OK, a Doorstep synthesis: let's put together the discussion between @RadioFreeTom and @TatianaSerafin on youth activism, climate issues and politics from Doorstep ep. 4, @ashjain50 on democratic community, @AshaCastleberry on linking foreign policy to issues that impact ... 1/
ordinary Americans, @Ali_Wyne on great power competition, @thomaswright08 on the factions within a Biden national security apparatus, and @jamisonfoser on the implications of former SecState Kerry as the climate envoy. How does this all play out?
"Climate change" covers a broad mandate. Including within this are things like food security and clean energy. Different aspects of this agenda are going to matter differently to different countries. Diplomacy is about finding consensus. 3/
The United States uses many instruments of financial and economic power to pursue "compellence" from other states in the international system. We saw that a proposal made at the G-20 in March when the coronavirus pandemic was spreading worldwide to suspend the use of economic 4/
sanctions was received quite lukewarmly by the United States. What if John Kerry, in trying to get action on climate change, comes up against demands that the U.S. forego imposing additional sanctions as a price for agreement? 5/
Or consider this: a U.S. national security imperative is to decrease European reliance on Russian natural gas--yet in pursuit of climate objectives many European governments do not want to import U.S. natural gas obtained as a result of fracking. Russian natural gas is 6/
cleaner in that regard. Recall during the Obama administration the U.S. prioritized environmental over geo-economic goals in not pushing for more U.S. production even if it mean greater Russian influence. worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/13732…
And will the U.S. be willing to transfer technologies that may help with climate change but strengthen the economic and even military potential of other states? The outgoing administration took the position that whatever damage the U.S. might sustain from transnational threats 8/
its rivals would take even greater damage. A China that has to focus on ameliorating climate change at home may have less attention to focus on projecting power outward. 9/ carnegiecouncil.org/studio/multime…
Or will this play into a democratic community narrative: the U.S. will work with partners on climate change, health and ecological security issues, and those on the outside who want in will have to meet conditions for aid and assistance. 10/
But like it or not, the "authoritarian bloc" of states is too big and has too much influence--including over climate matters--to be excluded. And any climate change agreement internationally has major domestic ramifications as well. 11/
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The question will be whether progress on climate change takes precedence over other foreign policy issues ... and what authority John Kerry will have to negotiate compromises and quid pro quos.
Forthcoming @carnegiecouncil report suggests Americans may be prepared to subordinate concerns about human rights and trade with China to getting a workable deal. Ambassador Fu's op-ed in @nytimes suggests there may be a similar receptivity on Beijing's part.
This was authored at @russia_matters by Doorstep co-host #NickGvosdev. It ties in with the tweets yesterday about the shape of a Biden foreign policy team in that Russia policy could be a unifier among restorationists, reformers and progressives.
Restorationists and reformers see Russia as a revisionist power challenging both the status quo and democracy, but progressives will find fault with the Russian record on human rights, including LGTBQ+ issues, democratic governance and income inequality.
One thing we've always found is that when @RadioFreeTom says something, people can get angry--but his comments on the need for people to vote and to vote and be involved at all levels if they are dissatisfied with the status quo.