Blog from @JohnShirleyLtd
"The understaffing of customs clerks will become significant on 31 December 2020. Today, just a minority of forwarders retain customs clerks in EU, all of whom need *several years of training* The only remaining freight forwarder in Calais is Gondrand,
which has just three customs clerks. This greatly contrasts the 2,000 clerks that existed there in 1992, when there were approximately 40 freight forwarders.
A similar figure of clerks exists in Kent, with each clerk submitting 50 entries to customs per shift.
Given volume of traffic in the last 28 years has risen 400% each side of the Channel, the handful of customs clerks is demonstrably insufficient
Currently, a driver with intra-EU cargo simply drives from Factory A to Factory B, the only paperwork might be an invoice or CMR note.
But under customs clearance, British road-freight will have to join the queue with other non-EU cargo arriving at or departing from a customs depot. Yet, delivering goods by road to countries outside the EU can be burdensome for hauliers situated in a member state.
This is noticeable in how Croatian hauliers such as Autotransport Stjepan Radic regularly refuse loads to neighbouring Bosnia; they prefer loads coming from the EU. A key reason for this is that most hauliers lease rather than own their trucks outright. Trucks are very expensive
with a truck and trailer easily adding up to €100,000. This is attributable to modern trucks being heavily computerised and having to use authorised dealers for repairs and maintenance.
The trucks therefore have to be constantly used to offset these costs, along with the
financial burden of leases, road tolls, and fuel.
A second reason is that *drivers are scarce*, with more than half from member states being paid by the kilometre. This means drivers not on a salary are likely to quit and migrate to another haulier *carrying only intra-EU cargo*
At a risk to hauliers, they are essentially forced to avoid loads going outside the EU unless a very high price is agreed, should they have the correct permit.
However, this pushes the cost onto the non-EU exporter or importer.
This is why forwarders, when booking a load from the UK to Serbia for example, will generally use a Serbian haulier, or a Belarussian haulier to Belarus, to keep costs down.

Further issues arise when consignees fail to correctly arrange the import paperwork or permits,
resulting in the truck being potentially stuck at customs for days. This can force freight forwarders to seek demurrage from the shipper, which is currently £300 a day per truck.
Surprisingly, all this happens on borders or at delivery points
where there are a sufficient number of state-employed customs officers and customs clerks at freight forwarders.

However, this will certainly not be the case for Britain or EU on 1 January 2021. Hauliers are aware that both sides of the Channel are vastly understaffed
and deterred by the risk of serious delays, *requests for trucks to the UK by forwarders or factories will go unmet*

One only needs to look at the situation on the *EU external border* to see the potential for delays at Dover and Calais.
On the Croatian/Serbian border, it takes around six to eight hours to leave, and twice that to enter. This is further delayed inside Moldova, Ukraine or Serbia, where drivers are required to endure a second clearance at their destination, adding more hours to delivery.
While the exact figures are difficult to obtain and as yet, still up in the air, my calculations for the cost of the end of the transition period paint a bleak picture. Between the increased costs to British importers and exporters, the demurrage costs for goods possibly delayed
for a fortnight, multiplied by the thousands of trucks crossing the Channel, importers and exporters may be looking at an annual burden of more than £33 billion.
The long-term effects of customs clearance could be even more dire, similar perhaps, to *self-imposed sanctions*.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Michael M. 🇨🇭🇳🇴🇮🇸🇱🇮🇬🇧

Michael M. 🇨🇭🇳🇴🇮🇸🇱🇮🇬🇧 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @vivamjm

27 Nov
Picture the scene. UK a committed member of EU sees France vote to leave. France further announces it will also leave the Customs Union & The Single Market. UK Gov immediately *warns* its population & businesses what this means. It helps with the mammoth costs of being prepared
It invests heavily in ports upgrades, new needed infrastructure; training of an extra 5000 customs officers and 50,000 customs agents plus thousands of extra vets. It also recruits the many extra staff now needed in its otherwise overwhelmed tax & revenue government department .
New IT is designed costed and built with vital input from the industry that will actually use it. In the meantime France continues to insult UK and other members and tries to hide the costs of leaving from its population instead pretending it will offer "opportunities".
Read 6 tweets
24 Nov
Sigh!

Basically when you read any of these reports consider 

When ferry companies say they're ready they *are* because they will not load lorries unless cleared by the port authority
When ports/ their authorities say they're ready they *are* because they will not allow lorries onto their land/authority without pre-notification of apparent correct customs entries & certs.
When politicians say they're ready they *are* because they have fuck all to do with the coalface or have little understanding of it
The *only* ones anybody should take note of are the Hauliers their drivers the customs intermediates & the businesses loading their consignments
Read 4 tweets
23 Nov
The timing could not be more inopportune, adding further misery to importers and a port sector bracing itself for what is expected to be “utter chaos” in the new, and as yet unknown, trade regime between the EU and the UK.

Going to be "fun"
"..carriers which have upped rates in an effort to try and put UK importers off.

However, beyond generating more income for carriers, increased rates have failed to reduce imports, said the source, with “people still wanting their cargo”, and rates continue trending upward.
“You are seeing a trebling, even quadrupling, of freight rates as carriers have sought to stop imports into Felixstowe in an effort to evacuate empties to the Middle East where they are urgently needed,” the source continued.
Read 6 tweets
22 Nov
The container congestion crisis engulfing the UK has spread beyond the country’s ports and distribution centres into towns and villages.
To say residents in the sleepy Suffolk village of Melton, located about 10 miles inland from Felixstowe, were surprised
to see large numbers of container trucks turning up on disused plot of land over the past week would be an understatement. The build-up of containers at site comes amid reports that some 11,000 teu of containers containing PPE shipments are stuck in Felixstowe’s container yards
One UK freight forwarder told The Loadstar the PPE shipments “can’t get into the National Health Service (NHS) supply network – it’s already full”.
Meanwhile, the country’ major container gateways continue to struggle with empty containers causing congestion,
Read 5 tweets
20 Nov
"UK trade can expect a “painful” exit from the European Union as ports requiring physical changes are left hanging on responses for government tenders to build new infrastructure.
This means we will have six months to build it in time for the 1 July [end of easing-in period] deadline, but the last substantial infrastructure project took 11 months,” he said.

(UK has 6 months "border facilitation" / smugglers' charter on customs declarations & SPS checks)
“Even more challenging (i.e. impossible) is the situation in Northern Ireland, where we need to have this new infrastructure in place by 1 January.”
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!