When I pointed out down the stretch that Trump wasn't even trying to win the election, merely having fun with his existing voters instead of trying to win over new ones, the fatalists told me it meant that Trump knew he already magically had the election rigged in his favor.
In hindsight, I was right: Trump knew he couldn't win, and therefore wasn't trying to win, and was just stroking his ego while he still could.

The fatalists always spin the evidence in the most negative direction possible, no matter how illogical they have to be about it.
There are so many horrible things happening. And there is so much evidence pointing to additional bad things coming. Why do these fatalists have to spin positive things into imaginary bad things as well? That's why I think it's a clinical issue for them.
Throughout the past four years, nearly all of the evidence always pointed to Trump having a nearly 100% chance of losing reelection. That's just a fact. It was one of the very few positive developments we had going. Yet so many people refused to see the evidence in front of them.
"But Trump almost won."

No he didn't, he lost by 74 electoral votes and six million popular votes, even after he spent four years trying to rig it in his favor. This was a blowout.

Trump pulled off a lot of awful things. He was never on track to pull off 2020. Never even close.
If you were surprised that Trump lost in a blowout, it's either because you weren't paying attention to any of the evidence all along, or because you were listening to doomsday pundits who were trying to stand between you and the evidence. So take that for whatever it's worth 🙂
How did Trump know he was going to lose? He's somewhat delusional, but even he had to know the polls couldn't be off by the 5-6 points he would have needed (they were only off by 2 points in 2016). And there's no magically rigging an election that isn't close to begin with.
So he tried to enjoy himself while he could. It was his last shot ever at holding rallies that large, so he went to the places where his fans were. This isn't how to come from behind, but it's how a narcissist like him tries to enjoy his last few viable moments.
It's why Trump is out playing golf now. He knows that once he's gone from office, he'll face immediate financial destruction, and he'll be forever looking over his shoulder for authorities who have come to arrest him. So he's enjoying himself while he still can.
If Trump thought he had any chance of remaining in office, he'd be working on that, instead of golfing. It's that simple.

Yet the fatalists have once again decided that because Trump is out golfing, it means he know he's already somehow magically won. Fatalism never makes sense.

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More from @PalmerReport

24 Nov
I've gotten a lot right in four years. The one fundamental thing I whiffed on, which I'd like to have back, is that I didn't know Mueller went senile a year into his investigation. I've spent time examining the clues I missed, so I don't make a similar mistake again.
Mueller started off gangbusters in his first year. Arrests, indictments, cooperating plea deals, you name it. True to his reputation. There was every reason to expect that aggression to continue.
Then in year two, Mueller went quiet. No publicly visibly moves. I interpreted that as him building his cases behind the scenes. Turns out he spent year two not doing much of anything.
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24 Nov
For the record, I knew Joe Biden had won the election at 8:54am on November 4th.
8:54am was when the big Michigan batch came in, and proved that the big 4am Wisconsin batch hadn't been a fluke. It meant we'd see a similarly big Pennsylvania batch, which would give all three states to Biden, which was 270. Game over. The past twenty days have just been noise.
In fairness I did not predict that Biden would win Wisconsin three times, Pennsylvania eight times, and Michigan twenty times.
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24 Nov
I spent a long time explaining why Trump would never go out with proverbial guns blazing; he’s too much of a narcissist to want that kind of worst possible outcome for himself. Maybe he’d bluff about going out ugly. But in the end he was always going to cave meekly like this.
Trump is arrogant enough to think he can get his federal self-pardon to stick, charm the New York State trial jury into acquiring him, and rebuild his crippled financial empire from scratch. He’s wrong, but he thinks this. So why would he have just blown himself up?
Trump is now renovating Mar-a-Lago. He’s clearly trying to establish homestead there, so he can argue to the eventual New York State trial judge that he should be allowed to serve his house arrest at Mar-a-Lago while awaiting trial. That’s where his head is.
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24 Nov
Look, Trump will end up trying some more bullshit. But he knows that his future consists of prison and bankruptcy. The antics he tries from here on out will be aimed at giving himself a softer landing. Pardons, grifting, pilfering. Focus on that if you want to finish him off.
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It's not at all surprising that Trump gave up with a whimper. He talks like a strongman, but he's always been indecisive and tepid in his actions and decision making. You never cower to this kind of villain. You wail on him, until he grows unsure of himself and caves in the end.
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24 Nov
Philadelphia just certified its votes.
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