Right and wrong aside, if you're a political advisor to the Prime Minister what's your advice on Patel?
Likely to circle the wagons.
The only people whose opinion matters right now are fellow Tory MPs, and the public won't remember a bullying scandal when voting 3 year later.
Sure, Tory MPs could turn on him if the bottom completely drops out of his polls (and hence probably theirs), but is this going to be the issue that does it?
Doubtful.
The usual suspects are already running defense and pivoting this toward being yet another culture war.
The UK conservatives have enjoyed considerable success politically by framing every issue as a battle between their democratically elected ministers and some other force that's thwarting or undermining them.
Judiciary, the Lords, activist lawyers, Remainers, the civil service.
You can already see this latest issue creeping in that direction as surrogates and friendly journalists begin hinting or stating overtly that this whole thing is just yet another battle in the war between the people's government and an opposition of shadowy elites.
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My deeply unsexy takes on @pmdfoster's amazing story:
1. Looks bad but We won't know what this is until the bill is out.
2. If this is a negotiating tactic, it's a bad one.
3. Those implying this will sink future UK FTA's with 3rd countries are (in my view) overstating a bit.
1/ Expanding on (3) because people will yell at me:
In my view, 3rd countries like Canada and Japan will consider the WA distinct enough from regular FTA practice not to begin questioning whether the UK will live up to tariff bindings or other FTA commitments over this.
2/ "What about Pelosi and Congress?"
Yeah, that might be a problem but:
a) The test for Pelosi and Irish-American Congressfolk is going to be if the border descends into chaos and violence again. Not clear this does that.
1/ As far back as 18 months ago, still prominent public figures were publicly saying crashing out of the EU with no transition period would either be no big deal, or actually quite good for the UK.
It's 18 months later. Let's check the papers.
2/ @Joe_Mayes reports the government is so concerned about port and highway chaos after transition it is using a statutory instrument to acquire authority to unilaterally slap giant lorry parking lots all over the country without local council consent.
FAQ: "Do I have to do all 90 minutes in one sitting?"
"No, it's a digital e-learning. You can do it 4 seconds at a time over the next five years if that's your preferred method of learning."
FAQ: "I'm not looking for a bigger salary, but there's something else I want from my boss, will this course help?"
"Yes, while the course includes a lot of content specific to negotiating a salary package, it is designed for any give and take conversation with your employer."
Note:
- Asylum seekers are not legally obligated to seek refuge in the first country they get to, and transit through a safe country is not grounds for refusing asylum under the UN Refugee Convention.
Ok, to answer some points below:
- Yes, the UK could pull out of the UN Refugee Convention, but that's not the current policy of HMG and diplomats have to work within that.
- Having a UK warship tow a boat to France without the consent of the French is an act of war.