that has since been affirmed by many other scholars. nber.org/system/files/w…
Read 5 tweets
17 Nov
"She has also questioned whether the Fed should even exist." Set aside the question of Shelton's overall merits. I wonder why merely "questioning" the need for the Fed, or deposit insurance, or...whatever, should be considered unacceptable. 1/n washingtonpost.com/opinions/repub…
Academics routinely engage in such questioning, as do critical thinkers generally. The alternative is to treat existing arrangements as sacred cows, or as "the best of all possible" solutions. These are themselves very unhealthy attitudes. 2/n
Please, don't jump on me for ignoring other reasons for holding Shelton to be unqualified. Again, this isn't about her specifically. It's about whether even radical _questioning_ of the institutional status quo should be held to disqualify any candidate from any post. 3/n
Read 5 tweets
12 Nov
While simply "eliminating" deposit insurance is not a wise prescription for reform, show me an economist who denies that it can encourage excessive risk taking, and has done so in fact in many instances, and I'll show you a poor economist. 1/n
For a survey of the evidence by some very good economists, including @ademirguckunt see this now classic World Bank study: openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/8…
Deposit insurance began in this country (only the second in the world to adopt it nationally--after Poland if I recall correctly) as a way to shore-up a fundamentally rotten unit banking system. Even then the "moral hazard" problem it posed was well-recognized.
Read 7 tweets
12 Nov
@dandolfa How are you defining "public good" here? The fact that something _might_ be supplied by a public authority doesn't itself suffice. What evidence is there that provision of payment services is either non-excludable and non-rivalrous? 1/2
@dandolfa Nor does the Fed have any clear technological advantage I can think of. Yes, it monopolizes the final settlement media. But provided it makes its settlement services available to others, they can (and for the most part already do) handle the "retail" side of payments.
@dandolfa The Fed also monopolizes hand-to-hand currency. But here again, it doesn't follow that it must. Technically, private institutions could supply such media, as they once supplied their own paper banknotes. Today...
Read 16 tweets
11 Nov
It's remarkable how even a minor government intervention can sometimes take on a life of its own, feeding on itself in a way that sometimes seems to end only with it swallowing everything in sight!

Consider interest on reserves.
It began, innocently enough, as a proposal for unburdening banks and their customers of the implicit tax mandatory reserve requirements imposed on them, by having the Fed pay interest on required reserves.
Such was the aim of the 2006 "Financial Services Regulatory Relief Act" that first gave the Fed permission to pay interest on reserves (IOR). Banks then held any excess reserves, so it would have involved modest payments on a small fraction of bank assets. congress.gov/bill/109th-con…
Read 9 tweets
11 Nov
They've already been doing this, for centuries, in all sorts of different regulatory regimes, none of which ever actually banned 100% reserve banking. On the contrary: _minimum_ reserve ratios have been the norm. 1/n
So there is no need for speculation. The market has rendered its verdict, again and again. People have preferred to accept some risk in return for such pecuniary and non-pecuniary benefits as fractional-reserve banks are uniquely able to provide. 2/
This has been so since long before the advent of deposit insurance (which was not widely adopted until the 1980s). The very few prominent 100% banks of the past all benefited from state support--and they still failed! alt-m.org/2018/11/09/fri… 3/
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!